That day, while reviewing my trades, I realized this move had a point that I didn’t handle well. It was on the day of the rate-setting meeting: the forecasts were basically consistent. First, after the waterfall selloff, the market seemed to calm down when he spoke. I was listening to the livestream and felt that his comments were basically a mess and implied further rate hikes. He also made a statement in the square, and I had planned to close half the position. But I considered that my own position wasn’t big, and if I closed it at midnight, people wouldn’t be able to see it. Hahaha. Back when I was a small newbie, I got tricked by a blogger who said it was all risk-free—no worries, no worries. I closed the position at midnight, and when I woke up, I was instantly confused and overwhelmed. Hahahahaha. It was just too funny, so I didn’t do anything. The review is that at that time, during the rebound, I really did need to close part of the position. As for the rest, the issues weren’t that big. The sell-off really did go a bit beyond expectations, but my position size was okay. If I’m losing, then I just accept it!
Post
Nevermore_doge24
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Bullish#美联储利率决议即将公布 Been busy catching the World Cup lately, of course just a little gamble for fun, totally forgot to keep an eye on the Fed meeting. So tonight! Is it show time for #沃什首秀 ? Are we going for a big move? Honestly, I'm not too sure.
Let me share my thoughts. There's a prediction that tonight Waller won't submit his SEP dot plot forecast. If he actually does that, we might see a quick dump! The market loves certainty, and such a high level of uncertainty will definitely cause a nosedive first, then we wait for his speech. I think he won't proactively mention tapering; Waller is likely still leaning towards rate cuts or holding steady. This should lead the market to rebound or stabilize, but once the speech is over, the market will still worry about the uncertainty in Waller's policies or the risks of rising inflation and increasing unemployment, which could continue to drive prices down. If that's the case, it's not a true hawkish stance but rather a drop due to uncertainty. Then, my fellow traders, our opportunity to stack up comes! Let’s go all in!
This viewpoint is just for entertainment, just like my bets on the World Cup, it's all about relaxing a bit!
Mid-term bullish, short-term bearish, keeping my positions manageable without adjustments!
Let me share my thoughts. There's a prediction that tonight Waller won't submit his SEP dot plot forecast. If he actually does that, we might see a quick dump! The market loves certainty, and such a high level of uncertainty will definitely cause a nosedive first, then we wait for his speech. I think he won't proactively mention tapering; Waller is likely still leaning towards rate cuts or holding steady. This should lead the market to rebound or stabilize, but once the speech is over, the market will still worry about the uncertainty in Waller's policies or the risks of rising inflation and increasing unemployment, which could continue to drive prices down. If that's the case, it's not a true hawkish stance but rather a drop due to uncertainty. Then, my fellow traders, our opportunity to stack up comes! Let’s go all in!
This viewpoint is just for entertainment, just like my bets on the World Cup, it's all about relaxing a bit!
Mid-term bullish, short-term bearish, keeping my positions manageable without adjustments!