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CRD 五花肉
54 Posts

CRD 五花肉

@Creed_Meat|哥伦比亚大学经济学|等待击球
Open Trade
High-Frequency Trader
2.5 Years
13 Following
1.0K+ Followers
364 Liked
Posts
Portfolio
PINNED
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Article
Maturing 50 trillion yuanThe reason was that while reviewing financial data, I discovered time deposit data and suddenly had the idea to trace this capital back and forth, wanting to understand the situation better and judge where the subsequent macroeconomic policy dividends would be, which led to this brief analysis. (Just chatting casually) This year, a total of 50 trillion yuan in time deposits will mature in China, equivalent to about 40% of the national annual GDP. Let's first discuss the structure of time deposits and the situation of concentrated maturities. By the end of December last year, the total deposits in China had reached approximately 328.64 trillion yuan, and it was found that: the balance of household and departmental time deposits was about 121 trillion yuan, with the overall distribution of savings mainly composed of time deposits. Since the COVID-19 pandemic, Chinese citizens have preferred to lock in 2-year and 3-year terms to obtain a relatively high fixed interest rate return.

Maturing 50 trillion yuan

The reason was that while reviewing financial data, I discovered time deposit data and suddenly had the idea to trace this capital back and forth, wanting to understand the situation better and judge where the subsequent macroeconomic policy dividends would be, which led to this brief analysis. (Just chatting casually)
This year, a total of 50 trillion yuan in time deposits will mature in China, equivalent to about 40% of the national annual GDP.
Let's first discuss the structure of time deposits and the situation of concentrated maturities.
By the end of December last year, the total deposits in China had reached approximately 328.64 trillion yuan, and it was found that: the balance of household and departmental time deposits was about 121 trillion yuan, with the overall distribution of savings mainly composed of time deposits. Since the COVID-19 pandemic, Chinese citizens have preferred to lock in 2-year and 3-year terms to obtain a relatively high fixed interest rate return.
PINNED
Article
1980 Silver Crash; 2011 Silver Plunge; 2020 Gold Liquidity Sell-off; Precious Metals Emergency Brake at the Start of 2026...This can be considered witnessing another milestone. In the past few hours, I have seen many analyses of the sharp decline, and the timeline has been filled with headlines from various teachers and media about the 'gold and silver intraday sharp decline.' Regarding the sharp decline, I think it may be slightly related to the fundamentals, but more so due to the sensitivity of most buyers to fluctuations after a significant increase. Historically, there have been many disasters caused by crowded funding and concentrated sell-offs. The Federal Reserve has continuously sent signals of 'not in a hurry to cut interest rates,' and Powell has repeatedly emphasized the strength of the US economy, so the market naturally lowers its expectations of a loose monetary environment, and the safe-haven sentiment for gold has also cooled down. (Maybe it's because precious metals are on Binance TradFi@doge lol>)

1980 Silver Crash; 2011 Silver Plunge; 2020 Gold Liquidity Sell-off; Precious Metals Emergency Brake at the Start of 2026...

This can be considered witnessing another milestone.
In the past few hours, I have seen many analyses of the sharp decline, and the timeline has been filled with headlines from various teachers and media about the 'gold and silver intraday sharp decline.'
Regarding the sharp decline, I think it may be slightly related to the fundamentals, but more so due to the sensitivity of most buyers to fluctuations after a significant increase. Historically, there have been many disasters caused by crowded funding and concentrated sell-offs.
The Federal Reserve has continuously sent signals of 'not in a hurry to cut interest rates,' and Powell has repeatedly emphasized the strength of the US economy, so the market naturally lowers its expectations of a loose monetary environment, and the safe-haven sentiment for gold has also cooled down. (Maybe it's because precious metals are on Binance TradFi@doge lol>)
Any profitable trade, is contrary to human nature.
Any profitable trade,
is contrary to human nature.
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Bullish
Call Back $BNB
Call Back $BNB
CRD 五花肉
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Bullish
I've stacked enough of this stage's $BTC ,
now I'm starting to DCA into a $BNB HODL position.
All that back and forth trading, buying then selling, was mostly due to empty, abstract panic and lack of understanding,

I did consider going all-in on a single coin, but after some calculations,
I realized I can't handle the risk of a one-sided trust collapse. #
So, I’ll keep the chips and the house in my hands.
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Bullish
Binance's 9th anniversary, is it? $BNB
Binance's 9th anniversary, is it? $BNB
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Bullish
I've stacked enough of this stage's $BTC , now I'm starting to DCA into a $BNB HODL position. All that back and forth trading, buying then selling, was mostly due to empty, abstract panic and lack of understanding, I did consider going all-in on a single coin, but after some calculations, I realized I can't handle the risk of a one-sided trust collapse. # So, I’ll keep the chips and the house in my hands. {future}(BNBUSDT)
I've stacked enough of this stage's $BTC ,
now I'm starting to DCA into a $BNB HODL position.
All that back and forth trading, buying then selling, was mostly due to empty, abstract panic and lack of understanding,

