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Big Week Ahead For Crypto Holders 🚨
▫️ 9th December: JOLTs Job Openings data will be released.
▫️ 10th December: The FOMC interest rate decision and Powell's press conference will happen.
▫️ 11th December: Initial jobless claims, PPI, Core PPI and OPEC monthly report will be released.
▫️ 12th December: The Fed balance sheet will be released, and 3 Fed speakers will deliver a speech.
The most important one is obviously the FOMC interest rate decision.
A 25 BPS rate cut is almost locked, with Polymarket showing odds of 93%.
All eyes will be on Powell's press conference, as his thoughts and remarks on the economy will decide the next move.
$BTC #FOMCWatch
▫️ 9th December: JOLTs Job Openings data will be released.
▫️ 10th December: The FOMC interest rate decision and Powell's press conference will happen.
▫️ 11th December: Initial jobless claims, PPI, Core PPI and OPEC monthly report will be released.
▫️ 12th December: The Fed balance sheet will be released, and 3 Fed speakers will deliver a speech.
The most important one is obviously the FOMC interest rate decision.
A 25 BPS rate cut is almost locked, with Polymarket showing odds of 93%.
All eyes will be on Powell's press conference, as his thoughts and remarks on the economy will decide the next move.
$BTC #FOMCWatch
Good 👍
KaiZXBT
--
Bullish
$XRP quick Analysis : Ripple Recovers Within Downtrend Channel
Ripple (XRP) has risen nearly 2% at the time of writing, as buyers continue to defend the key psychological level at $2.00. The intraday rebound suggests the potential formation of a short-term upward wave, although the overall trend remains confined within the larger downtrend channel on the daily chart.
If bullish momentum persists, XRP could target the upper resistance near $2.18, defined by the highs on October 6 and November 10. In the event of a successful breakout, the price may extend toward the 200-day EMA around $2.47.
The current rebound has temporarily weakened the bearish signal from the MACD, as the MACD line (blue) has crossed back above the signal line (red). Meanwhile, the RSI at 44 is turning upward toward neutral territory, indicating improving bullish momentum.
On the downside, key support for XRP remains near $1.90, corresponding to the June 22 low, serving as an important short-term defense level for bulls.
Traders should watch these levels closely, as a sustained move above $2.18 could signal a broader recovery, while a breakdown below $1.90 would reinforce the prevailing downtrend.
{future}(XRPUSDT)
Ripple (XRP) has risen nearly 2% at the time of writing, as buyers continue to defend the key psychological level at $2.00. The intraday rebound suggests the potential formation of a short-term upward wave, although the overall trend remains confined within the larger downtrend channel on the daily chart.
If bullish momentum persists, XRP could target the upper resistance near $2.18, defined by the highs on October 6 and November 10. In the event of a successful breakout, the price may extend toward the 200-day EMA around $2.47.
The current rebound has temporarily weakened the bearish signal from the MACD, as the MACD line (blue) has crossed back above the signal line (red). Meanwhile, the RSI at 44 is turning upward toward neutral territory, indicating improving bullish momentum.
On the downside, key support for XRP remains near $1.90, corresponding to the June 22 low, serving as an important short-term defense level for bulls.
Traders should watch these levels closely, as a sustained move above $2.18 could signal a broader recovery, while a breakdown below $1.90 would reinforce the prevailing downtrend.
{future}(XRPUSDT)
THE CYCLE INVERSION
What if 2025 was the bear market and nobody noticed?
Consider the evidence.
Bitcoin broke its all-time high BEFORE the halving for the first time in history. This was not a bull market signal. This was the cycle inverting.
2024 was not the start of a new bull run. It was political repricing. A pro-crypto administration being priced in. Nothing more.
2025 has shown every characteristic of a bear market:
Bitcoin dominance at multi-year highs while altcoins bleed to death. Three and a half billion dollars in ETF outflows in a single month. A twenty-nine percent drawdown from October highs. Extreme fear readings on sentiment indices.
