CPI day. October US inflation lands at 7:00pm IST today, and the whole market is staring at one number: core CPI.

Consensus is 0.3% for headline and 0.2% for core on the month, down from September's 0.6% and 0.3% readings. There's no yearly figure this time, because October 2025 prices were never collected during the shutdown.

$BTC sits near $74,500 after five red weekly candles and a Sunday dip to about $73,500 per Base Camp. Prediction markets still lean toward a December rate hike, and Fear & Greed is at 32.

My read: core at 0.2% or lower should give a relief bounce, and a daily close above $76,000 would tell me it's real. A third 0.3% core print in a row and I'd expect $73,000 to get tested, especially with ETF demand this weak. The first few minutes after CPI often fake out, so I'm waiting for the daily close before trusting either move.

$ETH $BNB
#CPI #Bitcoin #Fed #Macro

NFA