People are furious and resentment runs deep, anger beyond restraint。
Recently, people have been shouting “going long” and “shorting,”
all because they’ve been implicated and punished for something they didn’t do—
with the doom of taking down entire clans and wiping out ancestors.
I actually also want to go long,
but I haven’t found the bottom yet?
This kind of suffering comes from hard-earned lessons, the disaster of being stuck in the past,
watching all along: the big players haven’t dug a pit, they haven’t reached the time when the upward cycle begins,
and they haven’t reached the time for a pullback to shake out and absorb positions.
So how does it just run into a bull market like this?—
One huge bullish candle, and thousands of troops come to meet!
I’m a bullhead—I don’t believe it?
Fortunately, around 64000 they kept calling for longs,
and only after 72000 did they start calling for shorts;
otherwise I’d at least be cursed like a dog for calling a short at the bottom—I’m also wronged.
At 79500 I called the top, and today I’m calling the top again.
Long upper shadows, tombstone candles, and top-formations at high levels—
these are all indications of a top.
Can I win this time?
Actually, even if I lose, it doesn’t matter.
They’ll have forced liquidation teeth, shamelessness, fickleness—
people with no bottom line ahead of them; it’s actually more honorable than someone like me,
who at least has a little shame.
Isn’t it just that I called for shorting and got hit?
So what, for heaven’s sake?
They all say the bull market is here,
but looking at volume, it’s not “a huge surge”;
institutions and the main players haven’t reached a consensus,
it’s just continued rallying and going long.
US stocks are also at high levels, and there’s always the risk of a big sell-off.
The Federal Reserve hasn’t eased with easy money, and rate cuts haven’t arrived;
the “golden mountain” flood hasn’t reached all finance—
it hasn’t benefited everyone.
The US-Iran war continues, and the Russia-Ukraine war hasn’t stopped either;
geopolitics is unstable.
Black swans can appear at any time.
Trump calls out trades—US stocks can follow,
but when he calls for digital currency, every wave is a harvest.
Why can’t I believe him so much?
From the daily chart structure for now: the bulls are rising,
and the candles are spreading out—yes, the bulls are strong right now.
But the daily “tombstone” candle, a volume-backed pullback,
with funds calling the top at high levels and being overbought—
don’t chase highs.
The key resistance can be shorted; stop loss is the previous high.
Resistance above is around 83000.
On the four-hour timeframe: short at 79000, add on at 80500,
stop loss 81500, target around 755000.
On the weekly timeframe: this week hasn’t been a sustained rally;
only a volume-backed breakout above 83000 counts as a true reversal.
In terms of MACD structure, there’s a need for a consolidation and rebound.
The candlestick structure is currently bullish, so a pullback is still something you can go long on.
Support below is around 73000.
They say I can’t read the trend,
and indeed, the current structure is bullish—going long is possible.
But it’s not telling you to chase long at high levels?
One more line: whoever chases long, whoever dies? $BTC
Recently, people have been shouting “going long” and “shorting,”
all because they’ve been implicated and punished for something they didn’t do—
with the doom of taking down entire clans and wiping out ancestors.
I actually also want to go long,
but I haven’t found the bottom yet?
This kind of suffering comes from hard-earned lessons, the disaster of being stuck in the past,
watching all along: the big players haven’t dug a pit, they haven’t reached the time when the upward cycle begins,
and they haven’t reached the time for a pullback to shake out and absorb positions.
So how does it just run into a bull market like this?—
One huge bullish candle, and thousands of troops come to meet!
I’m a bullhead—I don’t believe it?
Fortunately, around 64000 they kept calling for longs,
and only after 72000 did they start calling for shorts;
otherwise I’d at least be cursed like a dog for calling a short at the bottom—I’m also wronged.
At 79500 I called the top, and today I’m calling the top again.
Long upper shadows, tombstone candles, and top-formations at high levels—
these are all indications of a top.
Can I win this time?
Actually, even if I lose, it doesn’t matter.
They’ll have forced liquidation teeth, shamelessness, fickleness—
people with no bottom line ahead of them; it’s actually more honorable than someone like me,
who at least has a little shame.
Isn’t it just that I called for shorting and got hit?
So what, for heaven’s sake?
They all say the bull market is here,
but looking at volume, it’s not “a huge surge”;
institutions and the main players haven’t reached a consensus,
it’s just continued rallying and going long.
US stocks are also at high levels, and there’s always the risk of a big sell-off.
The Federal Reserve hasn’t eased with easy money, and rate cuts haven’t arrived;
the “golden mountain” flood hasn’t reached all finance—
it hasn’t benefited everyone.
The US-Iran war continues, and the Russia-Ukraine war hasn’t stopped either;
geopolitics is unstable.
Black swans can appear at any time.
Trump calls out trades—US stocks can follow,
but when he calls for digital currency, every wave is a harvest.
Why can’t I believe him so much?
From the daily chart structure for now: the bulls are rising,
and the candles are spreading out—yes, the bulls are strong right now.
But the daily “tombstone” candle, a volume-backed pullback,
with funds calling the top at high levels and being overbought—
don’t chase highs.
The key resistance can be shorted; stop loss is the previous high.
Resistance above is around 83000.
On the four-hour timeframe: short at 79000, add on at 80500,
stop loss 81500, target around 755000.
On the weekly timeframe: this week hasn’t been a sustained rally;
only a volume-backed breakout above 83000 counts as a true reversal.
In terms of MACD structure, there’s a need for a consolidation and rebound.
The candlestick structure is currently bullish, so a pullback is still something you can go long on.
Support below is around 73000.
They say I can’t read the trend,
and indeed, the current structure is bullish—going long is possible.
But it’s not telling you to chase long at high levels?
One more line: whoever chases long, whoever dies? $BTC
