#币安HODLer空投ALLO Good morning family ☀️ Come and send benefits to family members to reply and receive 188 🧧🧧 Fear and Greed Index 25 😱$BEAT {alpha}(560xcf3232b85b43bca90e51d38cc06cc8bb8c8a3e36)
#币安HODLer空投ALLO Good morning family ☀️ Come and send benefits to family members to reply and receive 188 🧧🧧 Fear and Greed Index 25 😱$BEAT {alpha}(560xcf3232b85b43bca90e51d38cc06cc8bb8c8a3e36)
11.13 Morning BTC and ETH Market Analysis and Strategy
From the 1-hour candlestick chart, both show a pattern of 'sharp decline + weak rebound'. The short-term battle between bulls and bears is concentrated at key support levels. #BTC has shown a 'completion of downward structure' signal, but selling pressure remains in the market. We need to wait for a stable position above 104500 to confirm the rebound trend; if it falls below 100000, it may trigger a new round of stop-loss orders. The daily chart shows consecutive declines and heavy selling pressure above, limiting rebound space. #ETH is currently in the repair phase after a 'false breakdown of the trend line', with the lows continuously rising, but stop-loss space is small. The ETH exchange rate is weakening, increasing the probability of BTC moving downward.
Operational Strategy: $BTC Short at the 10,3000–104,000 range on rebound, targeting a drop to 101500, and if broken, looking towards 99000-98500 $ETH Short at the 3500-3550 range on rebound, targeting a drop to 3380, and if broken, looking towards 3320 #走势分析 #美国结束政府停摆 #今日市场观点 $SOL
🍂 Morgan Stanley Warns: Bitcoin Has Entered the 'Autumn' Phase, Is Winter Approaching?
Warnings are coming from Wall Street. Morgan Stanley strategist Denny Galindo recently pointed out in the program 'Crypto Goes Mainstream':
'The cryptocurrency market has officially entered the 'Autumn' of Bitcoin's four-year cycle.'
He reminds investors that now is the time for harvesting, not for taking risks, and to secure profits, retain cash, and be patient before the potential 'Winter' arrives.
📊 Four Seasons Theory: Bitcoin's 'Three Up, One Down' Rhythm
Galindo divides Bitcoin's long-term trend into four seasonal cycles:
🌱 Spring: The bear market ends, and the market begins to sprout.
☀️ Summer: Strong upward movement, and the speculative atmosphere heats up.
🍂 Autumn: Prices fluctuate at high levels, and investors reap profits.
❄️ Winter: The bubble bursts, and the market undergoes deep corrections.
According to Morgan Stanley's analysis, historically, Bitcoin has maintained a rhythm of 'three years of increases, and a pullback in the fourth year.' Galindo emphasizes:
'We are in Autumn — this is the time for harvesting, not for sowing.'
In other words, Bitcoin is currently entering a high-price range of its cycle.
🧊 Is Winter Coming? Market Bearish Sentiment Heats Up
Since the market crash on October 11, the liquidity and risk appetite in the crypto market have significantly cooled. CryptoQuant research director Julio Moreno also warned in his report:
'Bitcoin briefly fell below $100,000 earlier this month and lost the 365-day moving average, which is the 'gold standard' indicator of market sentiment; falling below it represents a clear weakening of the trend.'
This signal is often seen as a precursor to the early stages of a bear market.
⚠️ Conclusion: Autumn is for Harvesting, Not for Greed
Bitcoin's long-cycle characteristics are repeatedly observed, When the 'Autumn' harvest makes people numb, 'Winter' is often already at the door.
At this stage, savvy investors should:
✅ Lock in some profits and reduce leverage;
✅ Focus on long-term support areas and liquidity trends;
✅ Reserve funds for the arrival of the next 'Spring.'
The market never lacks opportunities to make money, but it always lacks those who can safely survive the winter. #美国结束政府停摆 #币安HODLer空投ALLO #美国政府停摆 #Strategy增持比特币 #十月加密行情 $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) $SOL {spot}(SOLUSDT)
Friends who play contracts, don't underestimate your transaction fees. After a year, it could amount to hundreds of thousands. If you want to open a reverse share, contact me.
SOL Future Trend Prediction#美国结束政府停摆 #sol The recent performance of SOL has been strong, having broken through the $200 resistance level and is currently testing the key point at $218. However, caution is needed regarding the phenomenon of price diverging from trading volume, which may suggest insufficient upward momentum. From a technical perspective, the short-term support level is in the $194-$200 range, and if it can hold above $218, there is potential to challenge $230-$250; if there is a pullback, the $183-$193 range is expected to have strong support.
Technical Strength: Solana, with its hybrid consensus mechanism, achieves high throughput and low transaction costs, making it competitive in high-frequency application scenarios such as DeFi and NFTs.
Ecosystem Expansion: The Solana ecosystem continues to flourish, covering multiple areas including DEX and NFT platforms, and has partnered with giants like Google Cloud to create ongoing demand scenarios for SOL.
Capital Endorsement: The approval of the Solana ETF provides a compliant entry point for institutional funds, attracting nearly $200 million in net inflows in the first week, significantly increasing market attention. In an optimistic scenario, if the Solana ecosystem continues to expand and attract more institutional funds, the SOL price may challenge $300-$500, or even higher. However, there are also conservative views that suggest if market sentiment weakens, the price may fall below $250.
Potential Risk Alerts: Market Volatility: Cryptocurrencies are significantly affected by macroeconomic factors and regulatory policies, and market shifts may lead to price fluctuations. Ecosystem Dependence: The value of SOL is deeply tied to the Solana ecosystem, and attention must be paid to how on-chain governance decisions and technical stability impact market confidence.
Competitive Pressure: Performance enhancements from competitors like Ethereum 2.0 may pose challenges to Solana {future}(SOLUSDT)
SOL Future Trend Prediction#美国结束政府停摆 #sol The recent performance of SOL has been strong, having broken through the $200 resistance level and is currently testing the key point at $218. However, caution is needed regarding the phenomenon of price diverging from trading volume, which may suggest insufficient upward momentum. From a technical perspective, the short-term support level is in the $194-$200 range, and if it can hold above $218, there is potential to challenge $230-$250; if there is a pullback, the $183-$193 range is expected to have strong support.
Technical Strength: Solana, with its hybrid consensus mechanism, achieves high throughput and low transaction costs, making it competitive in high-frequency application scenarios such as DeFi and NFTs.
Ecosystem Expansion: The Solana ecosystem continues to flourish, covering multiple areas including DEX and NFT platforms, and has partnered with giants like Google Cloud to create ongoing demand scenarios for SOL.
Capital Endorsement: The approval of the Solana ETF provides a compliant entry point for institutional funds, attracting nearly $200 million in net inflows in the first week, significantly increasing market attention. In an optimistic scenario, if the Solana ecosystem continues to expand and attract more institutional funds, the SOL price may challenge $300-$500, or even higher. However, there are also conservative views that suggest if market sentiment weakens, the price may fall below $250.
Potential Risk Alerts: Market Volatility: Cryptocurrencies are significantly affected by macroeconomic factors and regulatory policies, and market shifts may lead to price fluctuations. Ecosystem Dependence: The value of SOL is deeply tied to the Solana ecosystem, and attention must be paid to how on-chain governance decisions and technical stability impact market confidence.
Competitive Pressure: Performance enhancements from competitors like Ethereum 2.0 may pose challenges to Solana {future}(SOLUSDT)
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