The clearing pool below is four times thicker than the one above. $BTC Don’t chase the high this time.
Jiang Zhuoer today tossed out a liquidation map dataset: if BTC is pushed down by $10,000, the liquidation pressure on long positions is about 1.663 billion USD—nearly 4 times the amount from short-position liquidations above. Translated—beneath the 86,000 level, there’s an entire section of long stop-loss orders buried.
Then take a look at CMC’s research head Alice Liu’s weekly report: OI at $55.7 billion, sitting at the 92nd percentile in a 90-day window; the 7-day average funding rate only reaches the 84th percentile. Positions are rising faster than the funding rate, which suggests this round is driven by active adding—not a liquidation cascade forced onto shorts. The longs walked up themselves; they weren’t squeezed onto the move.
This combination is kind of interesting. The short liquidations around 90,000 are sparse, while the long liquidations around 79,000 are as thick as an air-raid shelter—so price naturally has gravity pulling it downward. $ETH Meanwhile, 2744 is grinding here; $SOL ’s ecosystem is an alternative pool for the week’s capital rotation, but the bigger direction still depends on BTC’s mood.
Jiang Zhuoer’s own script is: first push toward 87,500, then retest below 79,000. I won’t guess the script, but the data is there: chasing longs now is basically volunteering to feed the liquidation pool below.
So my approach at this level is: watch and wait—don’t chase. If BTC truly touches the 87,500 area and shows a topping exhaustion sign with a long upper wick, then I’ll consider a small short position with a stop-loss placed above 90,000. Conversely, if you go long directly, the stop-loss would need to be set at 84,500 just to stay alive—the odds aren’t worth it. I won’t take this trade.
#BTC #合约 #清算地图 #资金费率 #FuturaKey
Jiang Zhuoer today tossed out a liquidation map dataset: if BTC is pushed down by $10,000, the liquidation pressure on long positions is about 1.663 billion USD—nearly 4 times the amount from short-position liquidations above. Translated—beneath the 86,000 level, there’s an entire section of long stop-loss orders buried.
Then take a look at CMC’s research head Alice Liu’s weekly report: OI at $55.7 billion, sitting at the 92nd percentile in a 90-day window; the 7-day average funding rate only reaches the 84th percentile. Positions are rising faster than the funding rate, which suggests this round is driven by active adding—not a liquidation cascade forced onto shorts. The longs walked up themselves; they weren’t squeezed onto the move.
This combination is kind of interesting. The short liquidations around 90,000 are sparse, while the long liquidations around 79,000 are as thick as an air-raid shelter—so price naturally has gravity pulling it downward. $ETH Meanwhile, 2744 is grinding here; $SOL ’s ecosystem is an alternative pool for the week’s capital rotation, but the bigger direction still depends on BTC’s mood.
Jiang Zhuoer’s own script is: first push toward 87,500, then retest below 79,000. I won’t guess the script, but the data is there: chasing longs now is basically volunteering to feed the liquidation pool below.
So my approach at this level is: watch and wait—don’t chase. If BTC truly touches the 87,500 area and shows a topping exhaustion sign with a long upper wick, then I’ll consider a small short position with a stop-loss placed above 90,000. Conversely, if you go long directly, the stop-loss would need to be set at 84,500 just to stay alive—the odds aren’t worth it. I won’t take this trade.
#BTC #合约 #清算地图 #资金费率 #FuturaKey
