K线人生飞哥

To introduce myself to my followers

Hello everyone, I am Feige. I entered the circle in 2017, and I consider myself an old player. Along the way, I have encountered countless pitfalls and have summarized some of my own methodologies. From initially blindly following trends to now focusing more on studying cycles, macro trends, and funding logic, I have gradually found my own rhythm.

Throughout this journey, I have realized that the crypto world is not just about rises and falls; it is more like a cyclical game: some are FOMOing during the highs, while others are quietly positioning during the lows.

I currently work as a blogger at Binance Square, sharing some personal thoughts and observations. I am not a guru; I am just an old player who has experienced several rounds of bull and bear markets. I hope to share the pitfalls I have encountered and the lessons I have learned, so that newcomers can avoid detours, and also gain new inspirations through communication.

If you also believe in cycles, believe in logic, and believe in long-term accumulation, then perhaps we can become fellow travelers here.

Regarding the viewpoints of my posts, please note the following points:

1: The crypto market is constantly changing, so my viewpoints will also change with the market. This industry changes too quickly; only by continuously following industry progress can we keep growing. Sticking rigidly to conventional wisdom will only lead to being eliminated by the times. I hope everyone can be more open-minded.

2: My viewpoints published in the square are divided into short-term and long-term. For example, even if the long-term outlook is bullish, there will still be pullbacks; and even if the long-term outlook is bearish, there will be rebounds. Don’t let short-term viewpoints affect your long-term perspectives. An upward trend does not mean it will only rise without looking back; more often, it is a trend of rises and falls. Similarly, a downward trend is not a continuous crash without rebounds; more often, it is a downward trend with fluctuations. I hope everyone can understand the differences between short-term and long-term viewpoints.

3: In this market, apart from BTC, which can be blindly trusted, other coins have market cycles, especially altcoins. Before buying a coin, you should at least investigate a bit; some things need to be understood to a certain extent. You can't just buy whatever others say. Especially if you have limited funds, you need to consider the actual situation and be more cautious.

Thank you to every friend who follows and supports me. You are my motivation to keep sharing, and I hope we can all reap our own rewards in the cycle.

If you need a commission rebate, scan the QR code on Binance to add me as a friend. It's simple and easy to understand, and you can easily get in touch with me 🤝

$SEI This early morning in the community I told everyone that during the day it went up directly by 20%. The returns are still quite good. Congratulations to friends who followed the trade. I still have the same view: whenever the altcoin season comes, basically by following my trades the returns are still quite impressive. When there’s a market, my technical analysis is clearly evident. When there’s no market, then there’s nothing we can do. So when the market comes, just make sure to take advantage of it and follow the trades.

$SUI takes off and will generally link with his ecosystem coins $CETUS , just like AVAX takes off and links with $JOE . A couple of days ago I said on the square that when AVAX takes off, it will drive JOE. Today we’ll see that JOE has also pulled up. SUI and CETUS are the same logic.

But for the operations in our community, I directly tell everyone to buy SUI, because if I’m leading trades in the community, I definitely need to balance risk and returns in the middle, so choosing the main-chain coin SUI is better. Of course, CETUS can also pull up, but ecosystem coins like CETUS and JOE currently have very small trading volume, so you can only use a small position to mess around like a “tu dog” (a low-cap coin), and it’s only suitable for short-term trading.

$SEI took off 🛫, early this morning in the community I asked everyone to buy SEI around 0.05. The reason for buying is very simple: from a technical perspective, it’s just starting to move up from the bottom. This chart movement is basically the same as $SUI , but SEI has a smaller market cap. In terms of the order/holder structure, it’s a lighter load, and there’s also a spot ETF expectation. So I directly had everyone get on around 0.05 in the community. So far, everything looks fine. I’ve said before: as long as there’s market action, just follow the strategy we use in our community to trade.

If we look purely at the candlesticks, $BTC is currently being tightly suppressed by the weekly-level resistance of 82800. In other words, it is the high point of our last weekly-level rebound. Meanwhile, $ETH and SOL have already broken through the weekly-level resistance and successfully established themselves above it. Other major coins like DOGE and XRP are even weaker than BTC’s. Especially DOGE. The main reason is the same as I mentioned earlier: first-tier major coins like ETH, SOL, and BNB each have their own independent operators and “dog lords.” As for second-tier major coins like DOGE, XRP, HBAR, and ADA, more often than not they end up feeding on the capital overflow coming from first-tier major coins. Once BTC breaks through the weekly resistance, DOGE should also catch up and surge for a period. At the moment, the bottom’s trading volume has started to expand.

