远哥早知道

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The large pancake near 92600 is horizontal, having connected three consecutive 4-hour bullish candles, but the trading volume has clearly shrunk, with a net inflow of -210 million, a typical bear-controlled rebound. The upper Bollinger band at 95200 is pressing down hard, and the MACD red bars are shortening, about to turn green; the current position is the most comfortable for a bull trap. Volatility remains high, and if the US stock market dips a bit tonight, a liquidity pull could directly push it below 90,000.

The strong resistance is first seen at 93500-94000; as long as this range does not stabilize with volume, it's a false breakout. The lower defense is at 88000-88500; if it breaks below, accept the loss and exit, don't resist hard.

Light shorting at 92600-93000, first look at 91500-91000 before exiting.
If it really drops to around 88500 tonight, directly short long without thinking, set the stop-loss at 87800. Above 93500-94000, I'll give another wave of short orders, targeting a return to 90000-90500.
The market is just about cutting leeks back and forth; don't cling to battles, move when the point arrives, rhythm is a hundred times more important than direction. #ETH巨鲸增持 #BTC走势分析 #BTC

The magician from Missouri inserted an RFID under the skin, turning it into a portable cold wallet, sounding like future technology becoming reality. However, he forgot the password, leaving the wallet inside his flesh, the money in the sky, and himself stuck in the middle, unable to move.

Now there are two options. Either spend several weeks forcefully trying to crack it, relying on software to gradually unlock it, which is a tedious and torturous process; or directly go into the operating room and surgically remove this "wallet" from under the skin, a real-life version of unboxing, except what you're unboxing is yourself.
The core issue is actually very simple: technology is not the problem; humans are the biggest vulnerability. No matter how you turn the wallet into cyberpunk, it cannot prevent the old habit of forgetting passwords.

This story will repeat itself in the future. As wearables, implantables, and on-chain identities get closer to the body, human forgetfulness will increasingly escalate issues. Binding digital assets to the body sounds impressive, but as soon as the password is lost, the body becomes the last lock instead.
Looking back at these cases in the future will be like flipping through old photos: when humans first stuffed a wallet into their skin, they found out that forgetting the password was even more troublesome than brain surgery. $BTC $ETH #币安区块链周 #ETH巨鲸增持 #加密市场观察

The big pancake Ethereum intraday analysis
A big bullish candle directly pushed out 7000 points, the panic selling pressure from the weekend was instantly swallowed, and the 4-hour rebound became a strong extension. The core support zone has been raised to the 91000 line, and buying pressure has held back the selling pressure from previous highs. Focus first on the upper track of 96000-97000; as long as the daily line can stabilize above 94000, the smell of a medium-term trend reversal will become stronger.

Ethereum is accelerating; if it stays around 3000, the selling pressure can be completely worn off. The rhythm is to follow the trend and go long, without touching the top.

Strategy recommendation: return to 90500-91000 to go long, continuing to push upwards following the main rising logic. $BTC $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持 #币安区块链周 #ETH走势分析 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

The consolidation before the rise was already written in the script. Based on Washington time, this technical point falls on November 30th, and locally it just turned to December 1st. Currently, in the fundamentals, only the Federal Reserve has stopped QT, while other ignition factors are still on the way, so this position's pullback is completely reasonable. Bullish signals have already emerged. Once the interest rate decision is made, the market's pace will accelerate again. The real large-scale market movement will occur in the first half of 2026, and the trend will not be absent. Stay calm, hold your positions steady, the road is opening ahead. $BTC $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析 #美联储比特币储备

This news from Hainan is uncertain whether it's true or not, but if it is, it carries significant weight.

Some areas are directly connected to the global internet, which is equivalent to equipping the free trade port with a genuine "international channel." Data can go out, services can come in, and the barriers for cross-border business will be rapidly lowered.

This is not a small policy; it's an adjustment at the level of industrial structure. Foreign investment, technology, and cross-border services will all be re-energized.
In simple terms, Hainan is upgrading the "experimental zone" to an "international entry point." $BTC $ETH #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 #香港稳定币新规

The recent fluctuations of Bitcoin resemble a rubber band stretched over a slingshot, with power accumulating, just waiting for that final release. 88500 is the bottom anchor point; if it holds, the structure will continue to extend upwards; if it doesn't hold, the market will move downwards in search of liquidity, opening up space for bears.

Ethereum's scenario looks more like a lake that cannot be stirred, with upward and downward forces canceling each other out, and a sense of direction has yet to brew. The weekend is inherently lacking in liquidity, and systemic funds won’t make significant moves during this period, resulting in sideways consolidation becoming the main storyline. Once volatility expands again, ETH will reveal its true intentions.

