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⚫⚪🔴 🏦 Federal Reserve Minutes: Inflation is heading towards 2%… but risks remain

The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed that participants expect inflation to gradually decline towards the 2% target, but the pace and timing of this decline remain uncertain.

📌 Key Points:

🔹 Base Expectation:
Inflation is expected to decrease towards the target level in the medium term.

🔹 Main Warning:
Most members indicated that progress towards 2% could be slower and more volatile than expected.

🔹 Risk Assessment:
They considered the risk of inflation staying above the target for an extended period to still be "tangible."

🎯 What do these messages mean for the markets?

📊 The tone leans towards cautious monetary policy
💵 The chances of interest rate cuts are not fully guaranteed
📈 Markets will remain highly sensitive to upcoming inflation data
🟡 Gold may benefit from any signs of economic slowdown
📉 The dollar may weaken if easing bets strengthen

🔎 Summary

The Fed still sees a downward path for inflation, but is not confident about the speed of this path, meaning that monetary policy will remain closely tied to data in the coming period.

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