$FIL 16:45 Starting at 16:45, connected with increased volume, it gets smashed downward. I’m cautiously bearish and won’t chase shorts. Around 16:45, after about 3.6× (about 4.11M U) hits the zone near 1.0045, it pulls back. At 17:00, about 3.7× (about 4.19M U) smashes down from about 0.9930 to around 0.9721. Currently around 0.9819 is rebounding. Over the past 12 hours, the position is about +1.7%, and the funding rate is about +0.010%. In the whole market, long accounts are about 60%, while big-holder accounts are about 66%. Big holders have longs about 75%—the price has already been smashed, but big holders’ positioning is still net long. Don’t rush to bottom-pick in the short term, and don’t chase shorts either. Spot daily volume is about 25.2M, which is a bit enough; futures about 175M looks sufficient—let’s wait for the rebound first before deciding.

If you want to participate, first look at the structure: pressure at 0.990—0.998. Only talk about extending if it breaks below 0.965—0.972. If the 1-hour candle reclaims 1.005, then for this leg of high-volume smashing downward, downgrade the setup first.
#FIL #合约 #放量 #short-term