People who trade inevitably develop a few occupational quirks. Let me start with a few of my own: First, my phone is always on ring— even when I sleep. I’m afraid that when the market moves, I’ll miss something if I don’t hear it. Sometimes the phone vibrates in the middle of the night, and I immediately wake up, reach for it, and check the quotes. Other times it’s just some junk text message, but I’m already awake and can’t fall back asleep for half the night. Second, I eat extremely fast. When I was trading futures, if the market moved, I wouldn’t have time to eat at all. I’d just shove a couple of bites in and then stare at the screen. Even now, when things aren’t as tense, I still eat quickly—I can’t change it. When I have meals with friends, they’re still slowly chatting, and I’ve already finished. Then I just sit there and wait. Third, I’m sensitive to red and green. If I go to a supermarket and see price tags that are red or green, the first thing that pops into my mind is the candlestick chart. While driving and waiting at a red light, when it turns green, the very first word that comes to mind is “it broke through.” Sounds pretty ridiculous, but it’s really a conditioned reflex. And fourth, I don’t like talking trade with people. In real life, when others ask what I do, I say I work in internet-related things, or that I’m doing investments—I don’t get into details. It’s not that I don’t want to talk; it’s just that once I explain, nobody really understands. And when I talk about market conditions with people outside the circle, the more I talk, the more exhausting it gets. What about you? After you started trading, what bad habit or “quirk” did you end up with? Come chat in the room and let’s see whether everyone’s symptoms are the same.
Lie low, amass strength, and remain ever-renewing. Each new bud is a proclamation of new life to the world. Gather strength in stillness, thrive endlessly. Every new bud is a declaration of rebirth.
Can BTC’s next bull run surpass gold? — How reliable is this claim?
Recently, CZ said in an interview: "Bitcoin’s next bull run could surpass gold’s market cap and become the world’s largest store of value." How much is gold’s market cap? About $17 trillion. BTC is currently $1.5 trillion, meaning it would need to rise by 10x or more. So the price would likely be around $800,000 per coin. Sounds pretty wild, right? But when you look back: In 2017, people said BTC could reach $10,000—nobody believed it. In 2020, people said BTC could reach $100,000—nobody believed it. And now, people say it could reach $800,000… Of course, CZ said "could," not "definitely." And he was talking about the "next bull run," not "this year."
My personal view is: Surpassing gold isn’t impossible, but it likely can’t be completed in the next cycle. It’s like saying, "This kid might grow to two meters tall in the future"— It’s theoretically possible, but it takes several stages of development in between.
For BTC to surpass gold, there are three conditions: 1) Institutional broad allocation — right now, ETFs are just the beginning; pensions and sovereign funds are the real big players. 2) Clear regulatory certainty — the U.S., the EU, and China all need explicit frameworks. 3) Intergenerational mindset shift — younger people buy BTC more than gold; that part is a matter of time.
Of the three conditions: the first is already happening, the second is progressing, and the third needs time. So CZ’s direction is right, but the timing may be overly optimistic. It’s like a weather forecast saying it will rain tomorrow—only for the rain to arrive the day after.
I put together a《BTC market cap surpassing gold roadmap》, including key time milestones, catalyst events, and price estimates. Come to my chat and type "gold" to claim it. Do you think BTC can surpass gold within your lifetime? Drop your thoughts in the comments.
#BTC 🚀 Brothers shorting—let me ask just one thing:
Isn’t this market already bullish enough? What else would count as a bull market?
Do we really need to wait until Bitcoin keeps breaking higher, and everyone starts shouting “100,000” or “200,000,” before you’re willing to admit a bull market is here?
The market won’t stop rising because of your doubts, and it won’t rise forever just because you’re confident.
Don’t be afraid—the market is down this week. I’ve seen too many people fall in the night before a bull market The market hasn’t been stable this week. PPI came in above expectations, CPI is still up in the air, crude oil has surged, and the odds of rate hikes have skyrocketed… Open your trading app—everything is red, and it’s just upsetting to look at. I know what many people are feeling right now: Those who are stuck in positions, constantly checking the charts, getting more and more anxious Those who are in cash, thinking it will keep falling, but also afraid of missing out if they go all-in Can’t sleep at night, can’t focus during the day Honestly, I’m all too familiar with this feeling. When I first entered the crypto world, during the 2018 bear market, from $20,000 down to $3,000—I was there the whole time, and that sense of despair was more painful than losing money. But later I found a pattern: Most people don’t lose money from the biggest drop—they lose it from all the back-and-forth. Cut when it falls, chase when it rises, trade up and down during sideways action—you end up paying plenty in fees. After all that floundering, the principal keeps shrinking. Here are three suggestions for everyone to calm down after the weekend: First, don’t stare at the daily chart—stretch out the timeframe. Look at the weekly and monthly charts: BTC is still in an upward channel. From 57,000 in June this year to 77,000 now, it’s up 35% in three months—actually, that’s pretty strong. Second, check whether your position size feels comfortable. What does “comfortable” mean? It means if it drops 20%, you’re not panicked; if it rises 50%, you don’t regret. If it doesn’t feel comfortable, adjust—adjust until it does. Trading isn’t about who makes the most money—it’s about who stays alive the longest. Third, don’t keep watching the market all weekend—rest well. The market won’t collapse just because you don’t look, and it won’t pump just because you keep staring. Eat when it’s time to eat, sleep when it’s time to sleep. Fight on again next week—having a full head and good energy matters more than anything. If you lost money this week, or your mood isn’t great, come to my chat room—there are a few hundred people in there, and everyone feels the same. Over the weekend, we’ll talk about things beyond the charts—relax a bit. Next week’s tough battle, we’ll take it on together. #BinanceSquare #交易心得 #比特币 #Holding mindset
CPI is out—and the market moves—yet the real行情 is next week Last night, when the CPI data was released, whether it rose or fell, I’d bet that most people’s first reaction after reading it was— "So what? Where do we go from here?" Let me give you a key judgment first: CPI is only the midterm exam—FOMC is the final exam.
Why do I say that? Because CPI only tells you "how inflation is doing", while FOMC tells you "what the Federal Reserve plans to do". What the market truly cares about isn’t the data itself, but the policy reaction behind it.
No matter whether last night’s CPI came in above expectations, in line with expectations, or below expectations, it only serves to add or subtract points from next week’s FOMC voting.
The situation is now quite clear: PPI has already beaten expectations (5.4% vs 5.3%); oil has broken above $100; inflation pressure is still trending upward. The probability of a September rate hike is already 70%+. So even if CPI matches expectations, it’s only "not adding reasons for a rate hike"— but it would be difficult to knock down rate-hike expectations.
The real variables are the three big things next week: September 15: CLARITY Act procedural vote (60-vote threshold) September 15–16: FOMC policy meeting + dot plot September 17–18: Bank of Japan policy meeting With these three events overlapping, it’s like subjecting the crypto market to three rounds of stress tests at the same time.
I’ll do an in-depth share in the chat room over the weekend: "Full Breakdown of the Three Major Events Next Week + Trading Strategies" It will include three possible scenarios for each event, how to adjust positions accordingly, and which coins may benefit. If you want to listen, come to my chat room and send "next week" to register. The talk starts at 8:00 PM on Saturday.