cryptomarketanalysis

Co-founder $ETH Vitalik Buterin expressed concern about the current state of prediction markets. The growing reliance on uninformed speculators threatens the viability of the sector, he believes.

«Prediction markets seem to be increasingly descending into an unhealthy model: they are focusing on short-term bets on cryptocurrency prices, sports betting, and other things that provide only momentary dopamine, but offer neither long-term value nor benefit to society,» wrote the programmer.

The former communications director of the White House reminded that after Trump's inauguration, the token $TRUMP experienced rapid growth, and its market capitalization reached $29 billion in two weeks. According to Scaramucci, it was the 'Trump coins' that drained billions of dollars from the altcoin market, triggering an premature bearish trend and a sharp collapse $BTC in October 2025.

The strategy will maintain financial stability even during a price drop $BTC to $8000. This was reported by the company's founder, Michael Saylor, announcing a plan to convert $6 billion in debt into equity.

The firm's balance sheet holds 714,644 BTC, with reserves estimated at $49 billion. With a convertible debt size of about $6 billion, the value of assets will only equal the amount of debt if the price of the first cryptocurrency falls by 88%.

The DeFi sector will receive a significant boost from the tokenization of renewable resources such as solar energy. This opinion was shared by Aave founder Stani Kulechov.
At the time of writing, the RWA market is estimated to be approximately $25 billion. It is dominated by U.S. Treasury bonds, real estate, and private loans. Kulechov described these assets as rare and predicted further growth in the segment.

The price $BTC started the week with a decline, dropping from $70 thousand on Sunday to $68 thousand by Monday morning. The prolonged fall of the leading cryptocurrency has now continued for five consecutive months.
The current February (-13%) is the fifth consecutive 'red' month for Bitcoin, according to Coinglass. In the entire history of observations (since 2013), such a prolonged decline was recorded only during the 'crypto winter' of 2018.

aSOPR reflects whether bitcoins are being sold on average at a profit or a loss. A value below 1 indicates that market participants are realizing losses. The current decline mirrors the situation of 2019 and 2023, when a deep correction occurred, accompanied by mass coin selling. Currently, 42.85% of the total bitcoin supply is in the loss zone, experts calculated.

As an analytical benchmark, the realized price $BTC is used— a price level that historically served as a support zone in past bear cycles. Currently, Bitcoin is trading about 25% above this level. For comparison: after the collapse of the FTX cryptocurrency exchange, the price dropped 24% below the realized price, and in the 2018 cycle— by 30% below. After reaching such levels, Bitcoin typically spent four to six months forming a base for growth.

Large institutional investors may lose patience with developers $BTC due to delays in addressing the quantum computing issue. This was stated by Castle Island Ventures partner Nick Carter during the Bits and Bips podcast.
"I think developers will continue to do nothing. [...] Likely, institutions will get tired of this, fire the team, and hire a new one," he added.

$ETH attempts to stabilize after several weeks of intense selling. The price is held around $1,950, which is 6% above recent local lows.
At the same time, the largest addresses began aggressive accumulation of the asset, while short-term traders and derivatives market participants remain cautious.

On February 13, the Ethereum Foundation announced the appointment of Bastian Aue as interim co-executive director. The organization positions this personnel move as a strategic pivot. The main goal becomes ensuring the institutional longevity of the protocol and a return to the values of 'cryptopunk'.

The American company Newmarket Capital, specializing in structured financing, is pushing the boundaries of traditional finance through the integration of cryptocurrencies. The organization, managing assets of nearly $3 billion, is implementing hybrid models of mortgage and commercial lending. Within these structures, bitcoin is used as collateral alongside real estate properties.

In recent days, the rate $XRP has shown negative dynamics, raising concerns among market participants about a repeat of the 2021–2022 scenario.
However, the current situation differs from previous downturns. The appointment of the Ripple leader to an important position in the regulatory body may change market sentiment.

