fomc

🚨 MUSQANT | FED OUTLOOK

Reuters poll (Oct 20): 94/100 economists expect an October hold; all 100 expect a December hike, vs fewer than half last month.

A major shift in rate expectations may pressure BTC and altcoins.

🔴 RISK-OFF | Macro

#BTC☀ #fomc #MUSQANT

Bitcoin couldn’t hold $84,778, and $192 million in liquidations hit the market.

BTC is currently at $82,715, up 0.01% in 24 hours—basically standing still.
Over the past seven days, it climbed from $80,117 to $84,778, a $4,661 range, kept alive entirely by news.

Yesterday’s sharp rally above $84,500 taught the bears a lesson. Today, the bulls got paid back in kind: over $192 million in liquidations market-wide, with Bitcoin alone accounting for $78.6 million.

I think this is a classic “night before the showdown”: the FOMC meets on October 28, and Bitfinex has drawn a firm range of $81,300–$84,400.
Get above $84,400, and the previous high of $84,778 is made of paper. Fall below $81,300, and the seven-day low of $80,117 probably won’t hold.

The Fear and Greed Index is at 68. Everyone talks greed, but their hands are made of paper—they sell at the first sign of a rise.
ETH at $2,439 and SOL at $105.26 are both going nowhere. The whole village’s hopes still depend on Bitcoin’s mood.

Here are the invalidation conditions: if the FOMC turns hawkish, or a surge in volume drives price below $81,300, this “ceiling above, floor below” scenario is immediately invalidated.

Are you betting on a break above $84,400 before the FOMC, or a retest of $80,000 first?

$BTC
#比特币 #FOMC

📊 Reuters poll: All 100 economists bet on a Fed rate hike in December

What will the FOMC do next week (10/27–28)? The Reuters poll conducted 10/16–20 has the answer:
🔹 94 of 100 expect no change in October, with rates staying at 3.75%–4.00%
🔹 All 100 expect a rate hike in December (8–9), compared with fewer than half in last month’s poll
🔹 38 of 92 think there will be at least two more hikes after that
🔹 PCE inflation is expected to take at least until 2028 to return to 2%

Meanwhile, $BTC surged to around 84,600 early in the session (CMC, +1.9% over 24h), while ETH was around 2,490.

Markets are rising while waiting for a rate hike. When the hike actually comes in December, do you think BTC will have “priced in the bad news” or “take another leg down”? Join the discussion in the comments 👇

#美联储 #加息 #FOMC #Bitcoin
For reference only; this is not investment advice

BTC touched a one-week high of 84,000, but I’m not rushing to chase it. The real test comes at next week’s FOMC meeting.

Data: $BTC Current price is around 84,239, up 1.4% over 24h; $ETH 2,475; U.S. spot ETH ETFs have seen more than $1.08 billion in cumulative outflows in October, the largest monthly outflow this year. ETH is clearly weaker than BTC.

My take:
1. 82,500 is the short-term bull-bear line. Holding above it would favor a strong, range-bound market, with clear resistance around 85,000;
2. Before the Fed meeting on 10/27–28, breakouts on weak volume are prone to retests;
3. I wouldn’t take a large position until ETH’s fund flows turn around.

Risk: Oil prices and news from the Middle East could disrupt risk appetite driven by tech stocks at any moment. Do you think this rally can break straight through 85,000?

#BTC #FOMC These are my personal views only, not investment advice.

🚨#عاجل .
🇺🇸 The Federal Reserve’s influence as a source of pressure declined in October.
The odds of an interest rate hike fell below 15%, just 7 days before the Federal Open Market Committee’s decision (#FOMC ).
📉 Less pressure on interest rates.
📈 More room for risk assets.
Is the way being paved for a new bullish wave in the cryptocurrency market? 👀
Keep an eye on Bitcoin. 💥
$BTC
$XRP
$SOL
#OCCIssuesFirstFinalRuleUnderGENIUSAct
#KoreanRetailLost6.3TrillionWonOnLeveragedETPs

In my previous post with the tag, I bet that CPI would shift rate cuts to December, not October. That’s how it turned out, though not right away)

#fomcвідстеження , ahead of the FOMC on October 28

Core at 2.6% versus 2.5% expected, CPI at 3.7%. September PPI rose 1.3%, the biggest increase since March 2022.