I did consider going all-in on a single coin, but after some calculations,
I realized I can't handle the risk of a one-sided trust collapse. #
So, I’ll keep the chips and the house in my hands.
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Bullish
Verified
Decentralization is the industry's vision, but we need some centralization for education and transition. The rise of Hype is indeed great, but at this point, seeing a lot of people bearish on Binance might be a bit premature. The old lion is still the king, especially when the lion isn't even old yet $BNB
Decentralization is the industry's vision,
but we need some centralization for education and transition.

The rise of Hype is indeed great,
but at this point, seeing a lot of people bearish on Binance
might be a bit premature.

The old lion is still the king, especially when the lion isn't even old yet $BNB
Saylor can go make movies after hoarding enough Bitcoin, lol $BTC
Saylor can go make movies after hoarding enough Bitcoin, lol $BTC
Most people are poor because when they want to invest, there are "chickens" running around everywhere, shouting, "The sky is falling! The sky is falling!" The "chickens" have a strong influence because each of us has a "chicken" in our hearts. Therefore, we often need great courage not to let rumors and unfounded fears exacerbate our anxieties and doubts. Flatten the time, Long$BTC . {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Most people are poor because when they want to invest, there are "chickens" running around everywhere, shouting, "The sky is falling! The sky is falling!"

The "chickens" have a strong influence because each of us has a "chicken" in our hearts.

Therefore, we often need great courage not to let rumors and unfounded fears exacerbate our anxieties and doubts.

Flatten the time, Long$BTC .
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Bullish
Adjust the DCA strategy, In a bear market, walk more, when idle, feel anxious. $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Adjust the DCA strategy,
In a bear market, walk more, when idle, feel anxious.
$BTC
Lei Jun's entrepreneurial thoughts, at this time under the direction of public opinion, I still admire Mr. Lei. Permanent restriction on hardware net profit at 5%, daring to be the first.
Lei Jun's entrepreneurial thoughts,
at this time under the direction of public opinion, I still admire Mr. Lei.
Permanent restriction on hardware net profit at 5%,
daring to be the first.
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Bullish
Too much noise, need to create my own strategy. Everything is to motivate myself. #BTC
Too much noise, need to create my own strategy.
Everything is to motivate myself.
#BTC
CRD 五花肉
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Bullish
In the past, I would spend a lot of time adjusting the information flow,
slowly, the act of 'updating the information flow' became a hindrance.

Always disrupting my original rhythm to keep up with trends,
ultimately picking sesame seeds and losing watermelons.

Looking back at trading points, I used to follow every rumor,
constantly sell/buy,
in the end, I didn't make any money, but my mood fluctuated.

There is too much noise; I need to create my own strategy,
everything I do is to motivate myself.

I am Creed, waiting for the moment to strike...
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Bullish
In the past, I would spend a lot of time adjusting the information flow, slowly, the act of 'updating the information flow' became a hindrance. Always disrupting my original rhythm to keep up with trends, ultimately picking sesame seeds and losing watermelons. Looking back at trading points, I used to follow every rumor, constantly sell/buy, in the end, I didn't make any money, but my mood fluctuated. There is too much noise; I need to create my own strategy, everything I do is to motivate myself. I am Creed, waiting for the moment to strike...
In the past, I would spend a lot of time adjusting the information flow,
slowly, the act of 'updating the information flow' became a hindrance.

Always disrupting my original rhythm to keep up with trends,
ultimately picking sesame seeds and losing watermelons.

Looking back at trading points, I used to follow every rumor,
constantly sell/buy,
in the end, I didn't make any money, but my mood fluctuated.

There is too much noise; I need to create my own strategy,
everything I do is to motivate myself.

I am Creed, waiting for the moment to strike...
$BTC chose the vastness under the sun, becoming a bridge between the old financial empire and the new digital world, the price is that everyone's accounts are exposed. $XMR chose the freedom in the night, becoming the true hard currency of blockchain, the price is that they will never be able to enter the halls of mainstream compliant finance. {future}(XMRUSDT) {future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC chose the vastness under the sun,
becoming a bridge between the old financial empire and the new digital world,
the price is that everyone's accounts are exposed.