The paradox that breaks every model: bear market psychology at ninety thousand dollars.
Two years ago this price was euphoric fantasy. Today it generates panic.
The four-year halving cycle is not dead. It has been absorbed. One hundred twenty billion dollars in ETF assets under management has fused Bitcoin to Federal Reserve liquidity cycles. The halving still governs supply. But demand now follows the Fed, not crypto-native narratives.
What does this inversion mean for 2026?
If the bear market already occurred disguised by nominal highs, the next phase is the actual blow-off top. One hundred fifty to two hundred thousand becomes the target as global liquidity expansion forces capital into hard assets.
The crowd is positioned for a crash that already happened.
They are fearful when they should be accumulating.
The cycle did not break. It inverted. Those who recognize the inversion will capture the next leg. Those who wait for the crash they expect will watch it leave without them.
The bear market is behind you.
Act accordingly.
What if 2025 was the bear market and nobody noticed?
Consider the evidence.
Bitcoin broke its all-time high BEFORE the halving for the first time in history. This was not a bull market signal. This was the cycle inverting.
2024 was not the start of a new bull run. It was political repricing. A pro-crypto administration being priced in. Nothing more.
2025 has shown every characteristic of a bear market:
Bitcoin dominance at multi-year highs while altcoins bleed to death. Three and a half billion dollars in ETF outflows in a single month. A twenty-nine percent drawdown from October highs. Extreme fear readings on sentiment indices.
The paradox that breaks every model: bear market psychology at ninety thousand dollars.
Two years ago this price was euphoric fantasy. Today it generates panic.
The four-year halving cycle is not dead. It has been absorbed. One hundred twenty billion dollars in ETF assets under management has fused Bitcoin to Federal Reserve liquidity cycles. The halving still governs supply. But demand now follows the Fed, not crypto-native narratives.
What does this inversion mean for 2026?
If the bear market already occurred disguised by nominal highs, the next phase is the actual blow-off top. One hundred fifty to two hundred thousand becomes the target as global liquidity expansion forces capital into hard assets.
The crowd is positioned for a crash that already happened.
They are fearful when they should be accumulating.
The cycle did not break. It inverted. Those who recognize the inversion will capture the next leg. Those who wait for the crash they expect will watch it leave without them.
The bear market is behind you.
Act accordingly.
BREAKING: The Federal Reserve Just Ended Quantitative Tightening. What Comes Next Changes Everything.
While markets obsess over rate cuts, Wall Street’s sharpest minds are focused elsewhere.
The real story: Fed officials are expected to announce Reserve Management Purchases at the December 10 FOMC meeting, initiating $20 to $40 billion in monthly Treasury bill acquisitions starting January 2026.
They will not call it Quantitative Easing.
But the math speaks for itself.
At the upper range, this injects $480 billion in fresh liquidity annually into a financial system where bank reserves just touched $3 trillion, their lowest level since the repo crisis of 2019.
Evercore ISI projects $35 billion monthly. UBS forecasts $40 billion. Goldman Sachs expects $20 billion net. The spread reveals uncertainty. The direction reveals intent.
Three years of balance sheet reduction. $2.4 trillion drained from markets. Now the tide reverses.
The mechanism is elegant: maturing mortgage backed securities, running off at $15 to $19 billion monthly, get reinvested into short duration T-bills. Duration shortens. Liquidity expands. The Fed maintains plausible deniability.
Mark Cabana of Bank of America warns investors are “underestimating” what the balance sheet announcement will deliver. Above $40 billion signals accommodation. Below $30 billion signals restraint.
The repo market already knows. SOFR rates have repeatedly breached the Fed’s policy corridor ceiling. The banking system is signaling: reserves are shifting from abundant to adequate, with scarcity looming.
For risk assets, this changes the calculus.
For inflation hawks, this raises the specter of policy error.
For those paying attention, this is the pivot hiding in plain sight.
December 10. Watch the implementation notes.
The era of tighthat ended. The era of managed expansion begins.
