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【The wind direction changed overnight! A big drama unfolds at the Federal Reserve, with these two individuals grasping the market】

What seemed like a clear choice for the Federal Reserve chair has suddenly flipped in the past few days! The latest predictions show that Trump’s former advisor, Hassett, has a selection probability soaring to 56%, returning to the lead; while Wall Street familiar figure, Waller, is only at 22%, and the current governor, Waller, is just at 12%.

Why the sudden change? The core reason is simple: who appeals more to Trump.

These two represent two completely opposite paths:

✅ Hassett - the "obedient faction". Advocating for significant interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy, he is highly aligned with Trump’s idea of "suppressing interest rates to boost growth". If he takes office, the market may experience a "flood of liquidity celebration" in the short term, and risk assets may heat up again.

❌ Waller - the "independent faction". Coming from a financial family, he has publicly criticized the Federal Reserve’s excessive easing. If he takes power, he may likely cut interest rates while tightening financial regulation, making the market experience the pain of "weaning off".

This personnel game is essentially a tug-of-war between White House politics and the independence of the Federal Reserve. Going forward, market fluctuations may no longer only concern economic data, but also be influenced by the power struggles in Washington.

Especially in the crypto sphere - if Hassett takes office, easing expectations may boost Bitcoin to rise again; if Waller is in charge, tightening regulation may exacerbate market volatility.

Who do you think will ultimately take office? Do you think the crypto sphere will welcome a celebration or a shock? We await your thoughts in the comments!