ETH: The 4h trend and the latest 15m directional balance are pulling apart.
🔴 SHORT
$ETH /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
The levels
Entry: 2072.1 – 2075.79
TP1: 2052.17 (-1.0% | 0.56R) [1h swing]
TP2: 2048.15 (-1.2% | 0.66R) [1h swing]
TP3: 2045.03 (-1.4% | 0.74R) [1h swing]
SL: 2112.77 (+1.9%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.39R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Why these levels matter
The 4h trend supports the plan while 15m DI favors the opposite side; short-term alignment is still missing.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h bearish.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
Watch also: 1h RSI 55.1 opposes SHORT; hourly momentum can interrupt the trend case.
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 2112.77, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 11 Nov 17:12 UTC | Expires 11 Nov 17:37 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
🔴 SHORT
$ETH /USDT · CRYPTO FUTURES
Status: Waiting for price to reclaim the zone.
The levels
Entry: 2072.1 – 2075.79
TP1: 2052.17 (-1.0% | 0.56R) [1h swing]
TP2: 2048.15 (-1.2% | 0.66R) [1h swing]
TP3: 2045.03 (-1.4% | 0.74R) [1h swing]
SL: 2112.77 (+1.9%) [1h swing]
Percentages/R: zone midpoint, before costs. Projections are not observed S/R.
TP1 net est. 0.39R at worst zone edge; fees 5 + slippage 2 bps/side. Funding excluded.
Why these levels matter
The 4h trend supports the plan while 15m DI favors the opposite side; short-term alignment is still missing.
• 4h bearish EMA50/200 stack; 1h bearish.
Main risk: 15m DI favors LONG; short-term timing has not aligned with the SHORT case.
Watch also: 1h RSI 55.1 opposes SHORT; hourly momentum can interrupt the trend case.
Entry review: Wait for price to reclaim the zone, then review a closed 15m candle; no confirmed entry.
Invalid: SL 2112.77, 4h loses SHORT, or 1h turns LONG.
If triggered: exit 50/25/25% at TP1/2/3; stop to entry after TP1 (before costs).
Updated 11 Nov 17:12 UTC | Expires 11 Nov 17:37 UTC
Conditional analysis · NFA · Manage risk.
