$BTC Daily Forecast | Sun 8 Nov 2026
$BTC $75,888 (-0.31% 24h). Price drifted in a tight $75,550-76,252 range on thin Sunday volume and is pinned to the 200-day EMA, with Fear & Greed at 25 (Extreme Fear).
09:00 London forecast
Mon 9 Nov: $75,780 (68%: $74,625-76,935 | 90%: $73,880-77,680)
Tue 10 Nov: $75,510 (68%: $73,735-77,285 | 90%: $72,590-78,430)
Scenarios: bull 14% / base 49% / bear 37%
Why the model leans slightly lower
1. Trend (-0.35): spot sits on the EMA200 ($75,737) but below the EMA10 ($77,602), EMA20 ($78,859) and EMA50 ($79,627). Highs have stepped down from $81.2k on 4-Nov.
2. ETF flows (-0.46): spot ETFs lost -$412m on 6-Nov after -$430m on 5-Nov; 3-session -$768m, 7-session -$1.91bn. The institutional bid is draining.
3. Funding (-0.10): funding is +29% annualised (24h mean +21% vs +12% prior) with OI ~6,137 BTC. Longs are re-crowding into a flat tape.
4. Sentiment (+0.15): Fear & Greed 25 (Extreme Fear) is contrarian-positive and caps the downside skew.
5. Liquidity: only ~248 BTC traded in the current window vs 1,330 BTC last window, so ranges are scaled down (x0.92 Mon).
6. Macro (-0.05): no fresh catalyst confirmed; small negative for Monday's open.
Net weighted bias: -0.07 (mild bearish).
Key levels
Support: $75.7k (EMA200), then $74.9k (6-Nov low). Losing it opens the bear case at $74.7k / $74.1k.
Resistance: $76.9k (top of the 68% band), then $77.6k (EMA10). Reclaiming it targets the bull case at $77.0k / $77.7k.
Scenario detail
Bull: short-covering lifts $BTC toward the EMA10.
Base: chop around $75.9k on the EMA200.
Bear: EMA200 fails and ETF outflows persist.
Scorecard: our 8-Nov call was $75,940 vs $75,975 actual (0.05% miss). Volatility recalibrated 2.3% -> 1.65%/day; bias to 0.00%.
Full report + dashboard: metaitraders.com
(c) Alpha DeepFi (approved Square creator) / MetaiTraders. No reposting. Not financial advice, DYOR.
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoForecast #BTCPrediction #CryptoMarket
$BTC $75,888 (-0.31% 24h). Price drifted in a tight $75,550-76,252 range on thin Sunday volume and is pinned to the 200-day EMA, with Fear & Greed at 25 (Extreme Fear).
09:00 London forecast
Mon 9 Nov: $75,780 (68%: $74,625-76,935 | 90%: $73,880-77,680)
Tue 10 Nov: $75,510 (68%: $73,735-77,285 | 90%: $72,590-78,430)
Scenarios: bull 14% / base 49% / bear 37%
Why the model leans slightly lower
1. Trend (-0.35): spot sits on the EMA200 ($75,737) but below the EMA10 ($77,602), EMA20 ($78,859) and EMA50 ($79,627). Highs have stepped down from $81.2k on 4-Nov.
2. ETF flows (-0.46): spot ETFs lost -$412m on 6-Nov after -$430m on 5-Nov; 3-session -$768m, 7-session -$1.91bn. The institutional bid is draining.
3. Funding (-0.10): funding is +29% annualised (24h mean +21% vs +12% prior) with OI ~6,137 BTC. Longs are re-crowding into a flat tape.
4. Sentiment (+0.15): Fear & Greed 25 (Extreme Fear) is contrarian-positive and caps the downside skew.
5. Liquidity: only ~248 BTC traded in the current window vs 1,330 BTC last window, so ranges are scaled down (x0.92 Mon).
6. Macro (-0.05): no fresh catalyst confirmed; small negative for Monday's open.
Net weighted bias: -0.07 (mild bearish).
Key levels
Support: $75.7k (EMA200), then $74.9k (6-Nov low). Losing it opens the bear case at $74.7k / $74.1k.
Resistance: $76.9k (top of the 68% band), then $77.6k (EMA10). Reclaiming it targets the bull case at $77.0k / $77.7k.
Scenario detail
Bull: short-covering lifts $BTC toward the EMA10.
Base: chop around $75.9k on the EMA200.
Bear: EMA200 fails and ETF outflows persist.
Scorecard: our 8-Nov call was $75,940 vs $75,975 actual (0.05% miss). Volatility recalibrated 2.3% -> 1.65%/day; bias to 0.00%.
Full report + dashboard: metaitraders.com
(c) Alpha DeepFi (approved Square creator) / MetaiTraders. No reposting. Not financial advice, DYOR.
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoForecast #BTCPrediction #CryptoMarket
