$BTC Just Printed Its 5th Red Week In A Row

This is not a crash. This is a slow bleed. And that is what makes it dangerous.

$BTC is trading around $75,800 right now. It is down around 3 percent this week.

Here is the streak:

October 4: $86,507

October 11: $83,678 down 3.3 percent

October 18: $82,007 down 2.0 percent

October 25: $80,053 down 2.4 percent

November 1: $78,231 down 2.3 percent

This week: Around $75,800 down 3.1 percent

Total drop in 5 weeks: Around 12.4 percent. From $86,500 to $75,800.

Why Is $BTC Falling

1. US spot $BTC ETFs saw $1.28B in outflows this week. That is the biggest weekly outflow since late June. BlackRock IBIT alone saw $1.20B in outflows, including $403M on Friday alone.

2. US midterm election uncertainty made investors avoid risk assets.

3. Tech stocks fell. Nasdaq entered correction. Apple warned about rising memory chip costs and AI costs pressuring margins.

4. Oil prices jumped. WTI near $98 and Brent above $106 on US Iran tensions.

5. $BTC fell below its 50 week moving average around $75,488 on the weekly close. That level has been a key bull market line since 2012.

What History Says

Since 2017, 5 red weeks in a row happened only twice before.

In 2022: 9 red weeks. $BTC fell 37.1 percent from $46,850 to $29,447. 4 weeks after the 5th red week, it was still down 23.5 percent. 12 weeks after, down 41.3 percent. That was a bear market.

In early 2026: 6 red weeks. $BTC fell 29.8 percent from $93,630 to $65,769. 4 weeks after the 5th red week, it was up 0.3 percent. 12 weeks after, up 14.5 percent. That was a bottom.

Same signal. Two opposite results. History does not guarantee anything here.

What To Watch Next

Support: $75,000 and then $74,722, the Friday low. If that breaks, next major level is $69,000.

Resistance: $76,000 first, then $78,232 to turn the week green, then $82,000.

Next catalyst: US October CPI on Tuesday, November 10 at 8:30 AM New York time. That will decide Fed rate expectations.

Fear and Greed Index is at 28. That is Fear.

My Honest View

5 red weeks does not mean $BTC is dead. It means buyers are tired and sellers are in control, but slowly. No panic, just steady selling.

Smart money does not panic in red weeks. It plans. It buys in parts. It keeps cash. It does not use leverage.

If you are a long term holder, these weeks are painful but they are normal in $BTC history.

If you are a short term trader, do not try to catch a falling knife without a plan.

Are you buying this 5th red week, waiting for $69,000, or staying in cash. Tell me in the comments.

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