$BNB
In the fast-moving world of cryptocurrency, understanding support and resistance is one of the most powerful skills a trader can develop. Whether you're trading Bitcoin, Ethereum, or BNB, these levels help you identify high-probability entry points, stop-loss placements, and profit targets.
Let’s break it down in a practical and trader-focused way.
What is Support?
Support is a price level where buying pressure becomes strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
At this level:
Buyers step in.
Demand increases.
Price often “bounces” upward.
Think of support as a floor under the market.
Example:
If Bitcoin drops to $60,000 multiple times and bounces back each time, that price becomes a strong support level. Traders see this and place buy orders around that zone.
What is Resistance?
Resistance is a price level where selling pressure becomes strong enough to stop the price from rising further.
At this level:
Sellers dominate.
Supply increases.
Price often gets rejected downward.
Think of resistance as a ceiling above the market.
Example:
If Ethereum repeatedly fails to break above $3,500, that level becomes resistance. Traders may take profits or open short positions there.
Why Support and Resistance Work
Markets move based on human psychology:
Fear and greed
Past reactions to price
Large order clusters
Institutional positioning
When price reaches a previous reaction zone, traders remember what happened before — and act similarly again.
That repetition creates support and resistance zones.
Types of Support & Resistance
1. Horizontal Levels
The most common type. Drawn at previous highs and lows.
2. Trendline Support & Resistance
In an uptrend, the trendline acts as dynamic support. In a downtrend, it acts as dynamic resistance.
3. Moving Averages
Popular indicators like the 50 EMA or 200 EMA often act as dynamic levels.
4. Psychological Levels
Round numbers (e.g., $50,000 for Bitcoin) often become strong reaction points.
Role Reversal: A Powerful Concept
One of the most important rules:
Old resistance becomes new support.
Old support becomes new resistance.
If Bitcoin breaks above $60,000 resistance with strong volume, that level may later act as support during a pullback.
This is called breakout and retest — a favorite setup among professional traders.
How to Trade Using Support and Resistance
1️⃣ Buy Near Support
Enter close to support.
Place stop-loss slightly below it.
Target the next resistance.
2️⃣ Sell Near Resistance
Enter short near resistance (if market conditions allow).
Stop-loss slightly above.
Target next support.
3️⃣ Trade the Breakout
Wait for strong volume confirmation.
Avoid fake breakouts.
Look for retest before entering.
Common Mistakes Traders Make
❌ Treating levels as exact prices (they are zones, not single lines).
❌ Ignoring volume confirmation.
❌ Entering late after a breakout without risk management.
❌ Overtrading weak levels.
Final Thoughts
Support and resistance are not just lines on a chart — they represent market memory and trader psychology.
Mastering them can:
Improve entry timing
Reduce risk
Increase win rate
Strengthen trading discipline
Note:
No indicator is stronger than understanding where the market reacts repeatedly.
#CryptoMarketAnalysis #USTechFundFlows #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #CPIWatch

In his opinion, a surge in volatility $BTC is possible in the near future due to the tense situation in the global economy.
"The U.S. Federal Reserve will continue to expand the money supply to combat inflation, and as the dollar further depreciates, Bitcoin will become more valuable than ever." — suggested Pompliano.

#Solana treasury companies are currently in over $1.5 billion in losses
Public companies holding Solana as treasury assets are facing over $1.5 billion in unrealized losses compared to the current market price. This loss is mostly concentrated in a few US-listed companies that collectively hold more than 12 million SOL tokens.

According to Zhao, cryptocurrencies are much less widespread than commonly believed: their share of global wealth is less than 1%. This indicates significant growth potential for the entire industry over the next few years.
He noted that the current bear cycle is different from previous downturn phases: the market has become more mature, and institutional presence is more noticeable. Another factor for long-term stability that Zhao mentioned is the more constructive approach of the US to regulating digital assets.

According to Saylor, this should be perceived not as a bug, but as a fundamental property of the asset. The ability to trade the first cryptocurrency around the clock only amplifies the amplitude of quotes in the market.
"Investing in bitcoin should be done with a horizon of 4-10 years. Currently, more than six billion people do not have access to American real estate as a protective asset. For them, bitcoin is a way to store value in the most protected jurisdiction," emphasized the crypto enthusiast.

The turnaround in the meme token segment may happen sooner than traders expect. This conclusion was reached by Santiment.
Analysts noted that the narrative of 'nostalgia' is gaining popularity in social media regarding 'funny coins'. Many users believe the sector is completely dead.

PIPPIN - FOCUS OF THE ALTCOIN MARKET

This week, the explosive growth rate of 203% was recorded in just 7 days – a figure enough to make speculators feel restless. At the time of writing, this meme coin has surpassed the important resistance level of $0.6 and is trading around $0.642. The strong bullish momentum has ignited market excitement, as traders continuously hunt for signals for the next breakout.