九烨加密论

$PONS finally stopped falling; rate-hike expectations have been digested for the most part.

After dropping for 10 days, we finally saw a bottoming signal. Yesterday, a large bullish candle formed a bullish engulfing pattern. The low was $0.49. Most likely, that is the bottom of this leg lower, and the probability of price consolidating and rising from here increases significantly.

It belongs to the #RH chain’s transmitter. The benchmark is $PUMP . A pullback confirmed at 0.60U should be the buying point. And PUMP also showed the same situation at the 60-day moving line—looks like the rate-hike expectations have mostly been digested.

#STONK has just had a big surge. Wait for it to calm down a bit, and watch for the chance at 0.115.

#发射平台币

#比特币金叉后回落至7.7万美元

The BTC golden cross discussed here refers to: the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day moving average.

1. A golden cross of the intermediate- and long-term moving averages marks the end of a bear market, the brewing stage of a bull market, and its early phase. This is true whether in 2020 or 2023. However, after the golden cross, there will instead be a period of #回调 , and it will not immediately start a new major uptrend.

2. Before the golden cross, there is a large wave of price breakouts—breaking through the prior bottom range. After the golden cross, adjustment begins again. There are usually two reference points for the adjustment: MA50 and MA200. The price corresponding to $BTC is 69K/70K. This process is also full of twists and turns.

3. The prices corresponding to the two moving averages above $ETH are 2170/2050U. Even so, although there is a pullback, it does not change the establishment of the uptrend. At this stage, many people will think the price will drop deeper again or even break the previous low. This is probably due to the inherent nature of fear.

4. In this cycle, the exchange rate between #ETH and #BTC has already broken through the key level of 0.0325, and the golden cross mentioned above has also appeared. This is something else. What happens next really depends on ETH. If you don’t have much capital, you can focus your bet on ETH.

The most worth watching meme on the RH chain is definitely $PONS . Its peak market cap is nearly 1 billion, and it still has 680 million USD. Compared with the market cap of the launch platform on the Solana chain—$PUMP 25亿—there’s still some distance to go.

That said, even so, PONS’s current 680 million is still a bit high. I’d watch it more when it pulls back to 500 million USD—when the price reaches 0.5. For similar assets, $RAY saw a breakout surge of 60% the day before yesterday; this time it’s consolidating with reduced volume around 1.2, which makes it possible to allocate some.

#发射平台 #Robin

To be honest, gold this time jumped from 3900 to 4400—an advance of 500 points all at once. I really didn’t see that coming.

But if we’re talking about a new mid-term upswing already being underway, I still have reservations. The monthly chart’s dead cross signal is still there. My judgment that the larger timeframe has entered a sideways consolidation range is something I won’t change for now.

On the short-term front, the daily chart is indeed bullish: the 20-day moving average is pointing upward, and naturally the 4H and hourly charts are bullish as well. The level at 4310 is the short-term defense point and also the short-term inflection point—if it breaks, the short-term bullish structure will loosen.

Even so, I don’t advocate chasing the rally. In the three-cycle trading method, once the larger timeframe is defined, any rebound on the smaller timeframe can only be viewed as a rebound. The correction isn’t over yet, and chasing in at this point risks getting caught near a short-term emotional peak.

My approach: continue to watch from the sidelines. Wait for clearer signals (a golden cross with the bullish alignment of the 20/60-day moving averages), and then it won’t be too late to act.

The above is based on my personal market feel, not investment advice. Have you chased this gold rebound?

$GOLD #三周期交易法
NFA｜Not investment advice. The market is risky; profits and losses are your own responsibility.

$BNC.US BNB Wealth Library Company, US stocks—if it weren’t for the big shots buying in, everyone would have forgotten it. This one is among the most promising US stocks; the upside potential is likely to exceed $MSTR and $CRCL .

This is the complete package: stock tokenization narrative + RWA + launch platform FROM + 4Stock. It’s the whole bundle.

The curse pressure of $ASTER is at 0.8u, and the similar product $LIT $HYPE is far behind by a wide margin.

Sure enough, it's disappointing. We'll reposition the holdings when the timing is right (clear out at 1.4U).

The price is consolidating around the critical 0.8 level. The daily bullish trend has formed, and a breakout is only a matter of time. However, the selling pressure is also indeed very heavy—mainly because of its 8 billion scale. Even with an unlock delay, it will still ultimately be released. For long-term investors, it's an uncertain time bomb.

Who knows whether one day it might break through and then crash down? That depends on the project's leadership and their broader mindset.

SUI exploded by 40% on the last day of last week.

The base position was basically below 1U, so just hold tight. Even if there's another pullback this week, it might not drop back to below 1.0U. There isn't a bullish trend yet, and we aren't in the acceleration phase, but the price has already moved away from the bottom zone.

This is what I've been reiterating about SUI recently, as it's one of the key coins we're focusing on. Of course, there are other quality coins as well; you can join the core group.