Nvidia’s Black Friday Came Early 🛍️
$NVDA is on sale, but nobody asked for this one. It’s a “leadership discount.”
In one week, Jensen Huang admitted to an affair with a woman U.S. intelligence reportedly suspects of spying for China, more reports followed, and on Nov 12th he resigned. CFO Colette Kress is interim CEO, the board’s probe continues, and Congress wants answers. The stock is heading for its 6th straight losing week, roughly 25–30% below its October high.
🟢 Bull case: the business didn’t resign. Revenue is growing ~60% a year, and the forward P/E is ~13. You pay about $13 for every $1 of profit expected next year. For this growth, that looks cheap.
🔴 Bear case: key-person risk, Congress, US-China chip tensions and AI bubble stories. The selling started weeks before the scandal.
Cheap or trap? A low P/E means either the market is panicking about real earnings (buy the dip) or doubting future earnings (value trap).
Earnings (expected Nov 17–18) should tell us more. I’m watching revenue vs. ~$108B guidance, Kress’s outlook, and any news on the CEO search.
Can it reignite AI rally? Maybe, even probably, but not before the leadership question is answered.
My take: Wall Street says Nvidia is cheap. My wallet says it’s still expensive. Both can be true. At ~$167 a share, my money goes to my crypto pillars first, so I’m watching from the sidelines, popcorn in hand. 🍿
Not every dip has to be your dip.
Deal of the year or a trap with a nice price tag? 👇
Not financial advice. DYOR. Always DYOR. And DYOR some more before you even touch your wallet.
#CanNVDAReigniteAIRally #EarningsSeason $NVDAB
$NVDA is on sale, but nobody asked for this one. It’s a “leadership discount.”
In one week, Jensen Huang admitted to an affair with a woman U.S. intelligence reportedly suspects of spying for China, more reports followed, and on Nov 12th he resigned. CFO Colette Kress is interim CEO, the board’s probe continues, and Congress wants answers. The stock is heading for its 6th straight losing week, roughly 25–30% below its October high.
🟢 Bull case: the business didn’t resign. Revenue is growing ~60% a year, and the forward P/E is ~13. You pay about $13 for every $1 of profit expected next year. For this growth, that looks cheap.
🔴 Bear case: key-person risk, Congress, US-China chip tensions and AI bubble stories. The selling started weeks before the scandal.
Cheap or trap? A low P/E means either the market is panicking about real earnings (buy the dip) or doubting future earnings (value trap).
Earnings (expected Nov 17–18) should tell us more. I’m watching revenue vs. ~$108B guidance, Kress’s outlook, and any news on the CEO search.
Can it reignite AI rally? Maybe, even probably, but not before the leadership question is answered.
My take: Wall Street says Nvidia is cheap. My wallet says it’s still expensive. Both can be true. At ~$167 a share, my money goes to my crypto pillars first, so I’m watching from the sidelines, popcorn in hand. 🍿
Not every dip has to be your dip.
Deal of the year or a trap with a nice price tag? 👇
Not financial advice. DYOR. Always DYOR. And DYOR some more before you even touch your wallet.
#CanNVDAReigniteAIRally #EarningsSeason $NVDAB