The 15-minute and 1-hour MACD both turned bullish (flipped red). It feels like it might bounce upward. But the 4-hour chart is still a dead cross, and the green bars haven’t fully closed out, so the larger timeframe is still in adjustment. For resistance, first look at 93.5 to 94; for support, 90 to 91.
The contract data is more interesting: open interest rebounded from the morning low to around 8.3M. Based on the large holders’ long/short ratio by positioning, it’s around 1.8, slightly bullish.
However, the basis is negative, and the funding rate is also -0.0056%. Futures are cheaper than spot, which suggests market sentiment isn’t particularly euphoric. The active buy/sell volume is back-and-forth, with no overwhelming one-sided advantage.
My plan isn’t to jump in right away. I’ll wait for this 4-hour adjustment wave to finish. If it can consolidate sideways with lower volume around 90, then I’ll consider trying with a small position.
Personal review only; not investment advice #hype $HYPE
#Circle在Solana增发5亿枚USDC Saw Circle increase 500 million USDC on Solana—first reaction: are they firing bullets again?
But issuing more doesn’t necessarily mean buying the coin right away; in many cases it’s just stockpiling to meet demand.
Solana’s on-chain activity has been decent lately, and there truly is steadycoin demand—whether this is a real positive catalyst depends on where these USDC end up next: exchanges or DeFi pools.
I’m not in a rush to chase the bullish news—what do you think? #USDC #solana
$FIL Sino-U.S. cooperation, prosperity in the crypto market!
“People’s Daily” says China and the United States should turn their strategic vision into action in 2026. In a commentary, “People’s Daily” points out that in 2026—an year crucial to the development of both countries—the two sides should turn the vision of building constructive, stable strategic relations into concrete actions. The two countries should demonstrate responsibility as major powers, implement the important consensus reached by the leaders of both countries, and promote a relationship characterized by cooperation as the main tone, moderate competition, controllable differences, and a hopeful path toward peace.
Google Employee Quits Over Worries About Superintelligent AI: Pursuing Powerful AI Is Irresponsible—Can’t Turn a Blind Eye
According to a report by Business Insider, a Google employee said he has resigned from the company, arguing that pursuing more powerful AI is “inherently irresponsible.” Robert O’Callahan, who previously worked at Google DeepMind, posted on X that his team is developing chips to make AI run faster and at lower cost, and that he believes AI has “progressed too fast.”
He shared a resignation letter on his personal blog and said he sent it to colleagues on Friday. In the letter, he wrote that he couldn’t “turn a blind eye” to the impact of his work, because doing so “is not something a person who follows Jesus should do.” In his blog bio, he describes himself as a Christian.
“This is not an easy decision. I like my coworkers and I like the work environment here, and being paid a generous salary to solve interesting problems has always been a great thing,” he wrote. “But our team’s ultimate goal is to reduce the cost of AI dramatically and significantly lower latency, and I don’t think that is good for the people currently living: I strongly believe the speed of AI progress is simply too fast (and I also have doubts about where it will ultimately lead).”
$ZEC $SOL Goldman Sachs’ latest outlook is here: the Fed will most likely raise rates again in October. After that, this hiking cycle could possibly be nearing its end, while rate cuts may not come until the end of 2027. Many crypto friends, upon seeing this news, start thinking about how the overall market might move.🚨
The key point is oil prices. Goldman Sachs says that only if oil prices keep falling and suppress inflation will this rate-hike expectation materialize. If oil prices continue to surge and inflation doesn’t come down, the Fed’s rate-hike pace will keep adjusting, and the crypto market will definitely wobble along with it.🚨
We all know that crypto market performance is highly tied to USD liquidity. If the last rate hike in October is carried out as expected—making the bad news “already priced in”—the market could see a rebound in the short term. But don’t get carried away: rate cuts are still a long way off, and large funds won’t immediately rush in at scale, making it difficult to directly turn into a full-fledged bull market.🚨
Right now, the market is likely going to be a tug-of-war—up a few days and then prone to pullbacks as the news flow keeps shifting. Make sure you don’t go all-in with heavy positions. Don’t be fooled by short-term rebounds.🚨
Remember: expectations are one thing, but the situation can change at any moment due to the Fed’s future remarks and fluctuations in oil prices. In terms of trading, keep positions light, be patient, and wait for clear opportunities—protecting your principal should always come first.🚨#币安将上市Hyperliquid(HYPE) #美联储10月加息概率升至69.7%
#Sonu7856 BNB SURPRISE DROP! 🎁 ✨ The Red Packet is full and ready to open! ✨ 👇 Simple Steps to Participate 👇 ❤️ Follow #Sonu7856 🔁 Like & Share 💬 Comment “BNB” 🔔 Stay connected and active for upcoming surprise drops!
In the past 24 hours it’s up 52%. It went straight from 0.013 to 0.0202, with trading volume of 84.82 million U. When an old coin suddenly pumps like this, there’s usually a story, but I didn’t go looking for news—I first checked the chart.
The 15-minute RSI has reached 96, the 1-hour 89, the 4-hour 85, and even the daily is up to 90. Across the whole cycle it’s extremely overbought. MACD across all timeframes is forming golden crosses, and the red bars are still expanding—momentum is definitely strong. But the previous daily high is at 0.025; now it’s 0.0199, still a fair distance away. There are also plenty of trapped sellers above.