#ETHBreaksATH
While markets obsess over rate cuts, Wall Street’s sharpest minds are focused elsewhere.
The real story: Fed officials are expected to announce Reserve Management Purchases at the December 10 FOMC meeting, initiating $20 to $40 billion in monthly Treasury bill acquisitions starting January 2026.
They will not call it Quantitative Easing.
But the math speaks for itself.
At the upper range, this injects $480 billion in fresh liquidity annually into a financial system where bank reserves just touched $3 trillion, their lowest level since the repo crisis of 2019.
Evercore ISI projects $35 billion monthly. UBS forecasts $40 billion. Goldman Sachs expects $20 billion net. The spread reveals uncertainty. The direction reveals intent.
Three years of balance sheet reduction. $2.4 trillion drained from markets. Now the tide reverses.
The mechanism is elegant: maturing mortgage backed securities, running off at $15 to $19 billion monthly, get reinvested into short duration T-bills. Duration shortens. Liquidity expands. The Fed maintains plausible deniability.
Mark Cabana of Bank of America warns investors are “underestimating” what the balance sheet announcement will deliver. Above $40 billion signals accommodation. Below $30 billion signals restraint.
The repo market already knows. SOFR rates have repeatedly breached the Fed’s policy corridor ceiling. The banking system is signaling: reserves are shifting from abundant to adequate, with scarcity looming.
For risk assets, this changes the calculus.
For inflation hawks, this raises the specter of policy error.
For those paying attention, this is the pivot hiding in plain sight.
December 10. Watch the implementation notes.
The era of tighthat ended. The era of managed expansion begins.
#ETHBreaksATH
BREAKING: The United States Just Ended the Offshore Crypto Era
December 4, 2025.
The CFTC has authorized spot Bitcoin and cryptocurrency trading on federally regulated exchanges for the first time in American history.
Read that again.
For fifteen years, the agency refused to provide regulatory clarity. Americans were forced offshore. They traded on platforms with no customer protections. FTX collapsed. Billions vanished. Retail investors were decimated.
That era is over.
Acting Chairman Caroline Pham invoked existing Commodity Exchange Act authority requiring leveraged retail commodity trading occur only on futures exchanges. No new legislation. No Congressional delay. Immediate implementation.
Bitnomial goes live December 9. Leveraged spot. Perpetuals. Futures. Options. Portfolio margining. One venue. Full federal oversight.
The structural implications are staggering.
Cross margining between spot and derivatives could compress capital requirements by 30 to 50 percent. Institutional barriers dissolve overnight. Pension funds. Banks. Sovereign wealth. All now have compliant access to spot crypto on platforms that have operated as the gold standard for nearly a century.
Pham stated the goal explicitly: Make America the crypto capital of the world.
This is not rhetoric. This is infrastructure.
The SEC and CFTC issued joint guidance in September. The President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets provided the roadmap. Tokenized collateral including stablecoins is next. Blockchain settlement frameworks are in development.
Watch for Bitnomial volumes exceeding one billion monthly by Q1 2026. Watch for CME integration announcements. Watch for offshore exchange user migration accelerating through H1.
The question is no longer whether America leads digital asset markets.
The question is how fast capital repositions.
Fifteen years of regulatory ambiguity.
Resolved in one announcement.
The new financial architecture has begun.
$BTC
December 4, 2025.
The CFTC has authorized spot Bitcoin and cryptocurrency trading on federally regulated exchanges for the first time in American history.
Read that again.
For fifteen years, the agency refused to provide regulatory clarity. Americans were forced offshore. They traded on platforms with no customer protections. FTX collapsed. Billions vanished. Retail investors were decimated.
That era is over.
Acting Chairman Caroline Pham invoked existing Commodity Exchange Act authority requiring leveraged retail commodity trading occur only on futures exchanges. No new legislation. No Congressional delay. Immediate implementation.
Bitnomial goes live December 9. Leveraged spot. Perpetuals. Futures. Options. Portfolio margining. One venue. Full federal oversight.
The structural implications are staggering.
