#halvingcylces
halvingcylces
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🚨 Does Bitcoin’s cycle repeat itself?
By looking at the last three cycles, we notice a pattern that comes back often:
🔴 Year 1: Bear Market
2014
2018
2022
2026 ? 👀
🔵 Year 2: Pre-Bull
Accumulation.
A gradual return of confidence.
Patient investors build their positions.
🟢 Year 3: First Bull Run
Effect of the halving.
Sustained rise.
Markets regain interest.
🟢 Year 4: Euphoria
New all-time highs.
Strong participation from retail investors.
End of the cycle.
📊 The corrections after each peak have been:
• 2013 → 2015 : -86.9% • 2017 → 2018 : -84.2% • 2021 → 2022 : -77.6%
We observe that the drops become progressively less deep.
If the current cycle follows this logic:
✅ ATH 2025 : ≈ $126,000
The potential 2026 trough could be between:
🟢 50,000 $ (-60%)
🟡 44,000 $ (-65%)
🟠 38,000 $ (-70%) ← the scenario I consider the most likely.
🔴 32,000 $ (-75%)
⚫ 25,000 $ (-80%, extreme scenario).
💡 History never repeats perfectly, but it often rhymes.
ETFs, institutional adoption, and the macroeconomic environment can change this cycle, but understanding past cycles helps you manage your emotions and risk better.
Don’t buy out of FOMO during the euphoria. Instead, prepare your strategy before opportunities appear.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Investissements nt #TradingStrategies💼💰 #HalvingCylces #BullRun #bearmarket et #ETFbitcoin
By looking at the last three cycles, we notice a pattern that comes back often:
🔴 Year 1: Bear Market
2014
2018
2022
2026 ? 👀
🔵 Year 2: Pre-Bull
Accumulation.
A gradual return of confidence.
Patient investors build their positions.
🟢 Year 3: First Bull Run
Effect of the halving.
Sustained rise.
Markets regain interest.
🟢 Year 4: Euphoria
New all-time highs.
Strong participation from retail investors.
End of the cycle.
📊 The corrections after each peak have been:
• 2013 → 2015 : -86.9% • 2017 → 2018 : -84.2% • 2021 → 2022 : -77.6%
We observe that the drops become progressively less deep.
If the current cycle follows this logic:
✅ ATH 2025 : ≈ $126,000
The potential 2026 trough could be between:
🟢 50,000 $ (-60%)
🟡 44,000 $ (-65%)
🟠 38,000 $ (-70%) ← the scenario I consider the most likely.
🔴 32,000 $ (-75%)
⚫ 25,000 $ (-80%, extreme scenario).
💡 History never repeats perfectly, but it often rhymes.
ETFs, institutional adoption, and the macroeconomic environment can change this cycle, but understanding past cycles helps you manage your emotions and risk better.
Don’t buy out of FOMO during the euphoria. Instead, prepare your strategy before opportunities appear.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Investissements nt #TradingStrategies💼💰 #HalvingCylces #BullRun #bearmarket et #ETFbitcoin
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$BTC #HalvingCylces
Halving is a major event for $BTC : every four (4) years, the miners' reward gets cut in half. This mechanism reduces the available supply and enhances scarcity, which often influences price dynamics and grabs traders' attention.
#BTC #bitcoin #Halving #CryptoNewss
$BNB @BNB Chain
Halving is a major event for $BTC : every four (4) years, the miners' reward gets cut in half. This mechanism reduces the available supply and enhances scarcity, which often influences price dynamics and grabs traders' attention.
#BTC #bitcoin #Halving #CryptoNewss
$BNB @BNB Chain
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