#DOGE remains in a clearly defined descending channel. The recent rebound from around $0.080 did not reverse the broader downtrend. The price is still below both 4-hour EMAs, and the larger trend remains dominated by bears.

The key resistance zone is $0.0865–$0.0895. This area combines previous support, a cluster of moving averages, and resistance at the upper edge of the channel, so bears are likely to defend it aggressively.

If Dogecoin rebounds into this zone but fails to hold above it, the rally will be merely a test rebound within the downtrend—not a trend reversal. If the price is rejected again, it will first test $0.080, followed by the channel’s lower boundary at $0.07604.

Conversely, the downtrend will only begin to weaken if the price continues to strengthen on the 4-hour timeframe and breaks above $0.090–$0.091.

The macroeconomic backdrop is unfavorable for highly volatile crypto assets. The US dollar is near an 18-month high, while the 10-year US Treasury yield remains at 5.21%. Combined with geopolitical conflicts and rising energy prices, this has heightened risk aversion, and global stock markets are weakening in unison.

Trading outlook
Bias: Bearish
Resistance zone: $0.0865–$0.0895
First target: $0.080
Key target: $0.07604
Signal invalidating the trend outlook: 4-hour candles consistently hold above $0.090–$0.091