This compressed silence won’t last long; the rhythm of the next few K-lines will be the trigger point for this round's direction. #BTC #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持

China reiterates: virtual currency remains a 'forbidden zone' domestically.
The central bank's latest meeting statement continues the previous tone: activities related to virtual currency fall within the prohibited scope, and any abnormal actions involving capital flow or information flow will be closely monitored, with strict enforcement against illegal activities.
What does this mean?
The domestic regulatory framework remains stringent, and there will be no leniency at the policy level for Web3 and crypto trading.
However, the technological innovations in the market, the acceleration of overseas teams, and the growth of international trading volume will continue to run parallel.
The policy remains unchanged, the direction is clear, the risks are real, but the global market narrative will not stop due to a piece of restriction.
In this dual-track mode, it is necessary to remain clear-headed:
Domestic compliance, overseas cycle observation.
Regulation maintains high pressure, and the industry continues to move forward. #BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH

The Hong Kong fire is heart-wrenching.
It is a fact that the country does not support Web3, but in the face of disaster, the industry's positions have been set aside.
This time, the crypto community reacted quickly:
Leading Chinese exchanges were the first to donate, followed by project parties and communities.
People both on-chain and off-chain are doing their best to contribute.
Regulators do not recognize the industry, but the industry takes responsibility voluntarily, which makes it even more precious.
This is a rare 'moment of collective action' in the crypto community, and it proves that it has real social mobilization capability at critical junctures. #加密市场观察 #ETH巨鲸增持 #香港稳定币新规 #香港大火

The current selling pressure is not what everyone imagines as 'smart money fleeing,' but rather a more fundamental structural turnover.

The old players with over 7 years of experience are almost completely unmoved. Those who can hold from a few hundred dollars to one hundred twenty-four thousand dollars are not living for short-term fluctuations. They remain as fixed as a mountain on-chain, indifferent to how the market is stirred.

The real outflow of chips comes from medium-term holders who entered the market in the past few years, cashed out a portion at high points, and are now selling again as prices pull back and continue along the trend. The movement of about three hundred thousand coins is this group adjusting their positions. It is not a panic escape but rather executing their own rhythm.

What seems like 'panic selling' in the market is more like weak hands being forced into a localized surrender. Inertia is amplified, emotions are magnified, but the structure remains intact. The steadfast wallets remain unmoved like a mountain, and the overall situation on-chain remains stable, only the prices are going through the necessary cleansing.

At such times, it is easiest to confuse others, and it is also easiest to achieve the next cleaner trend. #BTC #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐

The current market sentiment is typical of the "peak zone." Everyone wants to leverage by a hundred times, dreaming of flipping their accounts overnight. The open interest in contracts has surged, and this madness is historically close to the cyclical top.

The hotter the market, the greater the risk. The trend can continue to push, but the pace will become increasingly intense. Stay in line and don’t let emotions lead you astray; during frenzied periods, it is easiest to be caught off guard by the market.

Price is always the hunter; it will rush wherever liquidity is available. If there are piles of stop-loss orders, short margin, and weak order areas above, the market will sweep through this path of least resistance, consuming everything it can.

This movement is not mystical; it is structural instinct: capital seeks to maximize efficiency and will strike where volatility can be easily ignited.
Understanding this, many of the market's "sudden spikes" and "strange wicks" will become as clear as physical laws. $BTC $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐

The super cycle of stablecoins is like a "financial tectonic movement," silently accumulating power, but once it starts, the entire crypto world will be uplifted.

When large banks and tech companies rush to issue stablecoins, the number of issuers expands from dozens to hundreds of thousands, essentially dispersing the funds originally concentrated in bank ledgers into countless "micro-pipelines" on the blockchain. Capital will continuously overflow along these micro-pipelines, forcing the closed liquidity of the banking system to open up, and naturally turning the blockchain into a new main thoroughfare for traffic.

Banks issuing their own deposit tokens is more like a desperate self-rescue. Traditional deposit competition relied on interest rates, but now it depends on "on-chain convenience": faster fund settlements, stronger liquidity, and lower cross-border friction. The battle for deposits will shift from offline branches to on-chain assets; whoever provides a smoother on-chain experience will be able to capture more liquidity.

