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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
𝐓𝐎𝐏 𝐓𝐄𝐍 𝐂𝐑𝐘𝐏𝐓𝐎 𝐇𝐄𝐀𝐃𝐋𝐈𝐍𝐄𝐒
➠ Bitmine is now ~71% complete with its goal to own 5% of the $ETH supply.
➠ Circle and Tether own 84.8% of the stablecoin market.
➠ Illinois proposes a budget-neutral Community Bitcoin Reserve, starting with Altgeld and secured in multisig cold storage.
➠ ETH ETFs bled $170M+ in weekly outflows. SOL ETFs held up better, but still lost $9M+.
➠ White House stablecoin talks are back Tuesday and the banks just joined the room, per Eleanor Terrett.
➠ 21Shares files for an ONDO ETF.
➠ Bitcoin mining difficulty just saw the biggest negative adjustment since China’s 2021 mining ban.
➠ Vietnam plans a 0.1% tax on crypto trades, treating digital assets like stocks.
➠ CFTC expands stablecoin rules to let national trust banks issue dollar-pegged tokens under the GENIUS Act framework.
➠ Despite starting and ending the week well, the $BTC ETFs still saw a weekly net outflow over $358M.
#TrendingTopic #MarketSentimentToday #Market_Update #btc
➠ Bitmine is now ~71% complete with its goal to own 5% of the $ETH supply.
➠ Circle and Tether own 84.8% of the stablecoin market.
➠ Illinois proposes a budget-neutral Community Bitcoin Reserve, starting with Altgeld and secured in multisig cold storage.
➠ ETH ETFs bled $170M+ in weekly outflows. SOL ETFs held up better, but still lost $9M+.
➠ White House stablecoin talks are back Tuesday and the banks just joined the room, per Eleanor Terrett.
➠ 21Shares files for an ONDO ETF.
➠ Bitcoin mining difficulty just saw the biggest negative adjustment since China’s 2021 mining ban.
➠ Vietnam plans a 0.1% tax on crypto trades, treating digital assets like stocks.
➠ CFTC expands stablecoin rules to let national trust banks issue dollar-pegged tokens under the GENIUS Act framework.
➠ Despite starting and ending the week well, the $BTC ETFs still saw a weekly net outflow over $358M.
#TrendingTopic #MarketSentimentToday #Market_Update #btc
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SOLUSDT
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Feed-Creator-2b8b0dff6:
the circle acquisition has been brought up multiple times. likely won't be much longer before its reality. tether will be gone soon and rlusd and circle will prevail.
$BTC didn’t crash from $126K to $60K because of bad news — it crashed because the market structure changed.
Today, $BTC trades through futures, ETFs, options, and leveraged products more than pure spot demand. Institutions can short via derivatives without selling real coins. When liquidations cascade, price drops become mechanical. This wasn’t panic — it was positioning. Bitcoin is no longer just scarce supply. It’s a leveraged macro asset driven by synthetic exposure.
This version keeps the insight, removes noise, and positions you as analytical not emotional.
If you want, I can now create:
• A more provocative version (higher engagement)
• A more institutional tone
• Or a thread-style continuation post for momentum
$BTC
#btc #BTC #BTC☀
Today, $BTC trades through futures, ETFs, options, and leveraged products more than pure spot demand. Institutions can short via derivatives without selling real coins. When liquidations cascade, price drops become mechanical. This wasn’t panic — it was positioning. Bitcoin is no longer just scarce supply. It’s a leveraged macro asset driven by synthetic exposure.
This version keeps the insight, removes noise, and positions you as analytical not emotional.
If you want, I can now create:
• A more provocative version (higher engagement)
• A more institutional tone
• Or a thread-style continuation post for momentum
$BTC
#btc #BTC #BTC☀
$BTC #btc #WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop
Trade Direction: LONG
Entry Zone:
• 70,000 – 71,000
Targets:
•Target 1: 74,500
• Target 2: 78,000
• Target 3: 85,000
Stop-Loss:
• 66,800 (below recent wick low)
Trade Insight:
BTC has formed a strong rejection from the 60K–63K demand zone and is now showing a short-term reversal structure. The big bearish impulse looks exhausted, and current candles indicate accumulation with a potential upside continuation.
As long as price holds above 68K, the probability favors a move toward 75K+ and possibly a larger relief rally.
