Ethereum and Bitcoin plummet? Don't worry, a rebound is coming!
Last week I predicted that $ETH could be considered divine, as it perfectly predicted the drop to the position of 2660!
Lao Bai made a video, about 4 minutes long, and after watching it, you will have a more comprehensive and clear judgment on the direction of the upcoming market and the trading strategy. #美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性 #美股2026预测
Yesterday, ETH bounced back after stabilizing around 2388, reaching a high of 2490, but it still failed to break through 2500.
Today, the price is basically holding around 2450, indicating that yesterday’s rebound did not continue to expand. At the same time, it also has not dropped back below 2400.
From this price action, the market appears to be entering a new short-term consolidation and digestion phase.
In terms of trading ideas today, look at 2490–2500 to the upside. If there is a breakout with increased volume above 2490, and a pullback confirms it does not break, then a long setup could target 2535, with further attention on the previous high.
To the downside, watch 2400–2388. If price continues to range around 2450 and then moves lower to retest 2400, as long as 2400 can hold, you can still wait for a stabilization and rebound.
Overall, the bulls still need more time to repair. It’s not yet the right moment to look for a trend reversal. First, see whether ETH can truly reclaim 2500 and hold it.
Yesterday, ETH surged from around 2535 and then pulled back. It subsequently moved lower continuously, finally breaking below 2500 and 2450, with the low reaching 2388 early this morning. The price has rebounded to around 2415, but it still hasn’t regained the key moving averages.
In the short term, the outlook is that this is still a pullback. Now 2400 is the battleground between bulls and bears; 2423–2465 is the rebound resistance zone.
So today, don’t rush to bottom-fish just because 2388 has seen a rebound. Keep an eye on whether 2400 holds. If it holds, watch the rebound; if 2465 is reclaimed, the structure will be repaired. If 2388 breaks down, continue to follow the trend and look for further downside.
After ETH rebounded from 2405, it hasn't truly reclaimed 2500 yet. It’s currently around 2450, and the short-term trend remains relatively weak.
From the 1-hour structure, the most important level right now is 2400-2410.
If around 2460 the price keeps getting pressured, and then it breaks back below 2405 again, then yesterday's low may be retested. After breaking, watch for around 2360.
At the moment, 2450 is in the middle zone. It’s better to wait for a breakout or a pullback confirmation before taking a position, rather than hard-guessing the direction here.
ETH surged to 2566 last night, but did not continue making new highs. Then a very clear high-volume long bearish candle appeared, dropping directly from around 2500 to 2405.
This indicates that there has already been clear selling pressure in the 2500–2566 range above, and based on the following K-lines, although the price rebounded from 2405, the rebound strength is not strong!
So we’ll first look at the rebound from 2400. The first target is 2460–2480. After a breakout, then look at 2500.
If 2400 is effectively broken to the downside later, it would mean EMA200 has also been lost, and then the downside could further extend to 2360 → 2320
ETH today continues to trade in a tight range around 2500. After a push up to 2547 and then a pullback, the price did not break down further. Instead, it keeps changing hands at high levels.
The prior upswing has already formed the trend. Now, for several consecutive days, it has been consolidating around 2500, which seems more like it is digesting the earlier profits.
I believe that as long as the EMA20 around 2460 is not effectively broken to the downside, the 4H uptrend structure remains intact.
At the moment, I actually wouldn’t be in a hurry to look for shorts. If there is a breakout above 2547 on increased volume, and a subsequent pullback confirms it does not break, then the next targets would be 2600 → 2700.
After the earlier spike and high at 2547, there was no continuous selloff—instead, price repeatedly oscillated in the 2450–2510 range. The overall lows are still trending higher. Currently ETH has returned to around 2500, with the current price about 2502.
If there is a breakout with increased volume above the 2547 prior high, then this sideways consolidation can be understood as accumulation before the breakout, and the short-term upside room will open up further.
On the other hand, if 2500 keeps failing to hold and price continues to pull back lower, then my first support level to watch will be around the EMA20 near 2460.
So whether it’s a pullback that bottoms out near 2460, or a high-volume breakout above 2547, both are relatively better choices for going long in the short term!
ETH has broken below 2500 and is currently pulling back to around 2460.
Yesterday we said 2500 is the short-term battleground between bulls and bears. Now that price has fallen back below 2500 again, it means the bulls have not yet completed the breakout for the moment.
However, from the 4H structure, we still cannot directly define this as a trend reversal. Next, focus on 2460–2440: the first support.
