🚨 INFLATION WEEK: IF CPI RUNS HOT, THE MARKET HAS A PROBLEM. NOV 9-13
MONDAY, NOV 9
🟢 16:00 UTC (11:00 AM ET): US NY Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations (Oct)
🟡 18:00 UTC (1:00 PM ET): US 3-Year Note Auction
Earnings: Constellation Energy, KKR, Occidental, Take-Two and 3 others
TUESDAY, NOV 10
🟢 11:00 UTC (6:00 AM ET): US NFIB Small Business Optimism (Oct)
🟡 13:15 UTC (8:15 AM ET): US ADP Weekly Employment Change
🔴 13:30 UTC (8:30 AM ET): US CPI and Core CPI (Oct)
🟡 18:00 UTC (1:00 PM ET): US 10-Year Note Auction
Earnings: TransDigm and CoreWeave
WEDNESDAY, NOV 11
Veterans Day: US bond market closed
🟡 10:00 UTC: OPEC Monthly Report
Earnings: Corteva
THURSDAY, NOV 12
🔴 13:30 UTC (8:30 AM ET): US Initial Jobless Claims
🔴 15:00 UTC (10:00 AM ET): US Existing Home Sales (Oct)
🔴 17:00 UTC (12:00 PM ET): US EIA Crude Oil Inventories
🟡 18:00 UTC (1:00 PM ET): US 30-Year Bond Auction
Earnings: Cisco, Applied Materials and Nebius
FRIDAY, NOV 13
🟡 09:00 UTC: IEA Monthly Report
🔴 13:30 UTC (8:30 AM ET): US PPI and Core PPI (Oct)
What to watch:
→ CPI on Tuesday: September headline inflation was 3.7% y/y. October payrolls came in at +165k versus 59k expected, unemployment fell to 4.1%, and CME FedWatch puts a December 8-9 hike at about 77%. A hot print locks it in.
→ PPI on Friday lands three days after CPI. Jobless claims and Existing Home Sales on Thursday show how the economy holds up after the jobs beat.
→ Treasury auctions: 3-year on Monday, 10-year on Tuesday, 30-year on Thursday. The US bond market is closed Wednesday for Veterans Day, and oil inventories move to Thursday.
→ Fed speakers are all over the calendar: Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin, Waller, Daly and Williams all speak this week.
→ Lighter earnings week: CoreWeave on Tuesday, Cisco and Applied Materials on Thursday. No Coinbase or Strategy reports, so bitcoin follows the rate path.
$ZEC $BTC $TAO
MONDAY, NOV 9
🟢 16:00 UTC (11:00 AM ET): US NY Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations (Oct)
🟡 18:00 UTC (1:00 PM ET): US 3-Year Note Auction
Earnings: Constellation Energy, KKR, Occidental, Take-Two and 3 others
TUESDAY, NOV 10
🟢 11:00 UTC (6:00 AM ET): US NFIB Small Business Optimism (Oct)
🟡 13:15 UTC (8:15 AM ET): US ADP Weekly Employment Change
🔴 13:30 UTC (8:30 AM ET): US CPI and Core CPI (Oct)
🟡 18:00 UTC (1:00 PM ET): US 10-Year Note Auction
Earnings: TransDigm and CoreWeave
WEDNESDAY, NOV 11
Veterans Day: US bond market closed
🟡 10:00 UTC: OPEC Monthly Report
Earnings: Corteva
THURSDAY, NOV 12
🔴 13:30 UTC (8:30 AM ET): US Initial Jobless Claims
🔴 15:00 UTC (10:00 AM ET): US Existing Home Sales (Oct)
🔴 17:00 UTC (12:00 PM ET): US EIA Crude Oil Inventories
🟡 18:00 UTC (1:00 PM ET): US 30-Year Bond Auction
Earnings: Cisco, Applied Materials and Nebius
FRIDAY, NOV 13
🟡 09:00 UTC: IEA Monthly Report
🔴 13:30 UTC (8:30 AM ET): US PPI and Core PPI (Oct)
What to watch:
→ CPI on Tuesday: September headline inflation was 3.7% y/y. October payrolls came in at +165k versus 59k expected, unemployment fell to 4.1%, and CME FedWatch puts a December 8-9 hike at about 77%. A hot print locks it in.
→ PPI on Friday lands three days after CPI. Jobless claims and Existing Home Sales on Thursday show how the economy holds up after the jobs beat.
→ Treasury auctions: 3-year on Monday, 10-year on Tuesday, 30-year on Thursday. The US bond market is closed Wednesday for Veterans Day, and oil inventories move to Thursday.
→ Fed speakers are all over the calendar: Bowman, Goolsbee, Barkin, Waller, Daly and Williams all speak this week.
→ Lighter earnings week: CoreWeave on Tuesday, Cisco and Applied Materials on Thursday. No Coinbase or Strategy reports, so bitcoin follows the rate path.
$ZEC $BTC $TAO
