#ETH走势分析 Next week (December 16-20) is the 'Judgment Week' that will determine the short-term direction.

On one hand, macro bearish (probability 45%)

· Trigger condition: The Federal Reserve's stance is hawkish (implying no urgency to cut interest rates) or CPI data exceeds expectations.

· Market reaction: Risk assets will plummet. ETH will test and is likely to break the key support zone of 3100-3150, quickly probing the core area of 3000-3050. If market panic intensifies, it may briefly break below 3000, seeking ultimate support at 2850-2950.

· Is this the 'last drop'? It is possible. If there is a sharp increase in trading volume followed by a rapid contraction in the 2850-3050 range, it may form a mid-term bottom.

On the other hand, macro neutral or bullish (probability 55%)

· Trigger condition: The Federal Reserve meets expectations or is dovish, CPI is moderate.

· Market reaction: Uncertainty is eliminated, market sentiment eases. ETH is expected to break through the upper edge of the consolidation range of 3280-3300 with increased volume, targeting the 3400-3500 area. However, in the absence of sustained capital inflow, it may pull back after the initial impact on this area, forming a higher consolidation range (such as 3250-3500).

@Max Charity #GiggleAcademy #Max

What do you all think about ETH's trend next week?