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Next Week's Macroeconomic Outlook: Fed Rate Cut Expectations Rise, Gold Market Likely to Experience Volatility

With positive signals from key U.S. economic data such as the "small non-farm" report and PCE, expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week continue to rise. The brief panic among Wall Street has quickly dissipated, as investors turn back to risk assets, betting on low-volatility, high-certainty investment opportunities. The Fed's interest rate decision will be the absolute focus of the market next week, especially against the backdrop of weak recent employment data in the U.S., where expectations for this rate cut have become increasingly unified.

Key market focus points for next week are as follows:

• Tuesday 0:00: U.S. November New York Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectation

• Tuesday 23:00: U.S. October JOLTs Job Openings

• Wednesday 3:00: Fed FOMC Announces Interest Rate Decision and Economic Projections Summary; 3:30: Fed Chair Powell Holds Monetary Policy Press Conference

• Thursday 21:30: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the Week Ending December 6, U.S. September Trade Balance

• Friday 1:00: Fed Releases Q3 2025 Flow of Funds Report, Focusing on U.S. Household Financial Health Data

• Friday 21:00: 2026 FOMC Voting Member, Philadelphia Fed President Harker Speaks on Economic Outlook; 21:30: 2026 FOMC Voting Member, Cleveland Fed President Mester Speaks

• Friday 23:35: Chicago Fed President Goolsbee Participates in a Panel Discussion at the Chicago Fed's 39th Annual Economic Outlook Symposium

It is noteworthy that the Fed's September dot plot indicated two rate cuts in 2026. In stark contrast, the current market expectations for easing policies in 2026 have reached 63 basis points, suggesting that investors are leaning towards betting on three rate cuts potentially occurring next year. $BTC #加密市场观察

Calm and unhurried, patiently waiting for direction, what matters in the weekend competition is this composure. The large pancake firmly looks below 88000, and the pullback has given a space of 2500 points, this is the best proof! $BTC #加密市场观察

Hold it to eat meat, the weekend is all about patience, the concubine's callback is fulfilled as scheduled, already given a space of 150 points. Get it, get it! $ETH #ETH走势分析

This weekend, the layout of the big pancake in high altitude has once again landed accurately, with entry and exit points perfectly aligning with the trend rhythm. The rebound and pullback are well within control, and this pullback has already captured a space of 1700 points. $BTC #加密市场观察

Economists predict: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates again in December, with two rate cuts possible in 2026.

Interviewed economists expect that Federal Reserve officials will vote next week to cut interest rates again in order to prevent a significant deterioration in the labor market.

The median of the survey shows that after consecutive rate cuts in September and October, the Federal Reserve's rate cut next week will continue this easing momentum; starting in March 2026, the Federal Reserve may implement two more rate cuts of 25 basis points within the year.

Many economists also predict that Federal Reserve officials may reiterate the statement from the October meeting about the "increased downside risks to employment in recent months."

The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at 2 PM Washington time on December 10, followed by a press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell. $BTC #加密市场观察

The concubine's synchronous high-altitude layout remains unchanged, short around 3050-3100, looking down at 2980-2880$ETH #ETH走势分析

The early morning market initially declined and then rose, quickly rebounding after testing the key support level of 88000, currently oscillating around the 89000 range!

From the current market view, the daily line shows a shrinking volume with consecutive bearish candles, the overall trend is dominated by bears, lacking effective volume support for a sustained rebound; on the four-hour level, bearish forces continue to increase, with prices running closely to the lower Bollinger band, the bearish pattern has not yet collapsed; the hourly line maintains a narrow range oscillation, coupled with weakened market liquidity over the weekend, a continuation of the oscillation and consolidation trend is highly likely. The suggested trading strategy is to focus on short positions with some support for long positions. Watch for pressure at the 90000 round number above, and plan around the 88000 support level below.
Bitcoin rebound near 89800-90600 short, looking down at 88800-88000. $BTC #加密市场观察

The concubine descends again in the early morning, fulfilling our goals as expected, with a pullback providing over 200 typical spaces. $ETH #ETH走势分析

Concubine strategy perfectly realized, direction precise and accurate, the market that should come never arrives late! $ETH #加密市场观察

The callback demand has been clearly indicated early, the rebound is weak and has not reached the high point, decisively short, the callback has reached a low of 89900, fulfilling the expected space of 2700 points. $BTC #加密市场观察

Black Friday, our concubine gave a control of 3200, reaching a high of 3912, followed by a pullback, currently providing a space of 86 points! $ETH #ETH走势分析

Even if the points given are not reached, it does not affect our layout for high positions. We have already clearly indicated that there is a demand for a market correction, and the rebound is weak, so we directly short. Currently, the correction space has reached 1700 points! $BTC #加密市场观察

Interest rate hikes in Japan are imminent in December, while the Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut rates during the same period. The opposing policies of the two major central banks are creating significant fluctuations in global liquidity as the year comes to a close.

In the next three weeks, market outcomes will no longer depend on directional predictions, but rather on the ability to withstand volatility and the timing of market movements. The strongest financial storm of the year-end has arrived; are you prepared? $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐

$ETH #ETH走势分析 The concubine can synchronize the high-altitude layout, rebound around 3200-3250 control, look down at 3100-3010

The large pancake is under pressure and has quickly rebounded after breaking below the 91000 mark. However, the selling pressure above remains strong, and attempts to break through the key resistance level of 94000 have been unsuccessful.

From the chart pattern perspective, a bearish candle is recorded on the daily level. In terms of key price levels, the core support range for the day can be locked in at 90000-90600, with strong resistance focusing on the integer level of 94000. In terms of technical indicators, although there is an increase in upward momentum on the daily chart, it has not been able to break through the zero-axis pressure; the volume on the 4-hour cycle continues to shrink, and the overall situation is in a consolidation phase, indicating a short-term need for a pullback. Therefore, in the future market, one can plan for a high-position layout for rebounds around 93000-93800, looking down at 91800-90600$BTC #加密市场观察 .

After waiting a whole day, the opportunity finally came. Auntie Da Bing's callback met expectations, and the rebound arrived as scheduled. Successfully captured a space of 1200/70 points. No rush, no panic, patiently waiting for the flowers to bloom. $BTC $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐

Concubine near 3130, the lowest pullback to 3138, the rebound has been fulfilled as expected, giving a space of 89 points. $ETH #ETH走势分析

After a day of fluctuation, everything is still under control. The lowest point of the pullback reached 91762, and our target of 91800 was also met as expected, with a rebound providing nearly 1500 points of space. $BTC #加密市场观察