Risk Tip:
If BTC closes below 68K on strong volume, this setup is invalid. Use proper position sizing and don’t over-leverage.
Trade Direction: LONG
Entry Zone:
• 70,000 – 71,000
Targets:
•Target 1: 74,500
• Target 2: 78,000
• Target 3: 85,000
Stop-Loss:
• 66,800 (below recent wick low)
Trade Insight:
BTC has formed a strong rejection from the 60K–63K demand zone and is now showing a short-term reversal structure. The big bearish impulse looks exhausted, and current candles indicate accumulation with a potential upside continuation.
As long as price holds above 68K, the probability favors a move toward 75K+ and possibly a larger relief rally.
Risk Tip:
If BTC closes below 68K on strong volume, this setup is invalid. Use proper position sizing and don’t over-leverage.
Quick scalp short on $BTC to start my day on 150x
Was kind of obvious and bitcoin could go down to 61-63k$ but I locked my daily gains in.
I am a full time day trader, let me tell you a good secret for how I do my daily profits.
I simply am active on the charts +/- 2hours of the new daily candle to find what is known as a gap fill on previous 4hour candles / new daily.
I usually go for 260$ scalp for daily profit lock in but if it goes further happy days, no need to try and force a trade tomorrow :)
#SwingTrade
#bitcoin
#btc
Was kind of obvious and bitcoin could go down to 61-63k$ but I locked my daily gains in.
I am a full time day trader, let me tell you a good secret for how I do my daily profits.
I simply am active on the charts +/- 2hours of the new daily candle to find what is known as a gap fill on previous 4hour candles / new daily.
I usually go for 260$ scalp for daily profit lock in but if it goes further happy days, no need to try and force a trade tomorrow :)
#SwingTrade
#bitcoin
#btc
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BTCUSDT
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Bitcoin Eyes Strong Daily Close Between $73K–$75K Amid Bullish Momentum
Bitcoin (BTC) is showing renewed strength today, with market momentum suggesting a potential daily close in the $73,000 to $75,000 range.
After defending key support levels near $68,000–$69,000, Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience, forming higher lows on shorter timeframes. This price structure often signals that buyers are gradually regaining control following a period of consolidation and selling pressure.
Technical indicators also support the bullish outlook. Short-term moving averages are beginning to flatten, and if bullish momentum continues, a breakout above the $70,000 resistance zone could trigger accelerated upside movement. A decisive push above this level may open the path toward the next liquidity zone between $73,000 and $75,000.
Market sentiment appears to be stabilizing as traders anticipate increased volatility during U.S. trading hours. If buying volume expands and Bitcoin sustains momentum above intraday resistance, a strong daily close within the projected range becomes increasingly plausible.
However, it is important to note that resistance levels around $72,000–$73,000 could still trigger short-term pullbacks. A failure to maintain strength above $70,000 may delay the bullish scenario and lead to continued consolidation.
Overall, current price action suggests that Bitcoin has the potential to close the day between $73,000 and $75,000, provided bullish momentum remains intact and key resistance levels are successfully broken.
As always, traders should manage risk carefully and monitor market conditions closely, as cryptocurrency markets remain highly volatile.
#btc
#bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) is showing renewed strength today, with market momentum suggesting a potential daily close in the $73,000 to $75,000 range.
After defending key support levels near $68,000–$69,000, Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience, forming higher lows on shorter timeframes. This price structure often signals that buyers are gradually regaining control following a period of consolidation and selling pressure.
Technical indicators also support the bullish outlook. Short-term moving averages are beginning to flatten, and if bullish momentum continues, a breakout above the $70,000 resistance zone could trigger accelerated upside movement. A decisive push above this level may open the path toward the next liquidity zone between $73,000 and $75,000.
Market sentiment appears to be stabilizing as traders anticipate increased volatility during U.S. trading hours. If buying volume expands and Bitcoin sustains momentum above intraday resistance, a strong daily close within the projected range becomes increasingly plausible.
However, it is important to note that resistance levels around $72,000–$73,000 could still trigger short-term pullbacks. A failure to maintain strength above $70,000 may delay the bullish scenario and lead to continued consolidation.
Overall, current price action suggests that Bitcoin has the potential to close the day between $73,000 and $75,000, provided bullish momentum remains intact and key resistance levels are successfully broken.
