No lagging indicators, no guessing tops or bottoms. I do only one thing: analyze market structure candle by candle, follow the smart money tracks, and execute high risk-reward trades at key levels. 📐 My trading system Three-layer cycle linkage: · Daily timeframe to set the trend — only trade long structures above EMA20/50 · Define the zone on 4H — wait for price to retrace to key levels, identify supply/demand shifts · Enter on the 1H/15M — look for liquidity sweeps, order blocks, and micro trendline breakouts Core Logic: · Naked K price action (Al Brooks) + Smart Money concepts (ICT/SMC) · Entry based on structure, not MACD/RSI
The price has reached the entry observation zone (2,340–2,350). Wait for a reversal confirmation signal to appear (a long lower wick or a bullish candle on increased volume). Enter after confirmation. Stop loss: 2,300. Targets: 2,400–2,450.
For now, just keep watching the indicators calmly. Don’t mess with your emotions—this wallet is up and down like a clown 🤡. Good thing it finally got bought back.
Take-profit ends Today took a bit more than 2 days—it's okay and I'm fairly satisfied. Even though the capital is small, the thinking is right. Take it slow. $ETH
· After reaching 1,950, reduce the position by 50% to lock in profits · Move the stop-loss for the remaining position up to 1,930 (protect most of the profits)
Second target: 1,980–2,000
· If the trend continues to accelerate, for the remaining position, take profit on the entire position at 1,980–2,000
If there is a pullback
· If the price pulls back to 1,930–1,932 (prior high neckline + upper Bollinger Band) and does not break, you may consider topping up the reduced position · If it falls below 1,920, exit completely $ETH #eth
· Price 1,928.32, has broken above the previous high 1,923 with increased volume · Trading volume 4.36K > MA5 1.92K (volume up 2.27x) · Above EMA20/EMA50 and the upper Bollinger band, bullish alignment
Add to position
· Add price: around 1,924 (current price) · Position size: normal position · Stop loss: move up the stop for all positions (base position + added position) to 1,910
Targets
· First target: 1,950 · Second target: 1,980–2,000
If it pulls back
· If the price pulls back to 1,920–1,923 and does not break, it’s an opportunity for a second add or to supplement the position #eth $ETH
Hold positions, no movement; the market is building up in extreme low volume
· Price: 1912.79 ~ 1913.20, above EMA20 (1903.84 ~ 1908.89) and EMA50 (1899.19 ~ 1904.75) · Volume: extremely contracted (223 ~ 3.41K, far below MA5) · Candlestick pattern: small real bodies, tight-range sideways consolidation, no clear direction · Structure: bullish alignment of moving averages, price gap about $6–8, structure is healthy
· Extreme low volume + tight-range consolidation = weak supply and demand on both sides; the market is waiting for direction · The previous high at 1923.27 is close at hand, but there is no breakout with increased volume · This is not a reversal signal; it’s consolidation before a breakout
Trading guidance:
· Hold positions: keep stop-loss at 1900 unchanged; floating profit about +$11–12 · Add to position: only if there is a breakout above 1923 with volume, and a 15-minute candlestick closes above and holds with a bullish real body · Reduce position / exit: if a long upper shadow appears or a bearish engulfing candle breaks below 1900 · If not yet entered: wait until the direction becomes clear before acting $ETH #eth
Direction: Long Status: Holding Entry: 1,901 (Entered) Stop Loss: 1,900 (Moved up) Target: 1,925 / 1,950-1,980 Not entered yet: Pullback to 1,905-1,908 and stabilize to go long, or break out above 1,923 with increased volume to chase the long $ETH #eth
Direction: Long Status: Holding Entry: 1,901 (entered) Stop loss: 1,888 (moved up) Target: 1,925 / 1,950-1,980 Not entered yet: Pull back to 1,895-1,900, then go long after stabilization, or chase long after a high-volume breakout above 1,920
Position status: Currently lightly holding $ETH 1. Continue holding: Keep stop-loss at 1,880 unchanged; target 1,925 → 1,950-1,980
2. Add-on conditions:
· Retrace to the 1,890-1,895 range, and when a contraction-in-volume stabilization followed by an up-volume bullish candle appears → add to the position · Break out with increased volume above 1,908 (previous high) and the trading volume expands to > 200K → add to the position
Action: at market price, buy lightly 1,888.59. Set stop-loss at 1,880, with a first target at 1,900. If it continues to pull back: as long as it does not fall below 1,880, keep the position unchanged. If it breaks below 1,880, exit with the stop-loss. If it rebounds: watch whether it can break above the previous high of 1,891.30. If it breaks through and with volume, you may consider adding to the position.$ETH #ETH
If the price consolidates with low volume between 1,862-1,888, keep waiting. If it breaks above 1,888 with volume expansion, enter.
1. MACD forms a golden cross: the 4-hour MACD histogram turns from negative to positive (+0.47). This is the first time bullish momentum appears since the decline on August 12—an encouraging signal ✅ 2. RSI in the 40-50 range: 4-hour 47.94, 1-hour 49.23, exactly within the entry zone required by your strategy ✅ 3. Price is close to EMA20: 4-hour difference is 0.63, almost touching the line ✅ 4. The biggest problem is still volume: 4-hour 80.6K, only 19% of MA5 average volume of 423K; daily 80.5K, only 3.4% of MA5 2.36M. Extremely low volume ❌ #ETH走势分析
Set a price alert at 1890. When the price reaches 1890, check the 4-hour K-line: If it’s a high-volume bullish candle (large body, trading volume > 500K) → enter to go long If it’s a low-volume bullish candle or a long upper wick → keep waiting Set the stop loss uniformly just below the previous low at 1872.
You’re now in a very good position—the pullback is in place; you only need one more high-volume bullish candle to confirm. Don’t rush—let the market print that candle. $ETH #eth
Plan One: Aggressive confirmation of entry Operation: Since the price has already risen above the EMA20 with heavy volume within the past 4 hours, and the daily trend is intact, we can take a small position to try a long. Entry price: Around the current price ~1894.8. · Stop loss: 1848 This is the breakout initiation point from today’s volume expansion. If it breaks below, it means the base-building failed. Targets: First target is the previous high 1925; second target is 1980.
Plan Two: Conservative confirmation entry (recommended)
Wait for another candlestick to give the market a chance to “confirm.” · Condition: The next 4-hour candlestick should not break below the midpoint of the body of this bullish candle (about 1890), and it should close as a small bullish candle or a doji (further confirming the support is valid). Entry: After confirmation, enter at the close of the second candlestick. Stop loss: Same as 1,848.
After the current 4-hour bullish candle, the 1-hour chart is now consolidating at a high level. If a 1-hour level bullish candle with increased volume appears, breaking above the previous high 1895~1896 and holding steady, that would be a breakout signal—then you can confidently add or enter.#eth $ETH