Cross margining between spot and derivatives could compress capital requirements by 30 to 50 percent. Institutional barriers dissolve overnight. Pension funds. Banks. Sovereign wealth. All now have compliant access to spot crypto on platforms that have operated as the gold standard for nearly a century.
Pham stated the goal explicitly: Make America the crypto capital of the world.
This is not rhetoric. This is infrastructure.
The SEC and CFTC issued joint guidance in September. The President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets provided the roadmap. Tokenized collateral including stablecoins is next. Blockchain settlement frameworks are in development.
Watch for Bitnomial volumes exceeding one billion monthly by Q1 2026. Watch for CME integration announcements. Watch for offshore exchange user migration accelerating through H1.
The question is no longer whether America leads digital asset markets.
The question is how fast capital repositions.
Fifteen years of regulatory ambiguity.
Resolved in one announcement.
The new financial architecture has begun.
$BTC
THEY TOLD YOU ALTSEASON IS DEAD
They are asking the wrong question.
The crypto market you knew no longer exists.
In 2025, it quietly split into two completely separate games. Different rules. Different players. Different winners.
And almost no one noticed.
GAME ONE: INSTITUTIONAL CRYPTO
Bitcoin. Ethereum. ETF assets. Quarterly cycles. Pension funds and advisors setting prices. Volatility crushed from 84% to 43%. Time horizon: months.
GAME TWO: ATTENTION CRYPTO
37 million tokens. 36,000 new ones launching daily. 98.6% collapse below $1,000 liquidity. 75% dead within 24 hours. Survival rate: 1.4%. Time horizon: hours.
Here is what should terrify you:
Major altcoin/BTC ratios have returned to December 2020 levels.
Five years of building. Partnerships. Ecosystems. Narratives.
Zero progress against Bitcoin.
The transparency paradox destroyed everything. When every wallet, every transaction, every accumulation is visible instantly, information edge vanishes. Only speed remains. Milliseconds, not conviction. Algorithms, not analysis.
Capital no longer rotates from Bitcoin to alts.
It flows directly to whichever game the mandate specifies.
Traditional altseason probability: 10 to 15 percent.
Not because speculation died.
Because the unified market that altseason required has been structurally dismantled.
Your only choices now:
Play Institutional Crypto with patience and macro awareness.
Or play Attention Crypto with speed and infrastructure.
The middle ground, holding altcoins on thesis for months, is now the worst possible strategy.
You are not early to altseason.
You are waiting for a market structure that no longer exists.
They are asking the wrong question.
The crypto market you knew no longer exists.
In 2025, it quietly split into two completely separate games. Different rules. Different players. Different winners.
And almost no one noticed.
GAME ONE: INSTITUTIONAL CRYPTO
Bitcoin. Ethereum. ETF assets. Quarterly cycles. Pension funds and advisors setting prices. Volatility crushed from 84% to 43%. Time horizon: months.
GAME TWO: ATTENTION CRYPTO
37 million tokens. 36,000 new ones launching daily. 98.6% collapse below $1,000 liquidity. 75% dead within 24 hours. Survival rate: 1.4%. Time horizon: hours.
Here is what should terrify you:
Major altcoin/BTC ratios have returned to December 2020 levels.
Five years of building. Partnerships. Ecosystems. Narratives.
Zero progress against Bitcoin.
The transparency paradox destroyed everything. When every wallet, every transaction, every accumulation is visible instantly, information edge vanishes. Only speed remains. Milliseconds, not conviction. Algorithms, not analysis.
Capital no longer rotates from Bitcoin to alts.
It flows directly to whichever game the mandate specifies.
Traditional altseason probability: 10 to 15 percent.
Not because speculation died.
Because the unified market that altseason required has been structurally dismantled.
Your only choices now:
Play Institutional Crypto with patience and macro awareness.
Or play Attention Crypto with speed and infrastructure.
The middle ground, holding altcoins on thesis for months, is now the worst possible strategy.
You are not early to altseason.