As always, traders should manage risk carefully and monitor market conditions closely, as cryptocurrency markets remain highly volatile.
#btc
#bitcoin
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No confirmation again ➖$BTC
Another attempt to break through the key resistance has once again failed, which led to a solid local pullback, bringing the price back to the $68K area.
Now we should see a period of sideways consolidation within the current local channel, after which I expect another bounce.
There have been too many touches of this resistance in a short period of time. In most cases, this increases the probability of an upcoming breakout but usually through a series of pullbacks to flush out the majority of long positions. I believe that from the $66K–$68K trading range, the price will once again be pushed higher toward a resistance breakout.
#TrendingTopic #btc #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #Write2Earn
Another attempt to break through the key resistance has once again failed, which led to a solid local pullback, bringing the price back to the $68K area.
Now we should see a period of sideways consolidation within the current local channel, after which I expect another bounce.
There have been too many touches of this resistance in a short period of time. In most cases, this increases the probability of an upcoming breakout but usually through a series of pullbacks to flush out the majority of long positions. I believe that from the $66K–$68K trading range, the price will once again be pushed higher toward a resistance breakout.
#TrendingTopic #btc #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #Write2Earn
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Expert: The Bottom Is In…
Jan3 founder and AQUA Wallet developer Samson Mow believes the recent $BTC crash was an anomaly rather than a sign of market weakness. According to him, the old market cycles no longer apply: ETFs are now trading more volume than centralized exchanges, and Bitcoin is becoming deeply integrated into traditional finance.
Mow points to growing institutional demand, including new corporate treasuries holding BTC, increased interest from banks, U.S. initiatives, and the potential issuance of Bitcoin backed bonds by one of Jan3’s partner countries.
He describes the February drop as a rare “6-sigma event” essentially a black swan. Even if the market moves sideways for a while, it would only give large players more time to accumulate.
Mow’s conclusion: the market bottom has already been reached.
#TrendingTopic #Write2Earn #btc #BTC☀ #WhenWillBTCRebound
Jan3 founder and AQUA Wallet developer Samson Mow believes the recent $BTC crash was an anomaly rather than a sign of market weakness. According to him, the old market cycles no longer apply: ETFs are now trading more volume than centralized exchanges, and Bitcoin is becoming deeply integrated into traditional finance.
Mow points to growing institutional demand, including new corporate treasuries holding BTC, increased interest from banks, U.S. initiatives, and the potential issuance of Bitcoin backed bonds by one of Jan3’s partner countries.
He describes the February drop as a rare “6-sigma event” essentially a black swan. Even if the market moves sideways for a while, it would only give large players more time to accumulate.
Mow’s conclusion: the market bottom has already been reached.
#TrendingTopic #Write2Earn #btc #BTC☀ #WhenWillBTCRebound
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Michael Saylor summed it up perfectly:
Buying Bitcoin at $80,000 is a joke.
By the time your banker recommends it, it’ll already be at $10 million.”
This isn’t really about the exact price — it’s about tinting
The biggest gains are always made before mainstream validation, not after it.
The real question is simple:
Does Bitcoin grow into something this massive over time…
or is this just peak optimism talking?
#btc
By the time your banker recommends it, it’ll already be at $10 million.”
This isn’t really about the exact price — it’s about tinting
The biggest gains are always made before mainstream validation, not after it.
The real question is simple:
Does Bitcoin grow into something this massive over time…
or is this just peak optimism talking?
#btc
from now on I will accumulate and bet only on two big and wide projects, 1 bitcoin 1 ethereum I made this decision because the rest are very speculative, I will hold the others until the exit opportunity, but I will not put even $0.01 outside of #btc and #eth . I am not too new to this market, I have seen many solid projects that dreamed and had the infrastructure that is in clinical death, from now on I will go on a single narrative if something happens to these 2 it means that's it I take my toys and bye crypto it was just a gameover and it's over.
$BTC ANALYSIS 📈
Currently, $BTC is trading at a resistance zone, which is why the price has paused here and isn’t giving a strong upside move.
For now, simply wait for a clean breakout above the red zone then we can plan longs.
If someone missed the lower entry, the alternate plan is to wait for a pullback to the green demand zone near 68k.
Also, keep an eye on the 1D candle close. We may see a good move in BTC tomorrow.
