郑辰谈大饼

Late-night strike! U.S. non-farm data ignites turmoil in the cryptocurrency market, and a guide for retail investors has arrived!

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut remains undecided, and Powell just stated, "A rate cut in December is not a certainty," with the delayed release of the U.S. non-farm data becoming the "bellwether" for the cryptocurrency market! It's important to understand that dollar liquidity is the "lifeline" of the crypto market, and this set of data directly determines whether the Federal Reserve will continue tightening or restart the easing mode.

A key insight from Zheng: Positive data = strong economic resilience → more hawkish Fed → bearish pressure on the crypto market; data below expectations = rising rate cut expectations → easing liquidity is expected → the crypto market welcomes a breather. But caution is necessary! The data has been delayed for a long time, and the market has long been speculating; tonight's short-term fluctuations will inevitably be intense, so don't let emotions lead you to panic sell!

Key for retail investors to break through:
❶ Reject full-scale gambling! Mainstream coins should hold their positions and not blindly cut losses; new positions should wait for the data to materialize before gradually investing.
❷ Discard short-term noise! The crypto market is about long-term understanding; don’t let a single piece of data lead you to chase highs and panic sell.
❸ Maintain a calm mindset! Watch the market tonight but don’t panic; the greater the volatility, the more discipline you need to maintain in your operations.

There are always opportunities in the market; what’s lacking is the ability to judge calmly! Zheng continues to closely monitor on-chain dynamics and policy trends, guiding you to find the right rhythm in the turmoil and steadily profit. If you find this information valuable, make sure to follow for real-time analysis!
#美联储重启降息步伐

The bear market is crazy! You clearly understand 'cognitive monetization for swing trading', yet you always fall victim to the human nature curse of 'making a little profit and running away, winning small and losing big'?

Don't fight alone! With a 10,000 capital aiming for a 100,000 target, relying on execution rather than luck, precisely seizing the swing opportunities from November to December! Only 5 spots available for collaboration, let's work together to crack human weaknesses and secure certain profits. Don't be slow, come quickly to grab a seat! $BTC $ETH #特朗普取消农产品关税

Weekend Mindfulness｜The biggest enemy in trading is not the K-line but oneself！
✅ Inner demons strike: Panic and exit after making 3 points, stubbornly hold on after losing 10 points; addicted to the fantasy of getting rich overnight, heavily betting on life and death.
✅ Breaking the law of the game:

1. Trading system = "Supreme Code" — Entry conditions, exit signals, position limits, all written down uncompromisingly, functioning as an emotionless execution machine;
2. Stop-loss = "Life-saving talisman" — Stop-loss is never a failure, but a necessary cost for survival, just like wearing a seatbelt when driving, solely to safely navigate through market turbulence and reach the profit destination. #比特币VS代币化黄金

🌙 晚安，每一位坚守交易场的同行者。

今日涨跌终成过往，盈亏不过是过程的注脚。
真正值钱的，是你记下的每一次犹豫、每一次果断止损、每一轮情绪起伏——
这些细碎的瞬间，都会在未来替你省下真金白银的学费。

市场从不会缺席明天，我们能做的，是睡前清空遗憾，醒来重拾勇气。
愿你在K线波动中稳住心神，在市场噪音里守住判断力。

💤 关灯前不妨问问自己：
今天，你为交易成长攒下了哪一分底气？
#比特币VS代币化黄金

黄金周线破局！4200拉锯战终结，多头剑指4265！
本周4164-4240窄幅震荡白热化，支撑带上移至4193-4195美元，突破4230关键位后震荡格局瓦解！
核心策略：守4202-4207支撑，日线4185为底线，小时图加速信号已现，4255-4265目标区间近在眼前！
周五守住4195下方支撑，顺势冲击4240-4260！#比特币VS代币化黄金

