Jiahao Thursday Ideas Sharing

The large bitcoin has been moving out of the low-range and rebounding in an hourly cycle. After the price revisits the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, it is now probing upward toward the middle band resistance. This is only a secondary rebound within a broader downtrend; it does not constitute a trend reversal signal.

The Federal Reserve interest rate decision was delivered as expected. The overall outcome matches market consensus and there was no unexpectedly hawkish statement. The earlier bearish factors have been fully digested, so the market has entered a brief window of repair and recovery respite. However, the technical structure on the higher timeframe remains weak. The 78,500 level—the Bollinger Bands upper band—serves as the primary near-term strong resistance. As price rebounds into this zone, selling pressure is likely to be concentrated and released.

Meanwhile, expectations of potential downside from related bills have not been fully realized yet, and overall risk-asset sentiment has not truly turned stronger. Taken together, in terms of execution, the strategy remains to sell the rebound—wait for the price to rise and face pressure at higher levels before setting up positions.

Trading Plan:
Bitcoin: Short around 76,800–77,300. Target 75,000. If it breaks through, continue to look for 73,000.

Ethereum: Short around 2,450–2,470. Target 2,380. If it breaks through, continue to look for 2,300.

#Zcash上涨6% #比特币ETF净流出4.5亿美元 $NVDAB $AAPLB $BTC