Till then, trade safe and wait for confirmation. 🚀📊
$BTC #btc #ETH
Currently, $BTC is trading at a resistance zone, which is why the price has paused here and isn’t giving a strong upside move.
For now, simply wait for a clean breakout above the red zone then we can plan longs.
If someone missed the lower entry, the alternate plan is to wait for a pullback to the green demand zone near 68k.
Also, keep an eye on the 1D candle close. We may see a good move in BTC tomorrow.
Till then, trade safe and wait for confirmation. 🚀📊
$BTC #btc #ETH
$BTC Is bleeding🩸 Trillions Of Dollars Wipe Out📉 Market Crashed💥 $BTC is breaking Daily lows😿 #BinanceAIShortDramaContest #btc #eth #marketcrash #WhaleDeRiskETH
In my point of view #btc will remain bearing untill it not break 97924 level and on th other side if it breaks 60000 level then it will touch next level 48000 so best value for sell is 97000 if it breaks 60000 its better to sell entry at its retesting that level seeking no demand in that area.
$BTC
$BTC
$BTC
$BTC
🚨 HE SOLD FEAR — THEY BOUGHT BITCOIN 🚨
While the market was bleeding…
While timelines were screaming “CRASH”…
While retail panic was at its peak…
Michael Saylor’s Strategy quietly bought 1,142 BTC.
💰 ~$90 MILLION
📊 Avg price: ~$78,815
🧊 Zero emotion. Pure conviction.
🧠 THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY OPERATES
Smart money doesn’t chase green candles.
It accumulates red ones.
Retail waits for “confirmation.”
Institutions create the confirmation.
This wasn’t luck.
This was discipline during chaos.
⚠️ HARD TRUTH MOST TRADERS CAN’T ACCEPT
Bitcoin doesn’t punish bad timing.
It punishes weak mindset.
Crashes are not danger zones.
They are decision zones.
Those who panic sell headlines…
Fund those who buy fundamentals.
🔥 MARKET CLARITY CHECK
Ask yourself honestly:
Are you reacting to price?
Or are you positioning for the future?
Because wealth is never made in comfort.
It’s built in uncertainty.
📌 If you want REAL market thinking — not hype
▶️ Follow Market Clarity Lab on YouTube
📈 Where we break noise into logic
🧠 And emotion into strategy
Like 👍 if this made you think
Comment 💬: Was this smart accumulation or risky timing?
Clarity over chaos. Always. 🚀
#WhaleDeRiskETH #btc #GoldSilverRally #WhenWillBTCRebound
While the market was bleeding…
While timelines were screaming “CRASH”…
While retail panic was at its peak…
Michael Saylor’s Strategy quietly bought 1,142 BTC.
💰 ~$90 MILLION
📊 Avg price: ~$78,815
🧊 Zero emotion. Pure conviction.
🧠 THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY OPERATES
Smart money doesn’t chase green candles.
It accumulates red ones.
Retail waits for “confirmation.”
Institutions create the confirmation.
This wasn’t luck.
This was discipline during chaos.
⚠️ HARD TRUTH MOST TRADERS CAN’T ACCEPT
Bitcoin doesn’t punish bad timing.
It punishes weak mindset.
Crashes are not danger zones.
They are decision zones.
Those who panic sell headlines…
Fund those who buy fundamentals.
🔥 MARKET CLARITY CHECK
Ask yourself honestly:
Are you reacting to price?
Or are you positioning for the future?
Because wealth is never made in comfort.
It’s built in uncertainty.
📌 If you want REAL market thinking — not hype
▶️ Follow Market Clarity Lab on YouTube
📈 Where we break noise into logic
🧠 And emotion into strategy
Like 👍 if this made you think
Comment 💬: Was this smart accumulation or risky timing?
Clarity over chaos. Always. 🚀
#WhaleDeRiskETH #btc #GoldSilverRally #WhenWillBTCRebound
🚨 BTC CRASH EXPLAINED: WHY YOU MUST HOLD 🚨
WAKE UP! Are you still breathing? $BTC keeps testing lows, but this is NOT organic weakness. We have the cold hard facts on why the floor dropped:
• US Treasury Secretary killed the strategic reserve narrative. Zero bailout talk.
• Massive $16 BILLION in Long liquidations were auto-executed. Forced selling pressure.
