$NXPC BOOKED THE LOSS — 17.54% SHORT OF TP1, NOT ROUNDING THAT UP TO A WIN
• Called 16 Oct at 0.2502 · spot 0.1387 (−44.56%)
Scoreboard so far: 2691 reached, 627 expired unhit — 81.1% of everything scored. Misses stay on the timeline.
• The full ladder published on 16 Oct, graded 30 days later:
• TP1 0.254291 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.2097, short by 17.54% · published hit rate 74.8%
• TP2 0.260092 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.2097, short by 19.37% · published hit rate 49.8%
• TP3 0.266568 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.2097, short by 21.33% · published hit rate 29.8%
• Invalidation SL 0.225256 — reached, 9.97% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.235128 — reached, 6.02% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.241389 — reached, 3.52% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
No ladder redrawn from a later price, no rounding up. The levels get graded exactly as they were published.
• Levels come from historical quantiles, not forecasts. Not financial advice.
#NXPC #CryptoTrading
• Called 16 Oct at 0.2502 · spot 0.1387 (−44.56%)
Scoreboard so far: 2691 reached, 627 expired unhit — 81.1% of everything scored. Misses stay on the timeline.
• The full ladder published on 16 Oct, graded 30 days later:
• TP1 0.254291 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.2097, short by 17.54% · published hit rate 74.8%
• TP2 0.260092 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.2097, short by 19.37% · published hit rate 49.8%
• TP3 0.266568 — expired unhit · best price got was 0.2097, short by 21.33% · published hit rate 29.8%
• Invalidation SL 0.225256 — reached, 9.97% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.235128 — reached, 6.02% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
• Invalidation SL 0.241389 — reached, 3.52% under the call. That is the level the original post named as the point where it is wrong, and price went through it.
No ladder redrawn from a later price, no rounding up. The levels get graded exactly as they were published.
• Levels come from historical quantiles, not forecasts. Not financial advice.
#NXPC #CryptoTrading
