BTC has already started entering a primary breakout phase, which is very consistent with what Lu Ge said earlier. First, confirm two points

First

This upward, higher-level trend has been the second wave of the行情 since August. It started from around 75,000 after the rate hike, and it moved faster than expected. It may go beyond what most people can currently conceive of or expect in advance. This is something Lu Ge has repeatedly reminded everyone.

Second

Judging from this bull market cycle, the current major trend is not likely to be confined to a small-scale short term. It will very likely continue until after the U.S. midterm elections. In the past, during every major election opportunity, crypto market speculation has often been used as a way to rally votes. Of course, there are also deeper reasons involved, such as the transfer of benefits. It’s not convenient to discuss those in detail here, so based on what Lu Ge thinks, he believes that later on there may be some great "narratives" that will break out and provide positive catalysts to support the market moving upward.


If you look at the market from a more optimistic perspective, it’s even possible that this rally will continue until after the AI infrastructure is fully rolled out—before the bull market ends. From this perspective, Lu Ge’s judgment is that the timing could extend to February 2027. But regardless, once the currency truly starts to tighten and the AI financing environment is restricted, and the bubble begins to burst, then you definitely need to prioritize exiting first.


In the early and mid stages of the market cycle, it may still be possible to add some leverage on major coins. This is something I have mentioned repeatedly to some friends over the past few days: keep your position size under 10%. Even if we get multiple “spikes” in a bull market, overall it shouldn’t be too big of a problem. As for altcoins, I don’t really recommend using leverage—after all, ordinary people may not be able to time it well and can easily get反噬 (backfired). Prefer tokens with larger international markets and stronger overseas consensus. Also, tokens that may have an advantageous position due to mid-cycle election narratives could be favored.


Final summary:

Pessimists are always right; optimists always move forward. Everyone, try to be as optimistic as possible about the market. This cycle may present more opportunities, and market volatility could also be relatively large.


To each friend who follows, likes, and shares—Lu Ge will remember you.

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This material is for learning and reference only and does not constitute trading advice. If you trade based on it, you do so at your own risk! $BTC #BTC走势分析