📅 **U.S. macro week: PMI, ISM, FOMC minutes and the labor market. What could move the market**

🗓 Monday (today), Kyiv time. September Services PMI comes out at 16:45: forecast 58.7, previous 56.5. At 17:00, the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is released: forecast 55.1, previous 55.4. Strong figures could increase expectations of a hawkish Fed, while weak ones could cool them.

🛢 Wednesday, 17:30. Crude oil inventories, previous reading +0.922M. This is an indirect signal for energy prices and inflation expectations.

📜 Wednesday, 21:00: FOMC minutes. The main event of the week. The minutes will show how united officials were. The odds of an October rate hike are currently estimated at just 18.3%.

💼 Thursday, 15:30: jobless claims. Forecast 200K, previous 197K. An increase in claims points to a cooling labor market and usually lowers expectations of Fed tightening.

🧭 The highest volatility is possible when the data is released. Coming up on the calendar: CPI on October 14 and the Fed decision on October 28. It’s better to wait for a confirmed move rather than chase the first candle.

💬 Which event of the week do you think will have the biggest impact?

❗️ Be alert and careful. Always manage your risk.

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