回马枪

No one knows how much I made today—20 million

The person who owns this meme went bankrupt after the engraving business; 300 million RMB went to zero.

Earlier iconic moment: “This morning I went out to run some errands. I left a little early, so when I arrived at the place, I found it wasn’t open for business yet.

Right next door there was a small barbershop. I thought, since there was still time, I’d just get my hair trimmed quickly. So I went in, lined up, got my hair washed, had a haircut, chatted with the barber, then paid by scan after it was done. The sun outside was shining perfectly.

No one knows how much I made today—20 million”

I saw a post: a young person studying finance took his 400,000 yuan principal and grew it to over 7 million, only to lose it all back again this year—down more than 2 million. He wrote six takeaways, and I read them twice. Every one of them was bought with real money.

He said his bachelor’s and master’s were both in finance—undergrad from Australia, master’s in the top 30. His starting point wasn’t low, but once he entered the stock market, he still got beaten.
In 2024, he used the 400,000 yuan his family bought him a car with as his trading capital. He tested with a few tens of thousands here and there—adding when he profited, pulling back when he lost. Later he got onto leverage, and with good luck he reached more than 7 million—yet this year he lost more than 2 million again.

No matter who it happens to, they’d need some time to recover from an experience like that.
He listed several points. I picked the one that resonated most with me to talk about:

First takeaway: Never use leverage. You’ve probably heard this a hundred times, but it still doesn’t work—because people still do it. Why? Because when you’re making money, you feel, “This time is different.” Then what happens when the market drops? Your mindset breaks first. Once your mindset breaks, all your decisions become wrong. “Poor management today is permanent forever”—only those who’ve lost money really take this seriously.

Second takeaway: Control your position size and leave room to maneuver. He said averaging down isn’t about adding just because the price drops a couple of percentage points. Instead, you set stages: if it drops 10% or 15%, you add a certain amount. Many people die by the logic of: “It dropped, so I averaged down; I averaged down, so now I’m full; I’m full, so I got trapped.” Only by averaging in batches, with defined spacing and a plan, can you last long.

Third takeaway: When prices rise, learn to reduce positions—especially after a blow-off volume spike. This line is worth a lot of money. The biggest problem for retail investors is that when it goes up they can’t bear to sell, and when it falls they can’t bear to cut. A blow-off volume surge is often the emotional peak. Reducing exposure at emotional peaks will never be too far from being right.

Fourth takeaway: Drawdown is the biggest enemy. He turned 7 million into a loss of 2 million—drawdown of nearly 30%. The psychological gap from 7 million to 5 million is even larger than from 400,000 to 7 million. Losing back the money you made is more miserable than never having made it at all.

Fifth takeaway: You can do only one stock. If you consistently trade just one stock—doing swing trades and doing T—this sounds simple, but the threshold is actually very high. You have to know that company well enough, be familiar with its price fluctuations, and be confident enough in its value. Not many can do it.

Sixth takeaway: Learn to hold cash. He said holding cash is the biggest form of loss control. I truly believe that. Many people lose money not because they made a wrong call, but because there was clearly no opportunity—and they still forced themselves to find one. Holding cash isn’t being timid; it’s waiting. Wait for a market crash, wait for panic, wait until others can’t hold on—then you enter.

For most of the past two months, the funding rate has remained negative. The longs were already excessively crowded before this rally, and they still are. This rally is largely due to short covering.

#HEI

Long risk is limited; short risk is unlimited
Cherish life—stay away from shorting

Bullish or Bearish?

The real risks in the crypto market may not be just the cycle.
If Trump loses the midterm elections, or if the Democrats regain power, it could mean a major shift in the direction of crypto regulation.
The policy window of the past two years may close again.
So this round of the market isn’t just a bull run for the crypto industry—it’s also a window to buy time.
If the window disappears, what the industry may face won’t be just a bear market, but a global regulatory crackdown.

I want to make a family rule: for any of my descendants, if they ever engage in short selling, break their legs.

Seeing the artist and Hat Sister both predicting BTC to hit 30k
It's necessary to sort this out; if BTC really hits 30k, what should we do?
What assets should we buy to potentially outperform the market?

Gotta do some solid research to survive this bear market.

$WLD is on fire, up 1B in just 1 hour, from 4.7B to 5.7B
Who’s the whale buying in?

Who's out there leading the charge, standing tall and clear?

$three just hit a new high at 11M
The market is rallying, and projects with real substance stand out, especially during this narrative vacuum.

Shorting BTC is a gamble right now; with this market, I can't see any bullish signals at all.

Micro Strategy: Guys, I can't hold on any longer, I'm starting to get ready to pull out.

The myth of never selling coins has been shattered; Strategy has sold BTC for the first time!