Payments entering the "grid" era is the most intuitive outcome of the entire super cycle. You pay with currency A, I receive currency B, and the exchange in between is automatically completed by the on-chain clearing and settlement system in a few hundred milliseconds, feeling as seamless as air. Payments have shifted from a "single track" to a multi-track woven grid, where each track can absorb funds and distribute liquidity. The more grid-like the structure, the stronger the liquidity.

When this grid is woven tightly enough, stablecoins will become the underlying fuel for the global digital economy, becoming as ubiquitous as electricity and as transparent as bandwidth. What deserves more attention next is which chains, which applications, and which financial products will become the new traffic centers within this grid. $BTC $USDT #香港稳定币新规 #特朗普加密新政

The pancake festival rhythm is still leaning upwards, but the rebound has not stabilized at 94000. The upward movement here is more of a technical correction, and chasing highs can easily lead to being harvested back and forth. Now the volatility is soaring in the high range for the year, sentiment is hot but the direction is not determined. The core pricing has shifted from halving to interest rates and liquidity; the slightest movement from the Federal Reserve and the U.S. stock market can impact the market.

Ethereum is following an upward structure, with strong resistance first observed in the range of 3150 to 3200. When reaching this position, one should be cautious of a spike followed by a pullback.

The lower range of 88000 to 88500 is today's defensive band, and approaching this level suggests a short-term long position.
The upper range of 93000 to 93500 is the main stronghold for bears; hitting this level suggests a short position to watch for a pullback.
With the market positioned this way, maintaining a steady rhythm is crucial to keeping profits in hand. $BTC $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 #美国非农数据超预期

MON's flavor is becoming more and more pronounced, the graphics look like they are holding back a strong breath.

Every time the price approaches, it’s like a cat testing a door lock, ready to leap at any moment. As long as it can truly stand above the cloud chart, it’s not a slow climb, but rather a sudden acceleration that breaks through air resistance. Arthur Hayes initially called for 10 dollars, which seemed exaggerated, but once it breaks free from suppression, the elasticity of this thing can be frightening.

The green support zone below has absorbed too much capital for too long, and the selling pressure is nearly done. In other words: the current chips are in the hands of those willing to “carry it upward.” Once it breaks through, the market will realize “it can’t be held down,” and the emotional reversal will be faster than flipping a candlestick chart. The key is this: break through, stabilize, and retest without breaking. Achieving these three actions will make the upward space light and decisive.

What we will focus on next is not whether it will move, but how fast the speed can be after the breakthrough. MON's story is brewing; it loves to surprise people usually when most are just relaxing. $MON #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场反弹 #Monad

SOL market analysis shows that the four-hour chart indicates a pin bar cleaning out weak hands, followed by a rapid reversal forming a significant bullish recovery. The lower Bollinger Band has not been touched, while the middle band has been broken and is providing support, indicating that short-term momentum is starting to concentrate. MACD has crossed from below to above, and trading volume is expanding during the rebound, suggesting a recovery of bullish initiative. The pattern presents a typical launching shape of 'pullback confirmation → volume expansion reversal'.

Key support levels are recent lows of 121-125, with strong support at 134-138 and short-term resistance at 143-146 as the primary short-term resistance, looking further at 150-156. When pulling back to 136-139 and holding, gradually buy in, and if it directly breaks through 146 with volume, the trend confirmation can hold onto more positions.

The first operation position is at 136-139, with a stop loss set at 130-132; the target is first looking at 146, then at 150-156; if the price falls back and breaks below 130, the main bullish logic is compromised, and it is recommended to stay in cash or change strategy. $SOL #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析 #比特币波动性 #加密市场观察 641

BTC Early Morning Thought Analysis
From the market perspective, a strong bullish candle appeared on the four-hour chart, directly breaking through and stabilizing at the mid-line. The Bollinger Bands have transitioned from a contraction to an expansion, and the short-term moving averages are converging and beginning to rise. The trading volume increased significantly during the surge, indicating institutional or main force intentions to continue. The MACD fast line crosses above the slow line, and the histogram turns positive, showing upward short-term momentum. Overall, the market sentiment is shifting from weak fluctuation to strong fluctuation or preliminary bullishness, with ninety thousand within reach.

The primary support below the key level is 87000-88500, strong support is 84000-85000, and short-term resistance is at 91500. After breaking through, watch for 92500-93500. The operational logic suggests taking a short-term long position, focusing on whether 90500 can break through with increased volume to confirm a higher target. A pullback to 88500 and stabilization would be an ideal low-entry point.

