Delivered another day of food delivery today. I just got my phone blown up by debt collection calls. I’m chewing on a cold steamed bun while refreshing the order book. Look at this Bitcoin—there’s no earth-shattering headline in the on-chain data this round, but the moves of the “giant whales” can’t be faked. Someone is quietly reshuffling the air positions: 912 BTC, 10,000 ETH, a nominal value of $70 million. With this size, it’s obviously not a game retail investors can play. These big funds have a nose sharper than dogs.
Staring at this one-hour chart, the technical structure has been repaired pretty solidly. The EMA moving averages are propped up steadily, and that MACD golden cross is like a beautiful woman’s beckoning finger in a nightclub—it makes you itchy to get in. But don’t forget how I got wiped out in institutions back then: I was buried in a seemingly perfect long trap. The liquidation map has already put the answer on the table—below 60,000, the ground is stacked with the corpses of longs; above, in the 61,000 to 63,000 range, high-leverage short positions are like fat meat hanging there, waiting to be sent tumbling down by a waterfall.
So the logic here is crude: right now around 62,600, I won’t stupidly chase longs. Liquidity is clearly aiming to run up and eat the shorts’ stop losses, but I also absolutely need to watch for a deep wick. If it pulls back down, the 60,800 to 61,200 zone is strong support. I’ll set up a whole wall of orders there as my line of defense, with the stop loss at 60,400. If it breaks below that, it means I completely misread it. For take profit, I’ll first look at 63,500; if it pushes through, then 64,500.
If that dog-like market maker decides to play dirty—first pumping to lure longs—I’ll flip at around 63,500 with a small short position. I’ll place a stop loss 300 points above. If I get stopped out, I’ll accept it and continue delivering my food to save up the principal for a bigger all-in.
Make money, stay alive—only then do you get a chance to “collect back.”
$BTC
#6月非农5.7万加息概率降至50%
Staring at this one-hour chart, the technical structure has been repaired pretty solidly. The EMA moving averages are propped up steadily, and that MACD golden cross is like a beautiful woman’s beckoning finger in a nightclub—it makes you itchy to get in. But don’t forget how I got wiped out in institutions back then: I was buried in a seemingly perfect long trap. The liquidation map has already put the answer on the table—below 60,000, the ground is stacked with the corpses of longs; above, in the 61,000 to 63,000 range, high-leverage short positions are like fat meat hanging there, waiting to be sent tumbling down by a waterfall.
So the logic here is crude: right now around 62,600, I won’t stupidly chase longs. Liquidity is clearly aiming to run up and eat the shorts’ stop losses, but I also absolutely need to watch for a deep wick. If it pulls back down, the 60,800 to 61,200 zone is strong support. I’ll set up a whole wall of orders there as my line of defense, with the stop loss at 60,400. If it breaks below that, it means I completely misread it. For take profit, I’ll first look at 63,500; if it pushes through, then 64,500.
If that dog-like market maker decides to play dirty—first pumping to lure longs—I’ll flip at around 63,500 with a small short position. I’ll place a stop loss 300 points above. If I get stopped out, I’ll accept it and continue delivering my food to save up the principal for a bigger all-in.
Make money, stay alive—only then do you get a chance to “collect back.”
$BTC
#6月非农5.7万加息概率降至50%