If price can stabilize and stop the decline there, and then reclaim 2500, there is still a chance to test 2547 again.
If the 4H breaks below 2440 and the rebound fails to get back above 2500, then the pullback may extend further. Downside targets: 2400 → 2380.
ETH yesterday after a 4H pullback failed to continue breaking down, and then resumed strength; today it has come to around 2515.
At the moment, focus on two key levels:
2500: the short-term boundary between bulls and bears 2547: prior high resistance
If above 2500 it can continue to hold steadily and break through 2547 with increased volume, then this time won’t be just a simple rebound—there is a chance to open up further upside room. In the short term, look for 2600 → 2650.
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Yesterday I said $ETH to watch and see if it can hold around 2400. Today, I looked: after a pullback, it didn’t keep accelerating downward. Instead, it moved sideways and digested in the 2420–2460 area. After the low point, it started to rise again—there are signs it might be stabilizing!
So for this move, I’m more inclined to expect strength above 2460, and for it to keep improving. If it breaks above 2547 on increased volume, then basically we can continue to look toward around 2600!
Yesterday I said $ETH to watch and see if it can hold around 2400. Today, I looked: after a pullback, it didn’t keep accelerating downward. Instead, it moved sideways and digested in the 2420–2460 area. After the low point, it started to rise again—there are signs it might be stabilizing!
So for this move, I’m more inclined to expect strength above 2460, and for it to keep improving. If it breaks above 2547 on increased volume, then basically we can continue to look toward around 2600!
Today, ETH came around 2500. This is not just a breakout above the 200-day line—it’s already three consecutive green candles. Especially in the future, if it pulls back to 2200–2300, or even—at the extreme—back to around 2119 near the 200-day line, as long as it can regain strong support/holding, then from a long-term perspective, this kind of pullback is actually an opportunity to redeploy for the long term.
Looking at the short term: from around 2000 to 2500, the rise has already been very substantial. If it continues with a breakout on increasing volume above 2547, then 2600 will become the next round-number level. If later it retraces from around 2500 back to 2380–2400, but on the 4H chart a fresh stop-falling/stabilization structure appears, then it would actually be a pretty comfortable spot to go long in line with the trend!
So whether long term or short term, there’s no reason to go short. The trend is here. What to do next is simply wait for the market to offer a better price!
Brothers, we E-guards can finally stand up and make a move at last!
➤ Let’s share a few technical details with the brothers:
🌟 Since ETH broke above the 200-day line two days ago, the daily chart is about to form three consecutive bullish days. It’s currently around 2349, and there’s a fairly clear gap from the 200-day line. This suggests it’s not just a simple pierce-through—after breaking, price is continuing to extend upward. As long as subsequent daily candles can hold above the 200-day line, the earlier bearish structure will basically be broken!
🌟 Three consecutive bullish days by itself is not a sell/short signal, but it does mean the cost-effectiveness of chasing on the short-term is declining. Now that ETH is already far away from the 200-day line, if it keeps rallying continuously, a fast pullback could happen at any time to digest the profit-taking.
🌟 The next round-number levels at 2400 and 2500 are relatively difficult to break in the short term. However, if 2380 can be broken effectively and the pullback doesn’t fail, then this trend move could continue to extend upward.
So from a trader’s perspective, right now the most comfortable trade isn’t chasing because you see good news—it’s waiting for the first decent pullback, then getting in!
Yesterday we were still watching the pre-1938 high. But last night a single strong bullish candle stood tall (all the way through), and today the momentum keeps accelerating—breaking through the 200-day moving average directly. We’re already around 2260.
The previous resistance levels have been broken one after another, which suggests that the bulls have moved from a range/sideways breakout into a trend-acceleration phase.
At this point, it’s not ideal to chase price directly. Today, focus on 2200–2250 and whether, after the breakout, the 200-day line can turn from resistance into support.
In other words: if price pulls back from the highs but can hold steady around 2200, you can continue to follow the trend for a long bias. The short-term targets are first to look for 2300 → 2350.
If price spikes higher and then quickly drops back below 2200, pay attention to the strength of the pullback. If it falls further back below the 200-day line, that would suggest this breakout may have been a false breakout—then we need to reassess. This possibility exists, but for now there are no signs of it!