Operational advice: If it pulls back to 88500, you can build positions in batches, with a stop loss set at 85500. The initial target to look for is 91500, and after a breakthrough, watch for 92500. If it falls directly and breaks 84800, it indicates that the main direction has not yet turned bullish, so reduce positions or exit. $BTC #比特币波动性 #加密市场反弹 #美国非农数据超预期 #美联储重启降息步伐 #BTC

Ether thought analysis
The four-hour chart has returned above 3000 and has been continuously climbing in small increments. The Bollinger Bands are gradually opening up, the price has crossed the middle line, and the short-term moving average has turned upwards. After the MACD showed a bottom divergence, it has rebounded, and the volume has steadily increased with the rebound, indicating that the bulls are accumulating and pushing back. Structurally, it is in the early stage of confirming a reversal from the bottom.

Key strong support at 2820-2850 is the previous low point during the pullback, with short-term support at 2950-2980 and short-term resistance at 3070-3100. After breaking through, look for 3150-3220. The trading logic leans towards medium-short term buying on dips, and can hold for trends after a breakout. If a pullback occurs and finds support near 2950-2980, one can increase their position.

Trading suggestion: incrementally buy on dips at 2960-3000, with the initial stop-loss set at 2880. The first target is 3070, and the second target is 3150. If it directly breaks through 3100 with strong volume, one can continue to hold and look for 3220, adjusting the stop-loss upwards as the price increases. $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持 #比特币波动性 $BTC #美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察

BNB Early Morning Strategy Analysis
The current four-hour chart shows a significant bullish candlestick that engulfs several previous bearish candlesticks. The mid-band has been stabilized, and the upper middle Bollinger Band is beginning to expand, indicating a strong short-term bullish takeover. The MACD fast line crosses above the slow line and diverges, with trading volume increasing on the bullish candlestick, clearly indicating major player involvement. Structurally, it forms a bullish rhythm of 'rising lower support → breakout on increased volume'.

Operational logic primarily focuses on trend-following position increases; short-term, one can buy on dips and watch for further rally opportunities. If there is a pullback to 860-875 and it holds, one can add positions; however, if a shrinking volume engulfing pattern appears, caution is advised.

Operational advice is to build positions in batches, with the first batch around the 870 area on a pullback, placing a stop loss around 845. If it breaks through 925 with increased volume, the second batch can be pursued with a stop loss adjusted to 3%-5% below the breakout level, targeting first 960, then 990. If it loses 845, the short-term trend will shift to consolidation or pullback, and a retreat is recommended. $BNB #比特币波动性 #ETH走势分析 #比特币波动性 #bnb

UNI Four-Hour Thought Analysis
The current four-hour chart has completed a series of consecutive rebounds from the bottom up. The candlestick structure shows a significant bullish line after multiple tests at low levels, crossing back through the middle track. The Bollinger Bands are beginning to tighten and open upwards, and the short moving average has turned flat and is trending upwards. The MACD histogram has turned from negative to positive, and the DEA and DIF have crossed upwards, indicating that momentum is taking over. The trading volume has significantly increased compared to the bottom, but there hasn't been an explosive volume spike yet; it is a steady upward rebound.

Key support near 5.86 is the recent bottom, with secondary support at 6.00 and resistance in the 6.50-6.60 zone being the first short-term resistance. After breaking through, look for 6.90-7.10. The trend has confirmed a shift from bearish to bullish, and the main strategy is to go long in line with the trend, waiting for a pullback confirmation before entering rather than chasing the rise.

Operational advice: If it pulls back to 6.05-6.15 and shows a significant bullish line or a small-scale bullish arrangement on the 4H chart, consider entering long in batches, with a stop loss set below 5.80 as a primary stop loss; initially target 6.50, then 6.90; if it directly breaks through 6.60 with volume, chase long up to 7.10, adjusting the stop loss to 3%-5% below the cost based on personal risk preference. If it falls below 5.80, the bullish logic becomes invalid, and one should promptly close positions or switch to short. $UNI #ETH巨鲸增持 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #香港稳定币新规 #特朗普加密新政

The market has compressed volatility to the extreme over the past two days, like a spring getting tighter and tighter. Weak hands have been washed out, and only strong capital that can hold remains on the table. This structure will only move in two directions: either a sharp sell-off to wash out the last wave of panic, or a direct switch to the main force's accumulation rhythm.

At this time, it is easiest to see a decisive large candlestick with significant volume. I have been focusing on key levels and know how to enter at the lowest risk position.
If you want to get ahead of this big volatility wave, send me a message, and I will provide you with the precise range. $ETH #加密市场回调 #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析 #特朗普加密新政