#btcanalysis Απόψεις κοινότητας και κλίμα της αγοράς

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🚨 Bitcoin Is Following the 2017 & 2021 Cycle Again — Are You Ready?Many people think every cycle is different. But when you study time + price together, you realize one thing: History doesn’t repeat exactly… but it rhymes. Right now, $BTC is showing similarities to the 2017 and 2021 cycles. And if that structure continues, we could still see serious downside before the true bottom forms. Some are calling for $35,000 in the short term. Is that possible? Yes. Am I emotionally reacting to it? No. Because I don’t trade based on fear. I trade based on a framework. My Strategy: TIME + PRICE Most traders only watch price. That’s why they miss the best opportunities. I track Bitcoin on two axes: TIME PRICE When you combine both, the market becomes much clearer. ⏳ The TIME Axis Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving: 2012 cycle → 406 days 2016 cycle → 363 days 2020 cycle → 376 days 2024 cycle → Still developing Notice something? The timing is very similar every cycle. If this pattern continues, the highest probability window for the next major cycle bottom is: 👉 October – November 2026 That is my TIME target. When that window hits, I will be buying — regardless of what the price looks like. Why? Because timing prevents you from getting front-run. Price alone can trap you. Time gives structure. 💰 The PRICE Axis I started accumulating once we entered the $60,000 zone. Even though the time window hasn’t arrived yet. Why? Because waiting for the “perfect” level is how most retail traders miss the entire move. Retail mentality: “I’ll buy only if it hits X.” Reality: If price never hits X, you stay sidelined forever. My approach is simple: If price offers value → I start buying. If historical time window arrives → I buy no matter what. What About a Lower Low? Yes, the risk of a deeper correction is still real. That’s why TIME matters so much. Back in October, when BTC was around $114,000, I clearly said I would be a strong buyer in the $60,000 range. People laughed. They said Bitcoin would never revisit $60K. I don’t argue with noise. I stick to structure. Now we’ve reached that zone. But I’m still prepared for a potential move into the $45K–$50K region by late 2026. That’s my ultimate heavy accumulation area. 🔵 The On-Chain Confirmation: NUPL One more thing I monitor closely: NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) Historically, it signaled major bottoms: 2018 bear market COVID crash 2022 capitulation Right now? We are not in the deep capitulation zone yet. That tells me the real cycle low might still be ahead. My Execution Plan 1️⃣ TIME Axis: October–November 2026 → Strong BUY regardless of price. 2️⃣ PRICE Axis: Below $60,000 → Strong BUY regardless of timing. If either condition is met, I execute consistent daily buys. No emotions. No panic. No chasing headlines. The market feels messy right now. But every cycle has this phase — confusion before clarity. I’ve spent a decade studying macro cycles, and structure always beats emotion. The real opportunity comes when others are scared. Stay prepared. Stay disciplined. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(ETHUSDT) #BTC#bitcoin #Crypto#CryptoMarket #BTCanalysis #BitcoinCycle #CryptoInvesting

🚨 Bitcoin Is Following the 2017 & 2021 Cycle Again — Are You Ready?

Many people think every cycle is different.
But when you study time + price together, you realize one thing:
History doesn’t repeat exactly… but it rhymes.
Right now, $BTC is showing similarities to the 2017 and 2021 cycles. And if that structure continues, we could still see serious downside before the true bottom forms.
Some are calling for $35,000 in the short term.
Is that possible? Yes.
Am I emotionally reacting to it? No.
Because I don’t trade based on fear.
I trade based on a framework.
My Strategy: TIME + PRICE
Most traders only watch price.
That’s why they miss the best opportunities.
I track Bitcoin on two axes:
TIME
PRICE
When you combine both, the market becomes much clearer.
⏳ The TIME Axis
Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving:
2012 cycle → 406 days
2016 cycle → 363 days
2020 cycle → 376 days
2024 cycle → Still developing
Notice something?
The timing is very similar every cycle.
If this pattern continues, the highest probability window for the next major cycle bottom is:
👉 October – November 2026
That is my TIME target.
When that window hits, I will be buying — regardless of what the price looks like.
Why?
Because timing prevents you from getting front-run.
Price alone can trap you. Time gives structure.
💰 The PRICE Axis
I started accumulating once we entered the $60,000 zone.
Even though the time window hasn’t arrived yet.
Why?
Because waiting for the “perfect” level is how most retail traders miss the entire move.
Retail mentality: “I’ll buy only if it hits X.”
Reality: If price never hits X, you stay sidelined forever.
My approach is simple:
If price offers value → I start buying.
If historical time window arrives → I buy no matter what.
What About a Lower Low?
Yes, the risk of a deeper correction is still real.
That’s why TIME matters so much.
Back in October, when BTC was around $114,000, I clearly said I would be a strong buyer in the $60,000 range.
People laughed.
They said Bitcoin would never revisit $60K.
I don’t argue with noise.
I stick to structure.
Now we’ve reached that zone.
But I’m still prepared for a potential move into the $45K–$50K region by late 2026. That’s my ultimate heavy accumulation area.
🔵 The On-Chain Confirmation: NUPL
One more thing I monitor closely:
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)
Historically, it signaled major bottoms:
2018 bear market
COVID crash
2022 capitulation
Right now?
We are not in the deep capitulation zone yet.
That tells me the real cycle low might still be ahead.
My Execution Plan
1️⃣ TIME Axis:
October–November 2026 → Strong BUY regardless of price.
2️⃣ PRICE Axis:
Below $60,000 → Strong BUY regardless of timing.
If either condition is met, I execute consistent daily buys.
No emotions.
No panic.
No chasing headlines.
The market feels messy right now.
But every cycle has this phase — confusion before clarity.
I’ve spent a decade studying macro cycles, and structure always beats emotion.
The real opportunity comes when others are scared.
Stay prepared. Stay disciplined.
$BTC

#BTC#bitcoin #Crypto#CryptoMarket #BTCanalysis #BitcoinCycle #CryptoInvesting

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