Bitcoin may have started a new bull market after a 53% correction

Despite bitcoin’s recent correction, several technical and on-chain indicators point to a possible return of the bull market. BloFin Research even estimates that BTC has entered a new cycle, but this hypothesis still depends on several key support levels holding.

BloFin Research estimates that Bitcoin may have started a new bull market despite the recent correction.

BTC is holding above its 50-week moving average, a historically favorable signal for recoveries.

The MVRV ratio and several on-chain indicators confirm improving market dynamics.

Bitcoin’s latest bearish phase appears shorter and less severe than those of previous cycles.

Holding support between $74,000 and $78,800 remains essential to preserve the bullish outlook.

Bitcoin climbs back above its 50-week average

The main signal analyzed by BloFin comes from the 50-week moving average. This curve, which smooths out price fluctuations over almost a year, was around $78,800 when bitcoin crossed it in September.

BTC closed the week of September 20 at around $81,200, then the week of September 27 at close to $84,456. It subsequently rose above $86,000 in early October, before giving back some of its gains.

Holding above this level for several weeks strengthens the signal. In 2015, 2019, and 2023, a sustained recovery above the 50-week average accompanied the transition from a bearish phase to a new bull market.

Bitcoin is now trading at around $83,600. It therefore remains above this average despite the recent wave of selling and the liquidations seen in derivatives products.

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