• ETF outflows are record breaking. The big hands are dumping.
RSI is at 18—levels only seen during COVID crash and 2023 bottom. Fear Index is at 9 (Max Terror). This is the SHARK accumulation zone. If you held this far, turn off the app and prepare for the bounce. Do not get shaken out at the absolute bottom of the supercycle.
#Bitcoin #HoldToDie #MarketUpdate #btc
💎
WAKE UP! Are you still breathing? $BTC keeps testing lows, but this is NOT organic weakness. We have the cold hard facts on why the floor dropped:
• US Treasury Secretary killed the strategic reserve narrative. Zero bailout talk.
• Massive $16 BILLION in Long liquidations were auto-executed. Forced selling pressure.
• ETF outflows are record breaking. The big hands are dumping.
RSI is at 18—levels only seen during COVID crash and 2023 bottom. Fear Index is at 9 (Max Terror). This is the SHARK accumulation zone. If you held this far, turn off the app and prepare for the bounce. Do not get shaken out at the absolute bottom of the supercycle.
#Bitcoin #HoldToDie #MarketUpdate #btc
💎
Bitcoin (BTC) remains the leading cryptocurrency by market cap, trading around ~$70,000–$71,000 USD after a recent sell‑off and rebound from deeper lows, reflecting renewed stabilization after heavy volatility.
The market has experienced significant downturns, including sharp drops below $65,000 recently before bouncing, driven by broader crypto market pressure and liquidations.
Despite short‑term weakness, technical setups show oversold conditions and possible relief rallies, hinting at stabilization or range‑bound trading ahead.
Analyst forecasts are mixed: some see potential upside toward $90,000–$110,000+ if key resistance breaks, while others warn of deeper corrections if support fails.
Bitcoin’s long‑term narrative still centers on institutional adoption and macro trends, though sentiment remains cautious amid regulatory and macroeconomic uncertainties.
@Bitcoin.com $BTC #Bitcoin❗
#btc
The market has experienced significant downturns, including sharp drops below $65,000 recently before bouncing, driven by broader crypto market pressure and liquidations.
Despite short‑term weakness, technical setups show oversold conditions and possible relief rallies, hinting at stabilization or range‑bound trading ahead.
Analyst forecasts are mixed: some see potential upside toward $90,000–$110,000+ if key resistance breaks, while others warn of deeper corrections if support fails.
Bitcoin’s long‑term narrative still centers on institutional adoption and macro trends, though sentiment remains cautious amid regulatory and macroeconomic uncertainties.
@Bitcoin.com $BTC #Bitcoin❗
#btc
Why did Bitcoin drop below $60,000?
Experts say it's mainly due to these factors
In the past month, everyone has likely noticed what has been happening in the crypto market. The price of Bitcoin has plummeted by over 40%, and just last Friday, it even reached a one-year low of $59,930. This is more than a 50% drop from its peak price of around $126,200 in October 2025. Experts have explained the sudden price drop with three main theories.
Let’s take a closer look!
1. Problems with Hong Kong-based Hedge Funds 💥
Experts suggest that the main "spark" for this price drop may have come from Asia.
Hedge funds based in Hong Kong borrowed Japanese yen (JPY) at low-interest rates. They then heavily wagered that Bitcoin prices would rise, using this borrowed money in options linked to Bitcoin ETFs like BlackRock's IBIT.
However, as Bitcoin prices failed to rise as expected and Japanese yen interest rates increased, these wagers became problematic. When lenders demanded repayment, hedge funds had to sell off their Bitcoin and other holdings, leading to further price declines. There were $10.7 billion in trades in just one day, and options premiums reached as high as $900 million, highlighting the seriousness of the issue.
2. "Negative Gamma" effects from major banks
The second point was highlighted by former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes.
Major banks like Morgan Stanley offer complex financial products known as "Structured Notes" linked to Bitcoin ETFs for their clients. These products involve betting on Bitcoin's price. When Bitcoin's price suddenly dropped below a certain level (for example, $78,700 for one of Morgan Stanley's products), banks had to sell Bitcoin (or related assets) to protect against losses. This is known as "Delta-Hedging." Such selling creates a situation known as "Negative Gamma." This means that as prices fall, banks are compelled to sell more to manage their risks, which in turn drives prices down even further.
3. Bitcoin miners turning towards AI
The third point is less obvious but still impactful on the market.