You are waiting for a market structure that no longer exists.
The Fusaka upgrade is today.
$ETH
$ETH
The $ETH Fusaka upgrade will enable validators to manage transaction sequencing for the Layer-2 network, boosting economic activity and potentially increasing MEV and rewards for ETH stakers.
$BTC has reached a major resistance zone.
A reclaim of the $93,000-$94,000 zone will push Bitcoin towards $100,000.
If Bitcoin gets rejected, it'll drop towards the $88,000-$89,000 level.
A reclaim of the $93,000-$94,000 zone will push Bitcoin towards $100,000.
If Bitcoin gets rejected, it'll drop towards the $88,000-$89,000 level.
REMINDER!!!
$ETH FUSAKA GOES LIVE TONIGHT 🚀
Mainnet activates at 21:49 UTC (slot 13,164,544).
#ETHFusaka
$ETH FUSAKA GOES LIVE TONIGHT 🚀
Mainnet activates at 21:49 UTC (slot 13,164,544).
#ETHFusaka
$BTC could test the 102k area, but current market behavior indicates that the move is likely a liquidity sweep targeting resting buy orders above recent highs.
Buy-side liquidity remains weak, and there is little evidence of aggressive initiators stepping in.
Although seasonal patterns sometimes support a December rally, the present market structure, lower highs, lower momentum, and declining open interest. Suggests limited upside follow-through.
With the downtrend intact, risk management is essential.
The advantage, however, is that these conditions often create precise intraday opportunities, which we saw yesterday.
#BTC $BTC
Buy-side liquidity remains weak, and there is little evidence of aggressive initiators stepping in.
Although seasonal patterns sometimes support a December rally, the present market structure, lower highs, lower momentum, and declining open interest. Suggests limited upside follow-through.
With the downtrend intact, risk management is essential.
The advantage, however, is that these conditions often create precise intraday opportunities, which we saw yesterday.
#BTC $BTC
$ETH second major upgrade this year.
Tomorrow. It's called Fusaka.
Unlocking up to 8x data throughput.
For rollups, this means cheaper blob fees and more space to grow.
$ETH
Tomorrow. It's called Fusaka.
Unlocking up to 8x data throughput.
For rollups, this means cheaper blob fees and more space to grow.
$ETH
BlackRock's spot $BTC ETF volume surpasses $1,800,000,000 in the first two hours of trading today.
Upside liquidity has been taken.
$BTC
$BTC
The Fed has ended QT after running it for 3+ years.
The next logical stop is QE.
A lot of people are posting this on X.
And it's true, but here's one thing most people don't understand.
A QE doesn't happen until there are big cracks in the economy.
So if QE happens, there'll be a major crash first.
It could be short-lived like March 2020 or could be like the 2008 financial crisis.
If you survive that crash, you'll enjoy one of the biggest rallies of your lifetime.
So, don't think of a new bull run happening next week or month.
There'll be pain first and then a life-changing rally.
The next logical stop is QE.
A lot of people are posting this on X.
And it's true, but here's one thing most people don't understand.
A QE doesn't happen until there are big cracks in the economy.
So if QE happens, there'll be a major crash first.
It could be short-lived like March 2020 or could be like the 2008 financial crisis.
If you survive that crash, you'll enjoy one of the biggest rallies of your lifetime.
So, don't think of a new bull run happening next week or month.
There'll be pain first and then a life-changing rally.
SEC chair Paul Atkins says that innovation exemption for crypto firms is coming in January.
Now, projects can launch tokens and products without the need of full SEC registration.
Now, projects can launch tokens and products without the need of full SEC registration.
BNB is retesting the long-term trendline and the 0.618 Fib area ($830).
If bulls hold this zone, a bounce toward $930–$1,040 becomes likely. Losing the trendline, however, could trigger a deeper pullback.
Key level to watch. 👀
If bulls hold this zone, a bounce toward $930–$1,040 becomes likely. Losing the trendline, however, could trigger a deeper pullback.
Key level to watch. 👀
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