After CPI, the odds of an October cut jumped from 21% to 47%; after Warsh’s remarks, they fell to 15%. CME FedWatch is now showing 17%; before CPI it was 18.8%. December is at 92%, up from 70.6%.

Why October held its ground: gasoline accounted for more than half of monthly CPI, and energy drove over 80% of the PPI jump.

I’m still betting on a pause. PCE and GDP come out on October 29, after the decision.

I’m watching to make sure October stays below 18.8%. If it starts creeping up, I was wrong.

$BTC
On the PPI news, it touched 79,800; now it’s 3.8% higher. I’m not moving my stablecoins in Simple Earn around because of the news.

I’ll go over the decision on October 28. Follow me if you’re following the tag.

#fomc #cpi

$BTC bounced to $82,700, but for the third time it has failed to hold above $83,200. The market is in limbo ahead of the Fed meeting on October 27–28: this week, we’ll also get US labor market data and reports from Meta, Tesla, and IBM. There may not be any major moves before the Fed’s decision, but volatility is likely to pick up afterward.
Will it break $83K before the Fed meeting or not? 👇
#FOMC #FedWeek #Earnings

🚨 MUSQANT | FED ALERT

Fed rate hike odds for Oct 28 fall to just 12%, according to LSEG.

📈 BTC rebounds 2.4% toward $82.8K.

Lower rate fears boost crypto sentiment, but risks remain.

🟢 RISK-ON | Short-term

#BTC☀ #bitcoin #fomc #MUSQANT

The market is leaning dovish! 📉

Polymarket prediction odds show an 87% chance the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at its next meeting. The likelihood of a 25 bps hike has plunged to just 14%, despite ongoing inflation concerns.

A Fed rate pause typically offers breathing room for risk assets, including crypto. Will this fuel the next market rally, or is caution still needed? 💬

What’s your take?

#FOMC #CryptoNews #Fed

🚨 BTC IS STUCK UNDER $82K FOR DAYS — AND FED OFFICIALS JUST WENT SILENT 👀

Fed officials entered their pre-FOMC blackout on Oct 17.

No one from the Fed will speak until the Oct 27-28 decision — 10 days away.

The rate path is the single biggest near-term catalyst crypto has.

Here's what the data shows:

📉 BTC at $81,894 (+0.41% 24h) — its 7-day range is just $81.7K to $83.8K.

📊 ETH at $2,422 (-0.16%), yet BitMine bought another 20,000 ETH ($35.85M) from FalconX this week.

💧 Fear & Greed sits at 49 = Neutral. Neither fear nor greed.

Flat markets before a scheduled event are classic: thin liquidity means the first real headline moves prices faster than expected — in either direction.

Until Oct 28, the market is a waiting room. Decide your max risk BEFORE the event, not during the reaction.

SOL -0.43%, BNB -0.10%, XRP -0.47% — the whole majors complex moved under 1%.

Are you sitting out the FOMC decision — or already positioned? 👇

Not financial advice — educational purposes only.

$BTC $ETH $SOL

#Bitcoin #Ethereum #crypto #FOMC

#octoberfedhikeoddsfalltoaround17%
October Fed hike odds: 54% → 28% → 15% in three days. Here’s what the 17% headline hides. 🧭
Timeline (CME FedWatch):
📈 Wed: hot CPI lifts Oct hike odds from ~21% to ~54%
📉 Thu: Fed speakers signal no urgency → ~28%
📉 Fri: Warsh declines to signal the next move at the IMF → ~15%
⚠️ Two common mistakes:
It was NOT “cooling inflation”: CPI is 3.7%, PPI hit 6.3% YoY. The drop came from Fed communication. “Hold” ≠ “dovish pivot.” The Fed already hiked in September (3.75–4.00%) and the median official still projected one more hike in 2026, so December stays live.
Warsh also skips forward guidance, so silence gets priced as dovish. That’s how markets get complacent.
Crypto read: BTC steadied near $82K and the dollar softened, but the 10Y yield is still ~5.1%. I treat this as relief, not a reversal.
Watching: Oct 27–28 FOMC wording, next CPI, DXY, 10Y yield.
Do you trust the market’s ~84% hold? 👇
Not financial advice. DYOR.
$BTC
$ETH
$XAUT

