[When ETH is at its most delicate moment, my call: slightly bullish—but don’t get excited]

At $2,800, we’re watching this level right now.

In the past 7 days, it’s up 10.8%, but in the last 24 hours, it’s only up 0.9%—what does this kind of price action mean? Bulls don’t want to chase, bears don’t dare to dump, and both sides are waiting for a signal. Volume is picking up—that’s a good sign and a precursor to a big move.

Let’s talk about sentiment. FNG is 78, in the extreme greed range. But don’t let that number scare you. What’s truly interesting is that the weekly average is only 63, and now it’s 78—meaning market sentiment is warming up fast. Until the trend is truly finished, don’t rush to declare a top.

What are institutions doing? Bitmine is buying while simultaneously claiming that institutions are under-allocated. What does that mean? It’s basically telling the market: I’m still buying—are you coming in? Trueo moved from Base back to Ethereum; it sounds like gossip, but the logic is clear—Ethereum’s mainnet integration potential is bigger than they originally thought. None of this looks like retail behavior; it’s big money making its vote with its feet.

What does a 44.5% drawdown mean? Historically, every time there’s been a significant pullback into this range, long-term capital starts taking action. This isn’t just bottom-fishing—it’s positioning.

But I have to make one thing clear: when I say slightly bullish, I’m not telling you to blindly rush in right now. $2,860 is hard resistance—only a breakout above it can confirm a new trend. $2,660 is the lifeline; if it breaks below, my view has to be re-examined. Set your stop-loss—that’s basic skill for veteran traders.

From a business standpoint, Ethereum right now is the core of Web3 infrastructure. Solana can try to stage a comeback, but the real deployable stuff—DeFi, staking, RWA—the depth of Ethereum’s ecosystem isn’t something you can catch up to in just a day or two.

What’s your intended signal direction? Do you follow after confirmation of the breakout, or enter now to set a position? Tell me in the comments.