strategy

Fvg formed on $SUI 4 hours timeframe around $1.03 - $1.02 which acted as resistance. Confirming bearish control, as proce previously rejected sharply. Also forming a double top.

Trade target plan was when price again retested the same FVG and formed a similar reaction on 1 hour time frame. With liquidity sweep.

On $SUI 15 min time frame entry was executed by a doji candle followed by a red inverted hammer bearish reversal.

Outcome: price respected the FVG as resistance, validating the analysis leading to a profitable downside move. #FVG combined with multi-timeframe (4hr + 15min) can predict high probability trades.
Tp1: 0.9575
Tp2: 0.9270
Tp3: 0.8825
#SUİ #analysis #strategy

MicroStrategy claims it can cover its $6 billion debt even if Bitcoin drops 90% to $8,000, where its Bitcoin holdings roughly match liabilities. Below that level, financial stress escalates due to loan covenants, potential forced sales, and insolvency risks.
Debt Coverage at $8,000 BTC
At $8,000 per Bitcoin, MicroStrategy's assets (around $49.3 billion in BTC reserves at current prices) equal its net debt, leaving equity at zero but allowing debt service without liquidation. Staggered convertible note maturities through 2032 provide time for restructuring or refinancing. CEO Phong Le noted this scenario would unfold gradually, enabling options like new equity issuance.
Risks Below $8,000
Drops to $7,000 breach loan-to-value covenants on BTC-collateralized loans, potentially requiring extra collateral or repayments, with LTV exceeding 140%. Cash reserves (about $2.25 billion) and $500 million annual software revenue may not suffice amid illiquid markets, risking forced Bitcoin sales that could worsen price declines. Survival hinges on decline speed, debt structure, and liquidity access.
Insolvency Thresholds
At $6,000 $BTC , assets fall below debt, raising restructuring likelihood via debt-for-equity swaps or maturity extensions; equity holders face wipeout risks. Below $5,000, secured lenders could trigger liquidations, impairing unsecured debt and causing market ripples for ETFs and traders. As a top BTC holder (over 700,000 coins), such events could amplify crypto volatility. #strategy

Bitcoin is shaking the market again. Price is trading around the high 60K area and the structure is getting tighter. The chart is showing compression between support and resistance and volatility is slowly building. When Bitcoin compresses like this it usually does not stay quiet for long.

On the chart you can see price reacting near an ascending trendline while facing rejection around the 72K to 79K resistance zone. That upper green area is heavy supply. Many traders who bought higher are waiting to exit there. If Bitcoin can break above 72K with strong volume, the path toward 79K opens again. But if the lower trendline breaks cleanly, we may see a fast flush toward the 60K area and possibly the 55K to 52K zone.
Right now the market is nervous. Retail traders are reacting emotionally. Every small drop feels like the start of a crash. Fear spreads faster than logic. Funding rates are cooling. Open interest has started to reduce. This tells us leverage is getting flushed out slowly.

Now look at the bigger picture. Michael Saylor and Strategy just reminded the market that even an extreme drop would not force them into panic. Their balance sheet shows they can survive a deep drawdown scenario. That changes psychology. It means forced liquidation risk from major holders is lower than many people think.

This matters because during past crashes, fear came from leverage and forced selling. If large institutional holders are structurally prepared, downside volatility becomes more about short term traders than structural collapse.
Another factor is macro pressure. Rate cut expectations keep shifting. US debt refinancing in 2026 is massive. If rates start falling later this year liquidity conditions will change quickly. When borrowing becomes cheaper risk assets like Bitcoin historically benefit. But markets move ahead of news not after.
So what are the scenarios now?
If price holds above 66K and reclaims 72K with strength, short sellers will get trapped. That could squeeze price rapidly back toward 79K and possibly higher. If support around 65K fails with strong volume, then watch 60K very carefully. Below 60K the 55K to 52K zone becomes a magnet. That area is heavy demand from previous structure.
Emotionally this is the difficult phase. Not extreme fear. Not euphoria. Just frustration. Sideways movement that drains confidence. This is usually where weaker hands exit before a larger move.
The key thing to remember is structure. Bitcoin is still trading above long term cycle support. Weekly market structure has not fully broken. Short term weakness does not automatically mean long term collapse.
Liquidity hunts stops. Retail panic creates opportunity. Big money waits for clarity then moves aggressively.
Right now the market is deciding direction. Compression is building. The next breakout will likely be violent.
Are we seeing distribution before a breakdown
Or accumulation before expansion
This is where patience becomes more valuable than prediction.

$BTC

#strategy #Michlesaylor #PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine #TradeCryptosOnX #CPIWatch

Michael Saylor has once again sparked speculation of another Bitcoin acquisition after posting “99 > 98” on social media, a message widely interpreted as a signal that his company may be preparing its next buy.

Key Takeaways:
The company’s average purchase price is approximately $76,056 per BTC.Saylor’s post suggests a potential additional acquisition.Strategy remains the largest public corporate Bitcoin holder.
The hint comes as Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings stand at 714,644 BTC, valued at approximately $50.28 billion. With Bitcoin currently trading around $69,664, the company remains one of the largest corporate holders globally.

Massive Treasury Position
Strategy’s Bitcoin reserve has grown steadily through aggressive accumulation cycles. According to recent data, the company’s holdings total 714,644 BTC across 98 purchase events.
The firm’s average acquisition price of roughly $76,056 places its aggregate position slightly underwater at current market levels. However, Strategy has historically used price drawdowns as opportunities to expand its balance sheet exposure.
The firm’s Bitcoin holdings are currently valued near $50.28 billion, reflecting both the scale and concentration of its treasury strategy.
Reading the “99 > 98” Signal
Saylor has developed a pattern of signaling impending purchases with cryptic posts ahead of official announcements. The “99 > 98” message has been interpreted as a possible reference to a forthcoming 99th purchase event.
Previous signals have often preceded formal filings disclosing additional Bitcoin acquisitions funded through convertible notes, equity offerings or cash reserves.
If another purchase is confirmed, it would reinforce Strategy’s long-standing conviction that Bitcoin remains a superior treasury reserve asset.
Market Context
Bitcoin is trading at approximately $69,664, positioning it below Strategy’s reported average cost basis.
Historically, Saylor has demonstrated willingness to accumulate both during rallies and periods of weakness. The company’s dual approach - capital markets fundraising combined with open-market BTC purchases - has made it a dominant corporate force within the ecosystem.
Investors will now monitor regulatory filings and corporate disclosures for confirmation of any new acquisition.
If Strategy does execute another purchase, it would further tighten available liquid supply and reinforce its position as the largest publicly traded corporate Bitcoin holder in the world.
#strategy #bitcoin