I looked through the contract data too—more interesting still. Open interest jumped from 210 million straight to 410 million, doubling. But the large-holder long/short ratio dropped from 3.2 to 0.84, then bounced back to 1.99. That suggests that during the pump, whales were violently closing longs and even flipping sides, while retail chased.
Funding rate is -0.26%—shorts are paying. With this kind of structure, either the main force is pumping up to distribute, or it’s squeezing shorts then continuing to pump.
With this kind of vertical rally, if you chase in, the risk-reward is poor. Either wait for a pullback to the 0.016–0.017 zone where it consolidates on shrinking volume, or just watch it surge.
What do you think—can RARE break back up to 0.025 this time? Or is it just being pumped to unload?
$FIL Sino-U.S. cooperation, prosperity in the crypto market!
“People’s Daily” says China and the United States should turn their strategic vision into action in 2026. In a commentary, “People’s Daily” points out that in 2026—an year crucial to the development of both countries—the two sides should turn the vision of building constructive, stable strategic relations into concrete actions. The two countries should demonstrate responsibility as major powers, implement the important consensus reached by the leaders of both countries, and promote a relationship characterized by cooperation as the main tone, moderate competition, controllable differences, and a hopeful path toward peace.
If you truly want to make a living from trading, I suggest you seriously answer the following ten questions.
First: How much money do I actually want to make? Second: Can my principal support this goal? Third: What is the maximum drawdown I can tolerate? Fourth: After I lose ten times in a row, will it change the system? Fifth: Do I prefer the excitement of short-term trades, or long-term compounding? Sixth: How much time am I willing to spend trading each day? Seventh: Am I really better at trends, ranging/sideways markets, or event-driven trading? Eighth: When I lose money, do I stay calm and analyze, or do I rush to get it back? Ninth: When other people are making money, can I resist the urge to chase? Tenth: If I haven’t made any money in the next six months, can I still continue executing the system?
If you can’t answer all ten of these questions, then what you may be missing isn’t a better, more powerful indicator. It’s simply: You don’t understand yourself well enough.
🧧🧧🎁🎁As the Mid-Autumn Moon is full, wishing your wallet has BTC and your heart feels complete.🌕 Happy Mid-Autumn Festival! To learn more about BTC / Web3 / blockchain technology, feel free to connect and discuss together.
🧧🧧🧧🧧 CZ’s mindset is still quite broad. Whenever a crypto theft or hacking incident occurs, the first thing he thinks of isn’t to take advantage of the situation or dig into the other party’s users; instead, he chooses to stand in support of them and, as much as possible, help them. This quality is worth the entire crypto community learning from.
Mid-Autumn Festival 🥮🌙 [Today is a holiday—rest for one day! Don’t make a wasted trip, everyone] 💗 The moonlight is gentle. May your mood be lofty and clear, your life complete and whole, and may peace and safety be with you year after year! #1688家族family #币安中秋好运加码
#币安将上市Hyperliquid(HYPE) Binance has listed $HYPE The deal is done; the suppression has been completely abandoned. Next, HYPE will pull back—because it has already been listed. In an exchange that prioritizes liquidity, the funds will definitely exit. $ASTER also basically has no way forward, unless they try to pump the market during this period—but they won’t be able to push it very far. The market cap is too high: $USDC . #币安将上市Hyperliquid(HYPE)
This number itself isn’t unusual—the surprising part is that it’s still rising even after ZEC has already multiplied several times in value
Usually when a coin has gone up a lot, funds will pull out. But this Grayscale ETF’s scale is still moving higher. What does that mean? It means the money coming in isn’t just short-term speculative funds—it’s long-term allocation capital
That also suggests ZEC’s pricing power could change. Previously, the market was mostly trading halving and privacy within the crypto community. Now traditional funds are buying in too. This implies two things:
First, the rally may last longer than expected, because institutional buy pressure isn’t a one-off wave
Second, once institutions stop buying, the drop could be harsher than expected, because retail holders can’t hold the market up
So I’m not really looking at the K-line charts right now. I’m watching Grayscale’s holdings data instead. If it keeps increasing, I’ll keep observing. If it starts to decrease, then I’ll consider whether to make a move
$ETH Took a look at ETH’s candlestick chart. Honestly, it made me want to laugh.
A few days ago when it surged to 2806, the group chat was full of people saying 3000. Today it’s fallen back to 2640, and the same bunch started shouting 2500.
Looking at the derivatives data, the big players’ long-to-short ratio based on open interest has dropped from 1.67 to 1.45. But on the retail side, the ratio of number of longs vs shorts jumped from 2.13 to 2.91. The big players are reducing positions and running, while retail traders are疯狂拼命疯狂抄底.
Next, look at open interest: it’s fallen from 4.87 million ETH to 4.53 million. Leverage capital is withdrawing, but the price hasn’t collapsed—this suggests spot demand/absorption is still holding up. The funding rate is 0.0052%, basically zero. Nobody is willing to add leverage and bet on direction.
The 1-hour RSI got hammered down to 26, so the short-term is indeed oversold and could bounce at any moment. But the daily RSI is still 53—on the higher timeframe, it’s not really “cheap.”
For now, I’m holding spot and not touching the contracts. I’ll wait until it consolidates around 2600 on declining volume for a few days—then we’ll see whether it’s truly supported or just pretending to be. If it holds, we’ll talk. If it doesn’t, then we should head to 2500.
When it goes up, don’t chase. When it drops, don’t rush to buy. This market is never short of opportunities—the real scarcity is patience.