What happened to ETH today? It broke through $2,100 overnight—this rally might not be as simple as it seems
This surge in ETH really came hard: it shot directly from around $1,900 to above $2,110. According to the market data, ETH’s single-day gain at one point reached roughly 8%. And it also looks like BTC is breaking through 7—this is genuinely very strong. The most important thing here isn’t just that it’s up 8%, but this: $1,900 → $2,000 → $2,100—three consecutive whole-number breakouts. Once this zone flips from a resistance level to support, it can easily trigger trend-following capital and short liquidations, even pushing beyond the levels I had预演 planned for! 1. First BTC moves, then ETH starts to accelerate This time isn’t an ETH-only move. BTC today has also reclaimed the $64,000–$65,000 range, and the market’s overall risk appetite has clearly improved.
Brothers, yesterday’s script came out exactly the same today.
Yesterday our judgment was very clear: after a pullback and confirmation around 1900 → continue running along the upward structure → test the prior high before 1938 to the upside.
Today, ETH followed this path completely—this is also what I’ve been emphasizing all along. Intraday trading isn’t about guessing whether the market will go up or down every day; it’s about first identifying the structure and key levels.
Since yesterday there was no break of structure around 1900, there was no need to change the judgment just because of a short-term pullback.
Now that 1938 has already been reached, we won’t chase price upward.
The key is to watch whether it can break through effectively here: break above 1938 → look at 1960 → then 1980.
If it gets blocked on the high, then observe the strength of the retracement—what matters most is still whether the area around 1900 can continue to hold.$ETH
Today ETH’s 4-hour high reached 1912, but after the push higher it quickly pulled back and is now back below 1900.
From the 4-hour candlestick chart, the most evident feature here is the failed breakout attempt—there’s a rejection at the top plus a long upper wick. In other words, bulls tried to break above 1900 but couldn’t hold; instead, it formed a top-side resistance signal.
Now the key below is 1887-1890. This is essentially the area where EMA20, EMA50, and EMA200 cluster together, and it’s also an important support to determine whether this rebound can continue.
If 1887-1890 holds, and price moves back above 1900 and breaks again over 1912, then that earlier long upper wick can be viewed as a washout. In the short term, we’d look for 1920 → 1940.
But if 1887 breaks down and the rebound can’t regain 1900, then the significance of that 4H long upper wick will be further strengthened. In the short term, you can follow the trend and look for bearish moves, first targeting 1865 → 1850.
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2026.8.17 ETH intraday ideas:
ETH first pulled back to around 1870 today, then quickly rebounded to 1896. However, the hourly chart still hasn’t made a confirmed breakout above 1900, so we can’t directly judge a reversal yet.
Focus intraday on the 1870–1900 range.
If price pulls back again to 1870–1880, holds steady, and the hourly chart effectively stays above 1900, it indicates this pullback rebound is beginning to be confirmed. Then you can look for 1920 → 1940.
If 1900 keeps failing to break and price falls back below 1870 again, then today’s rebound is more likely a weak corrective move, and in the short term you can continue to watch 1850 → 1820.
ETH first pulled back to around 1870 today, then quickly rebounded to 1896. However, the hourly chart still hasn’t made a confirmed breakout above 1900, so we can’t directly judge a reversal yet.
Focus intraday on the 1870–1900 range.
If price pulls back again to 1870–1880, holds steady, and the hourly chart effectively stays above 1900, it indicates this pullback rebound is beginning to be confirmed. Then you can look for 1920 → 1940.
If 1900 keeps failing to break and price falls back below 1870 again, then today’s rebound is more likely a weak corrective move, and in the short term you can continue to watch 1850 → 1820.
《Cow Comes》 At the beginning of its run, the box office was only a few thousand yuan. Then, thanks to netizens’ meme-making, taboo-hunting curiosity, and remixes, it suddenly exploded in the opposite direction.
When nobody talks about it, it might be worthless. When everyone starts discussing it, the price itself becomes a vessel for attention.
Memes are like this—and so are bull markets.
First comes attention, then consensus; with consensus in place, people only then begin to study value.
Yesterday, ETH kept failing to break above 1900. Today it finally broke through and returned to around 1910, which indicates that yesterday’s pressure level has been taken over by the bulls.
Next, the key is to see whether 1900–1910 can turn from resistance into support. Around 1900 is the short-term long/short dividing line, while 1944 is the confirmation level for a short-term breakout, and 1868 is the 4H structure defensive level.
So my script is: range consolidation above 1900 for accumulation of energy → breakout at 1944 → 1960/1980.
If there is a pullback in the meantime, as long as it can quickly reclaim the area around 1900, it’s actually a more comfortable place to confirm and buy the dip!