How could you possibly miss out by following Feige? $SUI directly went out of a V-reversal move starting from the daily chart level. In our community, we buy around 0.7—I've looked into it, and many people are following the trade as well. Still, the same point: when the market moves, just grasp it properly. From January to before August 20 this year, the market was constantly beating people up. Don’t end up missing it when it’s beating you up. Missing it when you could have taken the meat would be a bit of a pity 🎉🎉🎉

$AVAX After being targeted by Wall Street, the current move is a rebound at the weekly timeframe. From the bottom, it has already doubled. According to the previous market rotation cycle, when AXAV pulls up $JOE , it should also be highly correlated—and even more aggressive. It’s similar to how when SOL is pulled up, RAY will follow. It should still be that there isn’t enough capital in the market right now, so JOE’s trading volume has only just started to pick up. Keep patient and wait a bit longer to see.

$SUI Keep taking off 🛫, on September 15th in the VIP community we had everyone buy around 0.7. This round of market movement only answered the bottom at about 0.67. If you follow me and buy at 0.7, you basically bought at the bottom. It’s now 0.94, but I think SUI’s market is only just starting. When the market turns better, go find some high-quality targets and go long hard. Don’t learn from those people who just poke the top and go short for no reason. A market cycle finally comes along—yet you’re still watching from the sidelines, not taking the opportunity. By the time the market is almost over, you can’t help but jump in and end up catching the bag, and that’s unnecessary. Same viewpoint: when there’s a market, seize it properly—operate following Feige.

This Week’s Crypto Watchlist:

$AAVE - According to Aave’s founder, Aave Tokenomics 3.0 is set to be released.

$AVAX - Avalanche’s Helicon network upgrade will go live on September 22.

BO — According to Kyle Samani, Backpack is about to launch its “most important product of the year.”

Jumper — Jumper will release a major announcement next week.

$CAKE - PancakeSwap’s pre-access portal is expected to open within the next few days. The portal will allow investors to gain tokenized investment opportunities in private companies.

BAL - The vote on Balancer’s proposal to shut down and distribute its treasury assets to BAL holders is scheduled for September 25 to 29.

FRAX — Frax Finance teases that it will publish an announcement related to frxUSD next week.

INJ — Injective’s Meridian mainnet upgrade will go live on September 24, at which time it will support institutional-grade RWA issuance.

Hope this helps you 🫡

Bankruptcy sector $FTT $LUNA $USTC has started pumping. Previously, whenever these coins rallied, the broader market would always cascade into a waterfall. But this time, I feel it should be different. In the short term, the market should be relatively safe.

$HYPE is currently still in the startup phase. Yes.
HYPE will reach 500. If you believe in BNB and ETH, then you have no reason not to believe in HYPE. HYPE’s return logic mainly comes from the platform’s revenue buybacks. What’s truly valuable isn’t the token itself, but rather the user funds that are deposited on the platform. The advantages are decentralization, good liquidity, and it’s not easy to manipulate (insert needle). The long-term goal is actually very clear—slowly eat away at the centralized exchanges’ share in the contract market.

A giant whale accumulated nearly $1.6 million worth of $WLFI at an average price of $0.058 per token, most of the tokens of which were purchased from Binance.

This funding accumulation comes as the project proposes a new governance incentive for holders of locked WLFI who participate in voting, scheduled to roll out on October 1!

WLFI could definitely use some good news to get things moving—it’s been dragging on for far too long.

Continue to follow the mainstream coin rebound surge, or keep our view unchanged—BTC and ETH mainly consolidate at high levels in the short term. Pay attention to the weekly resistance level around 82800 for BTC.
Among the mainstream coins, SOL, XRP, BNB, HYPE, DOGE, ZEC, TON, SUI, and TAO have all seen rebound moves to varying degrees. As for BCH and TRX, they simply haven’t dropped much. From this perspective, the mainstream coins worth focusing on are these three: $ADA , $LTC , and $LINK . In the future, these three should all see a wave of rebound. You can do a short-term trade.

Analyze the mainstream coins DOGE and XRP.

$DOGE is currently hovering right around 0.9, and this kind of integer level often becomes a battleground for emotions. Once volume increases and it holds steady, it’s easy for it to break out of an independent mini-trend. DOGE’s biggest feature is that it has a high level of recognition among market participants and strong liquidity. When real capital comes back to push a rally, the speed is often faster than many other altcoins. Compared with some new coins that rely purely on narratives, Dogecoin (DOGE) has gone through several bull-and-bear cycles—its market fundamentals are still there—so many people treat it as one of the barometers for altcoin sentiment warming up.

