macro

Standard Chartered just lowered their 2026 target from $150K → $100K and says a $50K test is possible...

Why? 👇
📉 ETF outflows
🌎 Weakening macro
💵 Rate cuts expectations fading
📊 Average holder entry ~ $90K (many already underwater)

But here’s the real question —
Is this:
• Smart risk assessment?
• Liquidity grab narrative?
• Or early bear cycle signal?
When big institutions turn cautious, volatility usually follows.
$50K would mean:
→ Major psychological reset
→ Forced liquidations
→ Massive sentiment washout
Fear creates headlines. Structure creates opportunity. If $BTC dips toward $50K, panic… or position? 👀
I’m watching liquidity zones and ETF flow data closely.
What’s your plan if that level gets tapped? 🔥
#Bitcoin #CryptoNews #MarketAnalysis #Macro #CryptoMarket

They don’t move independently They all answer to one thing

👉 Liquidity

And right now, M2 money supply is at all-time highs
🧠 WHAT IS M2 (IN SIMPLE TERMS)

M2 is how much money exists in the system that can actually move
It includes
• Cash
• Checking deposits
• Savings accounts
• Money market funds

📌 If M2 is rising more money exists to chase assets
📌 If M2 is shrinking liquidity tightens and risk assets suffer

Price doesn’t lead liquidity
Liquidity leads price $PIPPIN
📊 WHY M2 IS AT ALL-TIME HIGHS
M2 doesn’t grow randomly
It expands because of

• Government deficits
• Central bank balance sheet growth
• Credit creation
• Emergency liquidity tools
• Structural debt refinancing
Even when policy sounds tight

the system often leaks liquidity back in

📌 This is why M2 can rise even when rates are high
🔄 HOW M2 ACTUALLY MOVES MARKETS

M2 doesn’t pump markets overnight
It works in stages
1️⃣ Liquidity enters the system
Banks, funds, and institutions gain access to more capital.
2️⃣ Cash seeks return
Idle money doesn’t stay idle — it hunts yield
3️⃣ Capital flows into assets
First bonds → then equities → then risk → then speculation

📌 Markets don’t rise because of optimism

They rise because money has nowhere else to go

₿ WHY CRYPTO REACTS STRONGEST TO M2
Crypto is pure liquidity exposure
• No earnings
• No dividends
• No balance sheet

Just supply demand and liquidity
When M2 expands:

• Bitcoin moves first
• Altcoins follow harder
• Speculation accelerates fastest

📌 Crypto is not a hedge against inflation

it’s a hedge against monetary expansion
🟡 GOLD VS CRYPTO SAME DRIVER DIFFERENT SPEED

Gold and crypto both respond to M2 but differently
🟡 Gold $XAU

• Moves slowly
• Prices long-term debasement
• Preserves purchasing power

₿ Crypto

• Moves fast
• Prices future liquidity
• Amplifies monetary cycles

That’s why

• Gold trends
• Crypto explodes
Same cause
Different velocity
📈 WHY STOCKS ALSO RISE WITH M2

Stocks don’t just reflect company performance$ZRO

They reflect

• Discount rates
• Liquidity conditions
• Availability of capital

When M2 expands

• Valuations stretch
• Risk tolerance increases
• Growth assets outperform

📌 Earnings matte — but liquidity decides multiples.

⚠️ THE PART MOST PEOPLE MISS

M2 doesn’t mean straight up forever
It means:

• Bigger cycles
• Higher volatility
• Larger booms and busts
Liquidity expands → assets inflate

Liquidity pauses → markets correct

Liquidity resumes → next leg begins

📌 The trend follows M2

📉 The path is never smooth
💡 FINAL TAKEAWAY

M2 at all-time highs explains

✔ Why dips get bought
✔ Why rallies feel aggressive
✔ Why speculation returns fast
This isn’t coincidence

It’s monetary gravity
Markets don’t fight liquidity
They follow it
👉 The real question isn’t if assets rise
it’s which assets absorb liquidity fastest #MANTA

#M2 #liquidity #Macro #M2alltimehigh

🚨 Could Dollarization Be on Hold? Moscow Hints at a Potential Dollar Revamp
For many years, addresses by Vladimir Putin alongside high-ranking Kremlin members focused on minimizing reliance on the U. S. dollar. The intent was plain: create alternatives, shift trade to different currencies, and diminish the dollar's supremacy.

Currently, this narrative might be evolving.

As reported by Bloomberg, Russian leaders are considering options that could lead to the resumption of U. S. dollar transactions — particularly in the energy sector. This is significant in light of recent moves to embrace the yuan and other “friendly” currencies.

Internal dialogues are said to include various avenues for collaboration with Washington post-conflict: energy partnerships, essential minerals, aviation, nuclear infrastructure for AI initiatives, and even the potential reinvolvement of American firms in the Russian market.

However, the most important development transcends industrial collaboration.

It pertains to currency.

Why reconsider engaging with the dollar?

The dollar embodies more than just symbolic influence. It signifies liquidity, extensive capital markets, transactional frameworks, and global risk management instruments that no competitor has completely duplicated. Replacing that framework is challenging — particularly under the weight of sanctions.

The concept of financial sovereignty might sound appealing in political addresses.
However, the realities of balance-of-payments are less accommodating.

For international markets — and crypto analysts alike — the indication is unmistakable: when economic pressures increase, countries often revert to the most liquid and universally recognized settlement medium.

While political narratives might advocate for a “new order,” global trade still relies on established systems.

Western doubts are pronounced, with some perceiving this as a strategic geopolitical move. Yet the readiness to reconsider dollar transactions highlights a more profound reality:

The global economy is built on trust, liquidity, and systems — not just catchphrases.

And when the heat rises, even those who criticize the current system may desire to regain access to it.

$BTC

#Macro #bitcoin