$BTC $ETH $SOL: no trend day since September 1 (68 days on Nov 8).
I checked 304 long quiet spells across 20 markets since 2018:
• trend returned after 51 days on median
• chance of a trend in the next 60 days: 56% (any day: 58%)
• for crypto: 63% within 60 days, median wait 47 days
• first move up 56%, down 44%
Chop does not store energy. Don't pre-position for the breakout. Educational calculation, not investment advice.
I checked 304 long quiet spells across 20 markets since 2018:
• trend returned after 51 days on median
• chance of a trend in the next 60 days: 56% (any day: 58%)
• for crypto: 63% within 60 days, median wait 47 days
• first move up 56%, down 44%
Chop does not store energy. Don't pre-position for the breakout. Educational calculation, not investment advice.
