Strategy faces risk of MSCI exclusion! Up to $2.8 billion in selling pressure—will BTC be affected?
Today, one of the market’s main focuses is Strategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin.
MSCI recently approved new index inclusion rules that scrutinize companies whose investment assets make up a large share of their holdings and whose actual business operations account for a relatively small share. Companies like Strategy, whose core asset is Bitcoin, therefore face the risk of being excluded.
Why does this matter?
Because many passive index funds allocate stocks based on MSCI indexes. If Strategy is officially excluded, funds tracking the relevant indexes may be forced to sell MSTR shares.
JPMorgan previously estimated that Strategy’s exclusion could trigger up to approximately $2.8 billion in stock sales. But note that this figure is an estimate of potential selling pressure, not an outflow that has already occurred.
More importantly, the shares being sold would be Strategy stock, not Bitcoin itself. Exclusion from an index does not mean the company has to sell its BTC.
However, what is truly worth worrying about is the company’s future ability to raise funds. Strategy has long raised capital by issuing shares, preferred stock, and debt, then used the proceeds to buy Bitcoin. If demand for its stock weakens, it may become more difficult to raise funds for future Bitcoin purchases.
For now, the market is waiting for MSCI to announce the final list of affected companies on November 11. If the changes are confirmed, they are expected to take effect after the market closes on November 30.
This situation highlights a new question: when companies make Bitcoin their core asset, will traditional financial indexes still be willing to treat them like ordinary publicly traded companies?
Do you think that if Strategy is excluded from MSCI, it will only put short-term pressure on its share price, or could it affect the entire corporate Bitcoin accumulation model?
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