#FederalReserve #FOMC #Bitcoin

🚨 BREAKING NEWS 🇺🇸 | FEDERAL RESERVE RATE DECISION

📅 October 28, 2026

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting is scheduled for October 27–28, 2026.

📊 Key Event: The Fed’s interest rate decision is scheduled to be announced on October 28 at 2:00 PM ET, followed by a press conference at approximately 2:30 PM ET.

🔥 Why It Matters for Crypto: 🔹 Interest rate decisions can trigger significant market volatility. 🔹 Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies may experience sharp price movements. 🔹 The Fed’s policy statement and Chair’s comments could influence market sentiment.

⚠️ TRADERS' ALERT: Stay alert, manage your risk, and avoid excessive leverage during major economic announcements.

📌 Remember: Market reactions can be unpredictable. Always verify the official schedule and trade responsibly.

#CryptoNews #FOMC #CryptoNews #CryptoNews #MarketUpdate

#OctoberFedHikeOddsFallToAround17%
WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR CRYPTO? 👀

🇺🇸 FED WATCH: October Rate Decision in Focus

Markets are reassessing the odds of another Fed rate hike — down to just 17% (from 42% in September)! But will a potential pause be enough to support crypto?

📊 KEY OCTOBER DATA
🔴 NFP — October 2
🔴 CPI — October 14
🔴 PPI — October 15
🏦 FOMC — October 27–28

⚠️ THE INFLATION REALITY CHECK

🇺🇸 September CPI: 3.7% YoY
📈 September PPI: +1.3% MoM (6.3% YoY headline)

Sticky inflation could complicate the Fed's next move.

₿ WHAT IT COULD MEAN FOR CRYPTO

✅ Fed pause = Support for risk assets
✅ Lower hike odds = Liquidity improving → BTC ETH SOL pump
⚠️ But persistent inflation = Volatility remains

Will the Fed pause, or will inflation change the outlook? Bullish or cautious? 👇

#OctoberFedHikeOddsFallToAround17% #FOMC #CPI #PPI

$BTC $SOL $BNB

#warshpushestoscalebackforwardguidanceanddotplot
Fed Chair Warsh wants a “quiet Fed,” and the market isn’t sure about it.
🔹 He has pared forward guidance from the Fed’s statement and convened a task force widely expected to recommend dropping the dot plot.
🔹 He skipped submitting his own dot in both June and September.
🔹 Fed officials have made 40+ public appearances since September’s hike, pushing back against his silence.
🔹 Waller warned that giving no signal could create volatility.
With CPI at 3.7% and an October hike seen as a coin toss, less guidance means bigger surprises on FOMC day (Oct 27-28). $BTC is already below $83K after the hot CPI print.
Should the Fed keep the dot plot? Yes or no? 👇
Not financial advice. $BTC $ETH $BNB
#Fed #bitcoin #fomc

🗳️ Fed on Oct 28: hike or hold? $BTC is waiting on it
🅰️ Hike 25 bp: bears eye today's $79,800 low again
🅱️ Hold: bulls get room to retest $84,352 (Oct 12 top)
📍 FedWatch: ~26-34% hike odds now, ~45-50% after Wed CPI
📍 BTC $82,076, 4H RSI 46, between its 20/50 EMA
💬 A or B? Vote below and tell us why 👇
#FederalReserve #FOMC #BTC

Fed hike odds nearly doubled in one day

Rate futures now price a 43.7% 📈 chance of a hike at the Oct 28 FOMC, up from 22.1% yesterday and 17.7% a week ago. Hold still leads at 56.3%, and an ease is priced at 0%.

