đ¨ Pre-market watch: Rate-cut tailwinds vs U.S. Treasury stormâtwo forces collide head-on this morning
đ Bear case ammunition: The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury closed Q3 at 5.29%, surging 87 bps in the quarterâits worst quarter since 1994. Trump said the U.S. has âfully controlled the Strait of Hormuz.â Meanwhile, the UK energy price capâpotentially due to the Iran warâmay push toward around ÂŁ2,000, adding pressure from both interest rates and geopolitics.
đ Bull case positioning: The U.S. August PCE year-over-year came in at 3.4%, below expectations of 3.7%. JOLTS job openings were 7.079 million, below the 7.23 million forecast (prior 7.335 million)âinflation and employment cooling in tandem, giving the Fed a hard reason to pause.
đĄ Live tape: $BTC at $83,553 (24h range $82,956â$85,650, -0.17%), $ETH 2,684 at +0.24%, SOL at $118.02 (-1.02%), BNB at $768.74 (+1.23%). Sentiment on the square is split: one camp yells âAfter rejecting 87,000, weâll probe 53,000â (124k reads), the other insists âhold the previous highâonly volume is missingâ (95k reads).
đĽ Off-market variables: Google released Gemini 4 Argon early this morningâexpanding the output cap to 1 million tokens and pricing below competitors. Bitget theft of $388 million is currently being intercepted transaction-by-transaction by on-chain infrastructure, and the hacker canât move it out.
Which way will it go this morning? Pick one in the comments:
A. Buy on a pullback to 82,000
B. Go long only after holding above 85,650
C. Stay in cash and watch
The above is not investment advice.
#ćŻçšĺ¸ #çžčĺ¨ #Morning Pre-market
đ Bear case ammunition: The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury closed Q3 at 5.29%, surging 87 bps in the quarterâits worst quarter since 1994. Trump said the U.S. has âfully controlled the Strait of Hormuz.â Meanwhile, the UK energy price capâpotentially due to the Iran warâmay push toward around ÂŁ2,000, adding pressure from both interest rates and geopolitics.
đ Bull case positioning: The U.S. August PCE year-over-year came in at 3.4%, below expectations of 3.7%. JOLTS job openings were 7.079 million, below the 7.23 million forecast (prior 7.335 million)âinflation and employment cooling in tandem, giving the Fed a hard reason to pause.
đĄ Live tape: $BTC at $83,553 (24h range $82,956â$85,650, -0.17%), $ETH 2,684 at +0.24%, SOL at $118.02 (-1.02%), BNB at $768.74 (+1.23%). Sentiment on the square is split: one camp yells âAfter rejecting 87,000, weâll probe 53,000â (124k reads), the other insists âhold the previous highâonly volume is missingâ (95k reads).
đĽ Off-market variables: Google released Gemini 4 Argon early this morningâexpanding the output cap to 1 million tokens and pricing below competitors. Bitget theft of $388 million is currently being intercepted transaction-by-transaction by on-chain infrastructure, and the hacker canât move it out.
Which way will it go this morning? Pick one in the comments:
A. Buy on a pullback to 82,000
B. Go long only after holding above 85,650
C. Stay in cash and watch
The above is not investment advice.
#ćŻçšĺ¸ #çžčĺ¨ #Morning Pre-market