#美联储加息概率升至68% $XRP What surprised me most this time isn’t how much the price has risen, but that the ETF has gone 11 straight trading days without running out of funds. In the latest day, the U.S. spot XRP ETF saw net inflows of about $14.38 million. The cumulative inflows from this streak are already close to $170 million. Since it launched in November last year, the cumulative net inflow has reached about $1.68 billion. To be honest, that number isn’t all that extraordinary in front of Bitcoin. But for $XRP , the meaning is completely different. In the past, whenever we talked about XRP, the market kept circling around Ripple, lawsuits, cross-border payments, and bank partnerships—stories have been told for years, and truly obvious institutional money that would be willing to hold real cash long-term wasn’t especially clear. Now, the ETF is essentially opening up a proper channel for legitimate funding. And during these 11 days, the XRP price wasn’t rising every day. It fell again from around $1.45 in late August back to roughly $1.33, yet ETF capital kept flowing in. I actually find this more interesting than chasing a rally. When the price drops and the money doesn’t run—at least it suggests some of the capital isn’t just trying to chase a single big green candle. Also, in the disclosed data for Q2, the XRP ETF exposure held by Goldman Sachs is around $87.4 million, and Jane Street and Millennium are also listed. Of course, don’t immediately see Goldman Sachs and imagine a “Wall Street all-in on XRP.” These positions could include market-making, arbitrage, even hedging trades. But no matter what, the fact that institutions are willing to use this product is itself a change. I’m not going to call $XRP to “take off” right away. What I’d rather see is this: after 11 days, will there still be a 12th, a 15th, a 20th day? A big buy in a single day is emotion. Only continuous inflows can be called a trend. If the XRP ETF can truly maintain this kind of capital stickiness, then the most important fuel for its next round of trading activity may no longer be retail investors shouting orders every day—it could be institutions slowly but steadily buying away the float, one piece at a time.
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