📌 The core of continuous profitability: it's not about precise predictions, but rather making fewer basic mistakes!
Many people think that experts rely on 'guessing the market', but what actually eliminates 80% of traders are the fundamental mistakes made repeatedly:
1️⃣ Looking for stop-loss levels only after placing an order (putting the cart before the horse)
2️⃣ Placing orders casually with just a couple of taps on the phone (rash decision-making)
3️⃣ Impulsively chasing orders based on a single candlestick (blindly following the trend)
4️⃣ Emotionally increasing positions to average down losses (the more you add, the more trapped you become)
5️⃣ Holding onto winning trades too tightly, and stubbornly hanging onto losing trades (imbalanced mindset)
6️⃣ Entering trades without a plan, relying solely on feelings (gambler's mentality)
Experts don't avoid losses, but they make fewer mistakes, cut losses quickly, and don't stubbornly hold on!
Trading is not about talent, but rather extreme execution and self-discipline. #比特币VS代币化黄金

Evening gold has been certified #比特币VS代币化黄金

🌍如果把全球所有黄金融成一颗球，会有多大？

答案震惊很多人——直径仅32.6米，差不多 一个白宫大小。​
📦 全球黄金储量分两部分：
🟡 地上已开采：约21.63万吨
以当前金价 $4200/盎司计，价值约29.1万亿美元
🟡 地下尚待开采：约13.31万吨
潜在价值约17.7万亿美元
合计≈46.7万亿美元的财富载体
听起来庞大，合起来却不过一颗32.6米的小球。
而地球人口80亿，人均才不到27克黄金——连一枚小戒指都不到。
💡所以黄金为何抗通胀、为何成为全球储备资产？
不是因为神秘，而是因为稀缺+不可复制+全球共识。纸币可以无限印，黄金一毫米都得挖。#比特币VS代币化黄金

Golden Afternoon Urgent Report: 4200+ High-Level Game, Bulls Steadily Hold the Position!
After breaking through 4200, the long shadow line oscillates continuously, but the 5/10-day moving averages continue to incline, and the MACD red bars have not shrunk to the zero axis, with no dead cross signal—Bull Market Structure Remains Unchanged!
Key Levels Precisely Anchored:
Support at 4150 (Iron Bottom Unbroken, Bulls Have No Worries)
Resistance at 4225-4230 (Today's Main Offensive Core Defense Line)
Breaking above 4250 → Main Uptrend Directly Starts!
Macroeconomic Environment + Interest Rate Cut Expectations + Geopolitical Risk Aversion Triple Support, Consolidation is just "A Break in the Bull Market", Holding 4150 to Continue to be Bullish! #比特币VS代币化黄金

The Core of Trading: Subtraction and Waiting for Signals

The Top Wisdom of Trading is Just Two Words: Less + Wait

Subtraction: Only tackle "easily understood topics"—clean charts, standard signals, clear direction; directly discard the tangled "difficult problems". Top traders spend 99% of their time filtering opportunities, just to seize that 1% certainty.
Extreme Waiting: Signals are orders, stop losses are the "market ticket"; don’t arbitrarily change the system due to a single loss.

Grounded Mindset: Each trade is a "hypothesis-verification" experiment—use the system to set direction, use entry/stop loss/take profit to outline rules, and don’t bring in any emotional distractions during execution. #比特币VS代币化黄金

3 Free Indicators for Forex Short-term Trading, Directly Copy the Homework👇
1️⃣ RSI (Sentiment Meter)
Parameters: RSI(14)+30/70 Level Lines
Usage: Golden cross below 30 to buy, death cross above 70 to sell, divergence is a reversal signal
Mnemonic: "RSI breaks 30 prepare to buy, breaks 70 beware of peak"

2️⃣ Bollinger Bands (Volatility Radar)
Parameters: Period 20+Standard Deviation 2
Usage: Squeeze indicates a change, do not chase long at the upper band, do not chase short at the lower band
Mnemonic: "Bollinger squeeze must watch closely, when it opens, follow without hesitation"

