The market’s reaction during the earnings season—let’s note it point by point.
Everyone’s attention is on the U.S. stock market, and the price action has reflected that.
The U.S. stock market has had a fairly tight cadence lately—let’s go through it one by one.
1. Among the “Magnificent Seven” tech names, as long as two of them simultaneously cut capex, the AI narrative will shift from a climax phase into a digestion period.
2. The energy sector moves in tandem with oil prices. If geopolitics tightens, hedging flows will show up inside the S&P.
3. If the Friday PCE comes in below 2.5%, that’s favorable for risk assets. If it’s above 2.6%, the market will reprice and reset expectations for rate cuts.
The U.S. stock market’s pace directly affects sentiment at the opening of the crypto market. In parallel, that’s the opening direction for BTC.
Crypto, here’s the simple read: BTC 85390 (+4.39%), ETH 2727—correlation is relatively weak. Crypto is still waiting for the U.S. stock market to send a signal.
You might consider reducing exposure in batches and keeping risk exposure within 1.5 times your account equity.
In the coming week, which event are you most focused on?
#美股 #BTC #Trading Observations
For personal observation only and does not constitute investment advice.
Everyone’s attention is on the U.S. stock market, and the price action has reflected that.
The U.S. stock market has had a fairly tight cadence lately—let’s go through it one by one.
1. Among the “Magnificent Seven” tech names, as long as two of them simultaneously cut capex, the AI narrative will shift from a climax phase into a digestion period.
2. The energy sector moves in tandem with oil prices. If geopolitics tightens, hedging flows will show up inside the S&P.
3. If the Friday PCE comes in below 2.5%, that’s favorable for risk assets. If it’s above 2.6%, the market will reprice and reset expectations for rate cuts.
The U.S. stock market’s pace directly affects sentiment at the opening of the crypto market. In parallel, that’s the opening direction for BTC.
Crypto, here’s the simple read: BTC 85390 (+4.39%), ETH 2727—correlation is relatively weak. Crypto is still waiting for the U.S. stock market to send a signal.
You might consider reducing exposure in batches and keeping risk exposure within 1.5 times your account equity.
In the coming week, which event are you most focused on?
#美股 #BTC #Trading Observations
For personal observation only and does not constitute investment advice.