$XRP also doesn’t look too bad in terms of structure lately; there are clear signs of capital flowing back. If volume continues to expand, pushing up around 10% isn’t really an overly dramatic target. Many people trading perpetual contracts are looking at this as well—if spot rises 10%, then with 10x leverage you’re looking at roughly a doubling of profit potential. In terms of pacing, it tends to be more direct than BTC and ETH, which often grind upward more slowly.

A man's intuition tells me that before the end of this year, $ZEC should have a unit price exceeding $ETH . Don't ask why—men's intuition is just that accurate. Of course, we won't chase it in the short term; wait for a pullback to around 1300 and see whether there's an opportunity.

In this round, I will clearly increase the position size of $ETH . The core reason is actually very simple:

I believe that in this round, ETH’s performance will outperform BTC.

If BTC rises by 1x, personally I’m currently more inclined to expect ETH to produce 1.5–2x the returns of BTC.

If RWA truly starts to surge at large scale later on, this gap could widen even further—ETH’s upside leverage could be higher than 2x.

But if another scenario occurs—while RWA surges, the market also further recognizes BTC’s “digital gold” attributes, and both directions rise together—then ETH’s relative advantage over BTC may return to the 1.5–2x range again.

Also, looking at the positioning/ownership structure, in the last bull cycle ETH disappointed the vast majority of people. Relative to that, the situation is much “lighter,” which is more favorable for the insiders/market makers to push prices up.

BTC is still the core asset. It’s just that, based on the odds in this round, I think ETH has more room to run.

That’s also why I’m actively increasing the position size of $ETH .

Is there still an altcoin season in this crypto bull market rotation？？？

First, let’s talk about the basic logic. The biggest characteristic of the crypto market is that its capital sources are wide enough. As long as there is new “money-making” momentum, capital from other markets can flow here as well—AI money too. Because the crypto market is a global capital and retail-participation market where anyone can freely join, it can absorb capital from around the world.

Then let’s talk about altcoins. A lot of people now think altcoins are just garbage coins, but I don’t think you can simply summarize altcoins and memes with the word “garbage.”

In the past two bull cycles—say 2021’s ride to the peak and 2017’s super bull market—the real reason the market sentiment was pushed to the top, attracting a large number of newcomers from outside the market, had never been just BTC.

In 2017 there was ICO; in 2021 there was IDO, IEO, and SHO. Everywhere in the market there were stories of 10x, 20x, even 100x gains. Why was “hot money” willing to come in? At the end of the day, it’s because there were sufficiently high return expectations here.

When capital comes, project teams can raise funds. After fundraising, they keep developing, expanding, and telling new stories—then they attract the next round of capital again.

That’s the true positive feedback loop of a crypto bull market.

One key reason people felt the last bull market was so important was that it lacked a strong enough primary market and a strong altcoin narrative.

Right now, in the current macro environment, the U.S. Treasury market needs continued financing, and the demand for stablecoins will become increasingly important. In essence, stablecoins, RWA, and on-chain securities are all paving the way for traditional capital to enter the chain.

That’s also why, in this cycle, I have clearly increased the positions of $ETH 、$CRCLB 、$COIN 、HOOD 、UNI.

The underlying logic is very simple: ETH is the blockchain infrastructure. CRCL is a U.S.-compliant stablecoin and also a source of capital inflow. COINBASE is a U.S.-compliant platform, serving as the container for capital and liquidity flow. HOOD doesn’t have a U.S.-stock-listing on-chain platform to carry it. UNI handles U.S. stock on-chain transactions and occupies a leading share of the market. For these projects, even looking at today’s prices, there is at least 5 to 10 times the upside potential.

$FIL keep taking off 🛫. The other night we had everyone buy FIL at 0.88. It looks like that decision was correct. Over this period, our community has operated FIL twice: the first time we bought around 0.8 and sold it; the second time we bought it back around 0.88. The goal is to first see 1. Then today we've continued updating our strategy to see whether it can hold steady around 1. As of now, it has already broken through resistance, so we’re looking to challenge weekly-level resistance. Congratulations to friends who followed the trades. There’s also a deflationary bullish news for FIL in October—I’ve emphasized this many times in both the forum and the community. Just follow the community’s strategy for the trades. Missing the boat is impossible.

Old established chain $AVAX is pulling the market; according to the ecosystem linkage pattern, $JOE should also follow and pull. AVAX is currently rebounding on a weekly timeframe and has already broken through the daily resistance level. As for JOE, under normal rules it could be staged for a position; but take a look—the trading volume is too small, so you can only treat it like a “small memecoin” and play around with it.