Last week, they sold 32 coins at an average price of $77,135. While that's just a drop in the bucket of their 840k+ holdings, it’s a significant move. After all, if the biggest bulls can't hold, believers might get disappointed and choose to exit, adding uncertainty to the market.

Moreover, once the first shot is fired, it can trigger a broken window effect, and other institutions might follow suit. Just wait and see.

Short the hell out of it!
$btc #BTC

Is this really gonna pump?

I've been doing some deeper thinking about the Meme scene on the BSC chain these past few days.

In the beginning, BSC had no problem riding the Meme wave as a nascent chain, mainly just riding the coattails of the founding teams. That was fine; looking back at SOL's history, it started out similarly. SOL evolved naturally over time, of course, with some operational fingerprints along the way, but overall it was a market-driven evolution.

The issue with BSC is that the introduction of new tokens has forked the natural evolution path. Everyone wants to launch a coin, and everyone’s waiting for their turn, but the slots for new tokens are limited—who gets listed?

Here’s my conclusion, or rather my guess, which might not be right:

I suspect that Binance's listing team and the operations team are separate. This leads to a situation where those who handle listings don’t care much about operations, and those who manage operations don’t have the authority to list coins.

The listing team only looks at data—market cap, token distribution, that sort of thing. They don’t pay much attention to the narrative or the relative weight of the token, so they don’t really consider whether listing a particular coin could negatively impact the overall ecosystem of the chain.

On the other hand, those in operations do care. Maybe they want to list more tokens with different narratives, but they don’t have a say in listings.

It's frustrating for everyone involved. Fun and interesting tokens can’t meet the listing criteria, and not getting listed just leads to stagnation, with the ceiling getting lower and lower—it's a vicious cycle.

Looking back, if the listing team hadn’t pushed so many Binance concept tokens and had swapped in a couple of narrative-driven tokens—like one or two from the Musk concept—then the narrative around asteroids wouldn’t have played out this way. BSC definitely wouldn’t have been without a stable 1M ASTEROID token.

What’s AEON.XYZ that Binance just dropped 8M on?

LOL, Nina posted about YZi Labs investing in AEON.XYZ, and a ton of people thought it was that self-sovereign AI framework aeon, which shot from 11M to 14M.

Out of curiosity, I checked what AEON.XYZ is all about.

It’s another real-world settlement layer, but this one focuses on the AI agent economy.

So-called real-world settlement layers are all about making crypto spendable in everyday life, but the merchants receiving payments get fiat, so they don't feel the presence of crypto at all.

For example, if you use AEON to scan and pay for your meal with USDT from your Binance wallet, AEON converts your USDT to local fiat behind the scenes and instantly transfers it to the merchant’s bank account. The merchant has no idea you paid with U.

AEON focuses on AI agent settlement, supporting x402 and ERC-8004, enabling no approval, instant payments, and immediate service. For instance, if you want AI to order a bubble tea, book a flight, or need data for AI to write a paper, you just pay $0.05 for another crawlers' AI to grab web pages, and so on.

While AI agent settlements are their main narrative, AEON's big revenue still comes from real human payments, which are already mature and primarily happening in brick-and-mortar stores in Southeast Asia, Latin America, and Africa.

AEON Pay has processed 994,000 transactions, with a total amount exceeding $29 million.
Supporting over 50 million merchants.

Payments between AIs are still in early days, growing fast but making up a much smaller share, since AI payments mainly involve microtransactions of a few cents to a few dollars, like API calls, data exchanges, and agent collaborations, with extremely low fees, still in the scaling phase.

AEON is currently like a crypto version of Alipay, mainly earning revenue from real people scanning and paying, while AI payments are the growth point for the future, still in the nurturing stage. Once AI agents scale up, the A2A part will become the major revenue stream.

This 8M investment from YZi Labs is considered quite substantial and solid for this sector, indicating that YZi Labs is optimistic about AEON's AI real-world settlement narrative, providing the project with ample ammo for the next phase.

Binance Wallet has already integrated AEON; just hit Discover in the app and search for AEON Pay, connect your wallet, and you’re good to go. If you're in Southeast Asia or Latin America, you can give it a try and feel it out.

Sometimes you think there's some grand strategy or calculation behind a big event, but in the end, you realize it's the simplest thing; they really didn't think that much.

According to Forbes, it's hard to believe that our boy Huang Renxun doesn't have his own private jet. The only reason he wasn't on the list before was simply that he didn't call in to make the request...

The world is just this chaotic.

Is NFT dead? BAYC says not so fast

In the overlooked corners, the bored apes have climbed from a 5E floor to 10E in just two months, with over 6000E in trading volume in the last 30 days.

Bitcoin is bouncing around, and it feels like capital is pulling out of high leverage positions to seek relatively safe NFT plays.

However, considering the recent $Slop and $Upeg, this could also be a warm-up before a new narrative kicks off.

Gotta keep an eye out, right?