林淼

$H Can I trust you? I hope you don't let me lose too badly🥹

#美联储重启降息步伐 Federal Reserve December interest rate meeting, the specific schedule and related information are as follows:

Meeting Schedule

· Meeting time: December 9 to 10, 2025 (two days).
· Decision announcement: December 11 at 3 AM Beijing time (Thursday).
· Chairman's speech: About 30 minutes after the decision announcement, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference.

Core Highlights of the Meeting

1. Interest rate decision: The market generally expects a 25 basis point rate cut again. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market's expected probability has risen to nearly 90%. If realized, this will be the Federal Reserve's third consecutive rate cut since September.
2. Internal disagreement: A prominent feature of this meeting is the severe internal disagreement within the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee). About 5 voting members oppose or are skeptical about further rate cuts, and the final vote may see multiple dissenting votes.
3. Future policy guidance: The meeting will release the latest quarterly economic projections (SEP) and the "dot plot," revealing officials' forecasts for the interest rate path in 2026. The tone of Powell's speech at the press conference (whether "dovish" or "hawkish") will also be crucial.
4. Balance sheet direction: In addition to interest rates, how the Federal Reserve manages its large balance sheet (such as whether to announce a bond purchasing plan) is also a focus of market attention.

Potential Impact on Digital Currency
Combining previous concerns, the impact of this meeting will depend on the comparison between the final decision and market expectations and the future signals released by Powell.

· If a rate cut is made as scheduled and dovish signals are released, it may boost risk assets and provide short-term benefits for digital currencies.
· If the decision or statement is hawkish (for example, implying a pause in rate cuts in the future), it may dampen market sentiment and trigger volatility.

It is recommended to focus on the decision announcement and Powell's speech on December 11 at 3 AM Beijing time, as this will be key to judging the short-term market direction.

The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on digital currencies

Tomorrow's interest rate decision hinges on the details of the policy path rather than whether or not to cut rates itself. The market widely expects a 25 basis point cut, so the impact will depend on the subsequent signals released by the Federal Reserve.

Three possible scenarios and their impacts:

Scenario 1: Expected dovishness (slight positive impact)
The Federal Reserve cuts rates as expected and maintains its forecast of multiple cuts in 2026. This move will confirm an easing path, boosting market confidence. However, since this has been partially digested by the market, the upside potential for digital currencies may be limited and will require breaking through key resistance levels (such as the Bitcoin price range of $94,000-$98,000) to establish an upward trend.
Scenario 2: Unexpected dovishness (significant positive impact)
The Federal Reserve hints at a more aggressive or faster rate-cutting cycle. This would provide unexpected liquidity support to the market and could become a key catalyst for a strong rebound in digital currencies.
Scenario 3: Hawkish signals (significant negative impact)
This is the main risk. If the Federal Reserve indicates that inflation remains high and that the pace of future rate cuts will slow or pause, it will dampen market sentiment. Given the current market leverage, this could trigger panic selling and a chain of liquidations, leading to a significant price correction. #美联储重启降息步伐 #数字货币

Good night sleep, go play yourself, I wonder what price you can return to

我只是小资金进场 我觉得是al的叙事 官方也有在稳定价格的想法 我觉得只要不清零 会是有机会的
（本人不做投资建议 ，不是喊单；嘴下留情各位）

Waking up early, the entire square is discussing $TIMI.
Looking at the background, almost all are the tragic incidents caught in the Alpha phase.

According to market discussions, behind this incident is a major KOL's matrix team that meticulously planned it — they cultivated a group of loyal fans, but ultimately reaped the harvest.

Fans followed out of trust, not seeking to get rich overnight, but wishing to move forward side by side.
Little did they know that this sincerity became the reason for being harvested.
It is indeed disheartening.

The crypto space is not lacking in builders who move forward with brightness, but there are always speculators who exploit trust and overdraw the industry's credibility.
The harm done is not just to user assets, but to the trust foundation of the entire ecosystem.

I sincerely hope that:
Every act of trust should not be taken lightly;
Every following should be treated with sincerity.

🙏 I also remind everyone here: stay alert, discern truth from falsehood, and maintain your bottom line.

#加密风险提示 #币圈反思