The trigger was the 3.7% CPI print. One detail worth noticing: a month ago the hike probability sat at 43.5%, so this is a return to earlier levels, not a new extreme. Hold odds fell from 77.9% to 56.3% in 24 hours.

Scenario map: a hold keeps the current range structure intact. A hike tightens liquidity further and raises the odds of a volatility event. With the market this close to a coin flip, position sizing matters more than direction calls.

Verify first. Risk later. Scale slowly...

#FOMC #BTC #Macro

FOMC UPDATE | KEY DATES & MARKET IMPACT

📅 Oct 14: US CPI inflation data release
🏦 Oct 27–28: Next FOMC meeting; rate decision expected Oct 28.

📊 Market outlook:
🔺 Hot inflation → Hawkish Fed; potential pressure on $BTC & stocks.
🔻 Cooler inflation → Dovish expectations; potential boost for risk assets.
⚠️ Rates on hold are widely expected, but Fed guidance remains crucial.

₿ BTC & Altcoins: Expect volatility as markets react to inflation data and Fed signals.

#FOMC #Bitcoin #CryptoNews #BTC

🚨 FED WARNING: ANOTHER RATE HIKE AHEAD? BITCOIN AT A CRITICAL MOMENT! 📉
The Federal Reserve's latest FOMC minutes reveal a major divide among policymakers.
🇺🇸 The Fed raised interest rates by 25 basis points in September, bringing the target range to 3.75%–4.00%.
⚠️ Most officials see another rate hike as potentially appropriate before the end of 2026. However, markets currently expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged at its October 27–28 meeting.
🔥 WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR CRYPTO?
🟠 $BTC — Higher interest rates could put pressure on Bitcoin as investors reduce exposure to risk assets.
🔷 $ETH — Ethereum could face additional volatility if expectations of tighter monetary policy increase.
🟡 $BNB — Broader crypto market sentiment may influence BNB as traders reassess risk.
📅 KEY DATE: October 28, 2026 — Next Fed interest rate decision.
💬 Do you think the Fed will pause in October, or is another rate hike coming sooner than expected?
👇 Share your prediction!
#FOMC #FOMCMinutes #FedRateWatch #FederalReserve #CryptoNews

#FedMinutesFocusOnOctoberPause 📊

🚨 FED PAUSE IN OCTOBER — BUT IS BITCOIN BULLISH YET?

The latest FOMC minutes just added a new twist to the crypto market outlook. 👀

Here’s what matters:

🏦 1. The Fed already raised rates
At its September meeting, the Fed raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%.

📉 2. An October pause is possible
Markets have reduced their expectations for another immediate hike. But don’t confuse a possible pause with a dovish policy shift.

⚠️ 3. The bigger risk hasn’t disappeared
Most Fed officials indicated that another rate increase could be appropriate before the end of 2026. Persistent inflation remains a key concern.

₿ 4. What does this mean for Bitcoin?

• A dovish shift + falling Treasury yields could support $BTC
• A stronger dollar + rising yields could keep pressure on crypto.
• A pause alone doesn’t guarantee a rally — markets also react to what comes next.

🔍 My watchlist:
The Fed’s October 27–28 meeting, upcoming inflation data, Treasury yields, the US dollar, and BTC’s price action.

The real question isn’t just whether the Fed pauses. It’s whether financial conditions become easier afterward.

📊 Bullish reversal or another correction?

What do you think — will Bitcoin benefit from an October pause, or is the market underestimating the risk of another hike?

#BTC #crypto #FederalReserve #FOMC

#FedMinutesFocusOnOctoberPause

🚨 FED MINUTES: OCTOBER PAUSE IN FOCUS

The latest Fed minutes show policymakers remain divided on the path for interest rates, with inflation still above the 2% target.

Markets are now closely watching the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, where the Fed could pause after its September rate cut.

An October pause is NOT confirmed, but the minutes have put the decision firmly in focus.

December could still bring another rate move if inflation remains elevated.

#Fed #FOMC

$BTC
$ETH
$SOL