3️⃣ Moving Average (Trend Navigator)
Combination: EMA12+EMA30
Usage: Golden cross to go long, death cross to go short, moving averages align with strong trends
Mnemonic: "Do not short above the moving average, do not long below the moving average"

Trend Market: Bullish moving averages + Bollinger upper band + RSI>50 → Pull back to EMA30 to go long
Range Market: Flat moving averages + Bollinger flat + RSI30-70 → High sell low buy at the boundary to reverse
Reversal Market: Price RSI divergence + Bollinger breakout + Moving average turning → Reverse operation set previous high/previous low stop loss #比特币VS代币化黄金

2025 Gold prices skyrocketed, breaking historical records 50+ times! The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, geopolitical conflicts, and central bank purchases are three solid fundamentals supporting the market 📈
In 2026, don't stubbornly pursue a one-sided approach! Avoid chasing high prices, keep 1/3 of your position flexible to respond — economic recovery and potential rate hikes could lead to a market crash, and escalating conflicts or unexpected rate cuts might still drive prices higher.
Focus closely on non-farm payrolls and geopolitical dynamics; maintaining profits amid volatility is the key ～
#比特币VS代币化黄金

The gold fluctuation pattern remains unchanged! The daily candlestick has formed consecutive doji patterns, steadily standing above the MA7/10 moving averages, with the RSI adjusting in the mid-axis area; the 4H and 1H moving averages are converging, and the Bollinger Bands are gradually tightening, with prices caught in a triangular consolidation range. At the end of the week, focus on resistance levels of 4240-4260 and support levels of 4160-4170, short-term high short and low long, precisely targeting the layout #比特币VS代币化黄金

Nature of Trading: Probability Game, Alternating Profit and Loss

In favorable circumstances, accumulate a reasonable 'greed' profit cushion;
In adverse situations, rely on this accumulation to withstand losses.
Mature Trading Perspective: Do not pursue perfection, accept the instincts of greed and fear, quantify control within a fixed framework, and calmly bear the costs of trial and error. #比特币VS代币化黄金

Ms. Zhang from Shanghai lost 170,000! The "Mai Duo Duo" platform recommended by an acquaintance sells gold at 20-30 lower than the market price. After a small trial for 7 days and receiving real gold, she invested 170,000 to grab 700 grams, only to find the platform stopped operations and ran away. Over 200 people were defrauded of more than 30 million! This year in November, the boss Chen and his accomplice Liu were arrested. The "low-priced gold" turned out to be a carefully designed trap; being greedy for small gains really leads to big losses! #加密市场观察

December 4th, 9:30 AM, initial unemployment claims announced #比特币VS代币化黄金

Bid farewell to procrastination, small goal #美联储重启降息步伐

12.4 Gold Evening Market: Stabilizing Above 4200, Focused on Low Buys in a Slow Bull Pattern

Gold prices have firmly stabilized above 4200 USD, breaking through the key retracement level of 4191.95, with the next target aimed at the 78.6% retracement level of 4275.16 USD! The 4-hour chart shows a slow bull oscillating upward trend, with step support formed at 4208-4195-4170, and strong support at 4155-4160, limiting the pullback space, making low-position buying very safe.

Strategy: Build long positions in the 4180-4208 range, targeting 4240-4250. #加密市场观察

US-EU Economic Divergence! Key Levels for Euro to US Dollar

In December 2025, the Euro to US Dollar faces a directional choice: Eurozone's November CPI year-on-year rises to 2.2% (slightly above expectations), core inflation stabilizes at 2.4%, supported by the service sector and narrowing energy price declines; US November ISM Manufacturing PMI drops to 48.2, contracting for the ninth consecutive month, with weak new orders and employment indicators.

From a technical perspective, the exchange rate is in a neutral range: breaking above 1.1655 would signal the end of the pullback, while falling below 1.1554 could retreat to 1.1490. Attention should be paid to data and policy dynamics, as uncertainty in the foreign exchange market is relatively high.
$BTC $ETH

Hardworking partners😊
Side by side, every effort shines bright #加密市场观察