As AI technology advances, the demand for data centers has increased. As a result, Bitcoin miners have found that working for AI data centers is more profitable than mining Bitcoin. For instance, in December 2025, Bitcoin miner Riot Platforms announced it would shift from Bitcoin mining to data center operations, selling Bitcoin worth $161 million.
Recently, another miner, IREN, also announced a shift towards AI data centers. These changes have caused Bitcoin's hash rate to drop between 10% and 40%. The Hash Ribbons indicator shows that the 30-day hash rate average has fallen below the 60-day average, reflecting pressure on miners' revenue. As of last Saturday, the electricity cost to mine one Bitcoin was around $58,160, with the total cost around $72,700. If Bitcoin prices drop below $60,000, miners will face significant financial pressures.
Caution from long-term holders
Due to these conditions, long-term holders are becoming more cautious. Data indicates that wallets holding between 10 BTC and 10,000 BTC have seen their holdings decrease to the lowest level in nine months. This suggests they are selling based on current conditions rather than waiting for prices to recover.
These factors are the main reasons for the fluctuations in Bitcoin's price. The crypto market is always changing, influenced by financial movements, technological shifts, and the sentiment of investors, all of which can impact prices.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#WhaleDeRiskETH #btc
In the past month, everyone has likely noticed what has been happening in the crypto market. The price of Bitcoin has plummeted by over 40%, and just last Friday, it even reached a one-year low of $59,930. This is more than a 50% drop from its peak price of around $126,200 in October 2025. Experts have explained the sudden price drop with three main theories.
Let’s take a closer look!
1. Problems with Hong Kong-based Hedge Funds 💥
Experts suggest that the main "spark" for this price drop may have come from Asia.
Hedge funds based in Hong Kong borrowed Japanese yen (JPY) at low-interest rates. They then heavily wagered that Bitcoin prices would rise, using this borrowed money in options linked to Bitcoin ETFs like BlackRock's IBIT.
However, as Bitcoin prices failed to rise as expected and Japanese yen interest rates increased, these wagers became problematic. When lenders demanded repayment, hedge funds had to sell off their Bitcoin and other holdings, leading to further price declines. There were $10.7 billion in trades in just one day, and options premiums reached as high as $900 million, highlighting the seriousness of the issue.
2. "Negative Gamma" effects from major banks
The second point was highlighted by former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes.
Major banks like Morgan Stanley offer complex financial products known as "Structured Notes" linked to Bitcoin ETFs for their clients. These products involve betting on Bitcoin's price. When Bitcoin's price suddenly dropped below a certain level (for example, $78,700 for one of Morgan Stanley's products), banks had to sell Bitcoin (or related assets) to protect against losses. This is known as "Delta-Hedging." Such selling creates a situation known as "Negative Gamma." This means that as prices fall, banks are compelled to sell more to manage their risks, which in turn drives prices down even further.
3. Bitcoin miners turning towards AI
The third point is less obvious but still impactful on the market.
As AI technology advances, the demand for data centers has increased. As a result, Bitcoin miners have found that working for AI data centers is more profitable than mining Bitcoin. For instance, in December 2025, Bitcoin miner Riot Platforms announced it would shift from Bitcoin mining to data center operations, selling Bitcoin worth $161 million.
Recently, another miner, IREN, also announced a shift towards AI data centers. These changes have caused Bitcoin's hash rate to drop between 10% and 40%. The Hash Ribbons indicator shows that the 30-day hash rate average has fallen below the 60-day average, reflecting pressure on miners' revenue. As of last Saturday, the electricity cost to mine one Bitcoin was around $58,160, with the total cost around $72,700. If Bitcoin prices drop below $60,000, miners will face significant financial pressures.
Caution from long-term holders
Due to these conditions, long-term holders are becoming more cautious. Data indicates that wallets holding between 10 BTC and 10,000 BTC have seen their holdings decrease to the lowest level in nine months. This suggests they are selling based on current conditions rather than waiting for prices to recover.
These factors are the main reasons for the fluctuations in Bitcoin's price. The crypto market is always changing, influenced by financial movements, technological shifts, and the sentiment of investors, all of which can impact prices.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#WhaleDeRiskETH #btc
Συνδεθείτε για να εξερευνήσετε περισσότερα περιεχόμενα