A 10-year experience in the crypto space—understand one thing and benefit for life!

BD苏白 · 2023-10-05T01:31:25.000Z

1. The circulating market value is <span billion U.S. dollars, and the accumulation amount is sufficient (>15m). 10m is the golden dog potential. 3d accumulates 5-15m from the low level and the bottom increase is <span Do not participate in shrinking and sorting, and will catch up when the data volume increases (>1m) 3. The decline is small compared to the accumulation, but the decline is large, and the decline slows down to buy the bottom. 4. The accumulation amount is small, the short-term increase is large, and short selling follows the data. 5. Try not to touch those with too small positions. 6. Either chase the long side or buy the dip. Shock is not involved. 7. Take profit: a. If the negative line is large and the pin is inserted, the profit will be taken. b. Volume fell in sideways trading. To increase the volume is to rush up for a moment without any energy and then directly increase the volume and then fall down. The increase in volume on the Yang line and the shrinkage on the Yin line do not fall into this category. Watch for 1 minute, if the amount of yin is less than the amount of yang, it does not count. Look at K-lines at all levels. If you make a substantial profit, you will sell out most of your positions.

Circulating market cap ＜100 million USD, with enough accumulation volume (＞15m). 10m has potential to be a “golden dog.” For 3d accumulation, and 5–15m bottom-up, where the bottom breakout rise is ＜30%.
Don’t participate in low-volume consolidation. Wait for the data to expand with volume (＞1m), then chase in.
When the decline has relatively less volume than the accumulated volume, but the drop is large—if the rate of decline slows down, that’s when you buy the dip.
Little accumulation volume and large short-term upside—follow the data and short.
If the open interest/position size is too small, try not to touch it.
Either chase the breakout, or buy the dip. Do not participate in the range-bound chop.
Take-profit: a. If a bearish candle expands volume with a pin, take profit. b. If it chops sideways and then slides down with increased volume. “Releasing volume” here means it suddenly surges and shows a lack of strength, then volume dumps down immediately. For bullish candles, the expanded volume counts; for bearish candles, reduced volume is not this category. Look at 1-minute: if the bearish volume is less than the bullish volume, it doesn’t count. Watch K-lines across multiple timeframes. If the profit is large, sell off most of the position.
Don’t short! Give up this part of the profit!! Your mindset will explode, leading to revenge trades!!!
In one position, at most 30%–50%. 
Don’t add to a position that’s floating in loss on the contracts.
Profit and loss share the same origin. Swing traders can never eat the whole move; if you eat the whole move, you will keep giving back profit midway. The reason is: when a bull market comes, eating the whole move will always make more than swing trading.
After something like “cyber” makes a big explosive pump and then starts to bleed down with decreasing volume, it will usually go into a consolidation phase for quite a long time. 13. Watch out for the down-drift, but note that the market maker’s money is flowing in. 14. If there hasn’t been any accumulated volume, don’t gamble on the market maker building a position. 
Follow the market maker—don’t try to predict the market maker.
15m is very noisy—start looking from 1h.
Low-multiple buys to probe the bottom—don’t think you’ll go to the sky in one shot.
In the explosive pump phase, don’t rush in. It’s more comfortable to enter after it goes sideways and stacks volume.
Sustained incremental volume is healthy; spot having volume also matters. 
Usually the unloading/distribution is a slow, bearish drift. Don’t be afraid of a fake sell-off.
Don’t open orders after the bullish trend across multiple timeframes. Don’t stare at 15m and try to predict the left side.
Stop-loss: if volume breaks through the cost basis, cut the loss. If it doesn’t, take another look.
If leverage is too high, even if you understand the data, you won’t make money.
If it hasn’t started, look at the past three days. If it has started, look at longer cycles.
After a violent acceleration, a big bearish candle; after consolidating sideways at a high level, it releases volume and drops—these are all signs of a top. The prerequisite is that the data also shows unloading. Usually you don’t need to watch for low-volume consolidation; when it’s a “dog market maker,” they can’t unload.
After the main impulse, don’t even look at the pullbacks. Pullbacks are a major source of losses.
If you want to bet on the “money-dog” type coin, then below 5m you should start paying attention. Between 5–10m, you enter. After 10m, you need to consider whether you’re going to go in with a heavy position.
The truly high-certainty ones start at 60m. Too many at 10m—uncertainty is too high. Many “seed” coins fail. Seeds need to be observed for a long time. Don’t place orders too casually.
The shorter the accumulation time, the larger the volume, and the lower the upside—this is one of the signs of a “golden target.”
Set a stop-loss of 1–3% on the “Meixi” method. After you cut and it pulls back with volume, I’ll chase again. Anyway, it’s only a few percent.
If you chase a pump 10 times that has accumulated volume, the probability that all 10 times are fake starts is really very small. Set alerts: once accumulation volume is enough and it releases volume, chase immediately. For “seed” setups in the early stage, they wash you repeatedly and it’s chaotic. If there’s no accumulation and it gets pumped to the sky, then just treat it as if you didn’t see it. If it’s not within your system, don’t touch it.
In a bear market, it will keep going for a long time. You must carry a stop-loss. After the stop-loss, if it rises above the recent high, then chase—no need to get hung up on the cost.
Within 3d, use 30m—I think it’s relatively steady.
For something like imx that suddenly spikes in volume instead of slowly accumulating, don’t participate. A surge in volume might be caused by “explosive shorting/short liquidation.”
You can参考 approximate resistance and support by looking at large orders.
Make good use of the TV indicators to determine buy/sell points. Give up the maximum profit and aim for profits with higher certainty.
I’m not really brave enough to play new perpetual/futures contracts—this is why. Usually it’s spot that pumps to the sky first, then the short-term accumulation goes into the contract.
Older contracts that have accumulated and then started are actually pretty stable. The 5m–10m type that has recently been trading hasn’t done well much.
When trading from the right side, a stop-loss after a fake breakout is fine. But you have to choose the right target—don’t do every breakout. On 5m or 10m timeframes, breakouts built on accumulation are very easy to get yourself knocked out.
Seriously—try this: accumulate at low levels, and the certainty is extremely strong.
Whether you unload or not isn’t the key. The key is whether you use a trailing take-profit and stop-loss that moves with price. Use a drawdown-based take-profit/stop-loss. Honestly, I really suggest that when you trade from the right side, your stop-loss must be set very close. Even if you get knocked out repeatedly by fake breakouts, as long as there is even one real breakout, you can get it all back and make a lot of money.
If you’ve made money, move the take-profit to a spot a bit further away from the cost basis. This way you can ensure you don’t end up losing money. If it keeps rising, keep raising that take-profit line continuously.
Fake dips or real dips—long or short—either way, just find one method that can steadily make money. Thinking you can cleanly eat everything—shorting, the main impulse, the pullback—doesn’t exist.