$XMR chose the freedom in the night,
becoming the true hard currency of blockchain,
the price is that they will never be able to enter the halls of mainstream compliant finance.
Binance's Xiao An assistant is very useful, but! The UI hides it too deep... Checking narratives, unlocking data, and real-time news, etc. are all precise and clear at a glance. Hope to increase options: Add an entry for Xiao An assistant in the form of a widget Or open Xiao An assistant in the form of a floating window Or wake up Xiao An assistant with the homepage search box @heyi @sisibinance @BinanceSquareCN @binancezh {spot}(BNBUSDT)
Binance's Xiao An assistant is very useful,
but! The UI hides it too deep...
Checking narratives, unlocking data, and real-time news, etc.
are all precise and clear at a glance.

Hope to increase options:
Add an entry for Xiao An assistant in the form of a widget
Or open Xiao An assistant in the form of a floating window
Or wake up Xiao An assistant with the homepage search box
@Yi He @sisibinance @币安广场 @币安Binance华语
New York Now when two people go out to eat, most ordinary brunches start at $85; The default tip on iPad has slowly risen to 25%, 30%; Ordering takeout, when adding tax, service fee, and tip, the total comes to about 130% of the discounted price; Rent has gradually increased from $2000 to $3000; The discounted prices of daily necessities in supermarkets are almost the same as the previous normal retail prices; I personally feel that the purchasing power of the dollar has declined. I currently have DCA$BTC , but let me clarify my position 1. I believe that the purchasing power of the dollar will continue to decline in the next 5–10 years 2. Regardless, maintain stable cash flow 3. Accept paper losses without selling 4. Ensure long-term discipline in execution 5. BTC accounts for my total assets ≤20–30% If you expect BTC to quickly outperform everything; if you treat it as a 'safe-haven asset'; if you cannot tolerate major drawdowns; if you have no other defensive asset allocation I hope you do not use cash flow for dollar-cost averaging ₿, but rather find ways to make use of existing funds. {spot}(BTCUSDT)
New York

Now when two people go out to eat, most ordinary brunches start at $85;
The default tip on iPad has slowly risen to 25%, 30%;

Ordering takeout, when adding tax, service fee, and tip, the total comes to about 130% of the discounted price;

Rent has gradually increased from $2000 to $3000;

The discounted prices of daily necessities in supermarkets are almost the same as the previous normal retail prices;

I personally feel that the purchasing power of the dollar has declined.

I currently have DCA$BTC , but let me clarify my position

1. I believe that the purchasing power of the dollar will continue to decline in the next 5–10 years
2. Regardless, maintain stable cash flow
3. Accept paper losses without selling
4. Ensure long-term discipline in execution
5. BTC accounts for my total assets ≤20–30%

If you expect BTC to quickly outperform everything; if you treat it as a 'safe-haven asset'; if you cannot tolerate major drawdowns; if you have no other defensive asset allocation

I hope you do not use cash flow for dollar-cost averaging ₿,
but rather find ways to make use of existing funds.
Happy Birthday🎂 Everything will get better Best wishes to myself Wishing everyone better and better, may everything go smoothly!
Happy Birthday🎂
Everything will get better
Best wishes to myself
Wishing everyone better and better, may everything go smoothly!
I have a question❓ that has been bothering me I want to hear everyone's thoughts. If all sovereign countries and mainstream institutions one day truly support large-scale gold on-chain and gold RWA. Then will the narrative of "digital gold" represented by $BTC be directly wiped out by gold RWA? {spot}(BTCUSDT)
I have a question❓ that has been bothering me
I want to hear everyone's thoughts.

If all sovereign countries and mainstream institutions one day truly support large-scale gold on-chain and gold RWA.

Then will the narrative of "digital gold" represented by $BTC be directly wiped out by gold RWA?
Article
In retrospect, I completed two milestones in this phase, the first summary for 2026.In retrospect, I completed two milestones (not levels, still a cow and horse lol) in this phase. This is also the first summary for 2026. On September 17, 2025, I saw the message $ASTER and immediately conducted deeper research. (See the pinned article: The moment I saw Aster...) Based on Yiz Lab's high win rate and high return on investment, as well as losing money a few months ago with the PvP Dark pool concept, the Dark pool concept presented by CZ is still fresh in my memory. At that time, I saw Aster as the top-level design developed by CZ, so I gradually bought 16ku during Aster 0.16-0.19.

In retrospect, I completed two milestones in this phase, the first summary for 2026.

In retrospect, I completed two milestones (not levels, still a cow and horse lol) in this phase. This is also the first summary for 2026.
On September 17, 2025, I saw the message $ASTER and immediately conducted deeper research. (See the pinned article: The moment I saw Aster...)
Based on Yiz Lab's high win rate and high return on investment, as well as losing money a few months ago with the PvP Dark pool concept, the Dark pool concept presented by CZ is still fresh in my memory.
At that time, I saw Aster as the top-level design developed by CZ, so I gradually bought 16ku during Aster 0.16-0.19.
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