The Fed hiked 25bp to 3.75-4.00% on September 16, the first hike since 2023. BTC has been red three straight days since, slipping under $84K.
Here's the part that stands out: funding is still positive on 24 of 25 largest BTC perpetuals, running around 8% annualized. That means leveraged longs are still paying up to stay long even as spot bleeds lower. Positioning hasn't capitulated, and market-implied odds of another 25bp hike in October are already near 70%, up from about 56% in August.
If lo...
$ETH — Patience Over FOMO
$ETH is still moving inside a tight area, with $2,666 acting as the key support. Instead of chasing around $2,689, I’d prefer to see the support hold and price stabilize first.
If that level remains protected, the next push could extend toward $2,720–$2,743. Below $2,650, this idea loses strength.
Wait for the clean opportunity — don’t force the entry.
LSK is leaning short but I know this is fragile.
Journal note: LSK
$LSK /USDT · Bias: SHORT · 5/12 signals aligned
⚠️ Counter-trend idea: this fights the bigger trend and only 5 signals back it. Smaller size, hard stop.
Technical verdict: LEANING SHORT. 5 of 12 signals aligned, 1 against.
What supports it (5):
• 1h trend: price < EMA50 < EMA200, bearish stack
• Trend strength (ADX/DI, 15m): ADX 31.2 with sellers in control (DI+ 12.7 vs DI− 22.3)
• 4h RSI: 44.5, bearish momentum (below 45)
• 1h...