Quantum Computing VS Bitcoin: Three Truths You Need to Know

The Threat is Real but Still Distant
Quantum computing theoretically can crack Bitcoin's elliptic curve encryption (ECDSA), but there is a huge gap in existing technology — thousands of high-quality quantum bits are needed, whereas currently the top chips have only a few hundred bits. Experts estimate that the actual threat will take at least 10 years.

Bitcoin is not sitting idle
The community has proactively laid out anti-quantum algorithms. For example:
BTQ Company will launch a Bitcoin protocol based on post-quantum cryptography standards from NIST in 2025, replacing ECDSA with a quantum-resistant module lattice signature (ML-DSA).

Improvement proposals (BIP) have been discussed to upgrade the encryption scheme through soft forks.

Game Theory Drives Technological Progress
Quantum computing and blockchain are in a “spear and shield” relationship. Cryptography experts are developing new algorithms such as lattice-based and multivariable cryptography, which may strengthen defenses through collaborative mechanisms in the future.

Conclusion: There is no need for panic in the short term. In the long term, blockchain technology is expected to co-evolve with quantum computing. The real risk lies in stagnation — and the Bitcoin ecosystem has already begun to take action.
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